Saturday, March 6, 2021

INTELLIGENT CONVERSATION

Orioles’ playoff destination comes down to final day of season

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Luke Jones
Luke Jones
Luke Jones is the Ravens and Orioles beat reporter for WNST BaltimorePositive.com and is a PFWA member. His mind is consumed with useless sports knowledge, pro wrestler promos, and movie quotes, but he struggles to remember where he put his phone. Luke's favorite sports memories include being one of the thousands of kids who waited to get Cal Ripken's autograph after Orioles games in the summer of 1995, attending the Super Bowl XXXV victory parade with his father in the pouring rain, and watching the Terps advance to the Final Four at the Carrier Dome in 2002. Follow him on Twitter @BaltimoreLuke or email him at Luke@wnst.net.

(Updated: 9:45 a.m.)

It all comes down to the final game of the season as the Orioles determine where they’ll begin their first postseason run in 15 years.

With races in the American League East and American League West yet to be decided, all eyes will be focused on what happens in St. Petersburg, the Bronx, and Oakland on Wednesday.

The scenarios are predictably simpler after Tuesday night’s action that included the Orioles’ 1-0 win over the Tampa Bay Rays, the Yankees’ 4-3 extra-inning victory over Boston, and the Athletics’ 3-1 win over the Texas Rangers to force a tie in the AL West.

If the Orioles win Wednesday night:

Baltimore controls its own fate to at least host the wild card play-in game in the event of a win over the Rays in the regular-season finale on Wednesday night. However, the Orioles will pay close attention to what happens elsewhere.

A Yankees loss to Boston means the Orioles and New York would both finish 94-68 and tie for the top spot in the AL East. The two clubs would play a division tiebreaker game on Thursday in Baltimore due to the Orioles having a superior division record (the clubs were tied 9-9 in the season series this season). The winner in that game would be considered the division champion while the loser would host the wild card play-in game on Friday.

For those wondering where the Orioles would be seeded should they beat New York in a potential tiebreaker game, Baltimore would be the No. 2 seed behind the winner of Wednesday’s Oakland-Texas game since they both own the tiebreaker over the Orioles (the division tiebreaker game does not apply to seeding for the playoffs). This means the Orioles would play Game 1 of the Division Series at No. 3 seed Detroit on Saturday.

A loss to the Yankees in a potential tiebreaker game means the Orioles would still host the loser of Oakland-Texas in the wild card play-in game on Friday.

A New York win clinches the AL East for the Yankees and locks the Orioles into the top wild card spot. Baltimore would then welcome the loser of the Texas-Oakland game to Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the wild-card play-in game. A victory for New York would also mean the Yankees are the top seed and would face the winner of the wild card game in the American League Division Series, with Game 1 taking place Sunday at the winner of the play-in game.

The Athletics and Rangers each sit atop the AL West with a 93-68 record, meaning the winner of Wednesday afternoon’s game in Oakland is the division champion while the loser is assured of the second wild card spot.

If the Orioles lose Wednesday night:

A loss against the Rays locks the Orioles into the second wild card spot and means the Yankees win the AL East regardless of how they fare against Boston.The Orioles would go on the road Friday to play the loser of Wednesday’s Athletics-Rangers game, who would finish with the same record as Baltimore.

Both the Athletics and Rangers own head-to-head tiebreakers over the Orioles.

A Rangers win means the Athletics will host the Orioles while an Athletics victory means the Orioles would travel to Arlington for the wild card play-in game.

If the Yankees lose Wednesday night, an Orioles loss and an Oakland loss would still lock New York into the top seed in the American League since it owns the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Rangers but not the Athletics.

Incredibly, Oakland would be the No. 1 seed in the American League with a win and a Yankees loss.

 

 

1 COMMENT

  1. Luke-

    Great job on this blog sifting out the AL playoff seeding and possible wildcard scenarios and division winners with the East and West still in limbo on the final day of the regular season. The fact that the A’s are hosting the Rangers @ the Coliseum with a 3:37PM EST start time is awesome to determine who wins the AL West and who is a wildcard team.

    The Bobby Valentine Beaners had their chance last night up 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th until RAUL hit his clutch pitch hit 2 run bomb!

    Then RAUL wins it in the 12th.

    Tonight, the Beaners have Dice K on the bump vs. Kuroda. Who do you like in that matchup in Bronx???

    I’ll see you at Camden Yards Friday Night with my Joe Flacco purple #5 jersey when the O’s host the wildcard game versus the Rangers!!!

    Regards,

    Brian Cashman, Joe Girardi & Captain derek Jeter

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