Luke Jones and Nestor discuss Dean Kremer and Orioles starting pitching deficiencies
SUMMARY KEYWORDS
orioles, year, trade, cubs, won, point, prospects, team, give, mayo, tuesday night, kobe, deal, baseball, bullpen, starter, week, great, baltimore, bat
SPEAKERS
Nestor J. Aparicio, Luke Jones
Nestor J. Aparicio 00:01
Welcome home we are W n s t, Towson, Baltimore. Baltimore positive happy summer week to you Happy homestand to you and itโd be happy crabcake tour on Friday as the Yankees come to town they will be in second place at least for now the Maryland lottery giving us the Gold Rush sevens doublers to give away weโve had some lucky wins had a $20 winner about two weeks ago Cocoโs we will be at fate. Leeโs all afternoon on Friday all hands on deck as the Yankees are in town. Our friends at Liberty pure solutions, keeping the water crystal clear in my orange colored glass. Make sure youโre checking them out if you have a well or you well, you have any plumbing needs at Liberty care solutions, as well as Jiffy Lube, multi care, keeping us out on the road driving us home, driving Luke to the ballpark home from the ballpark. You know you and I asked a pretty poignant question. We did a lot of chatting on Monday about the Orioles and the trading deadline and an all star game and the Yankees but the pitching in it was always the pitching and you and I said Who do you trust who do you trust? I do not trust the and Kramer I think I mentioned that on on Monday morning. When we got going bright and early and it took a day off they went after Tuesday night. You know what do they say youโre the weakest link or whatever it is but if he were out there throwing the ball like race and Rodriguez we wouldnโt be so concerned about having to give up mayo or curse dad or cow whoever weโre gonna give up to get whatever pitching weโre gonna get and by the way, talk to all the Chicago people this week the crochet things on their on their mind as well.
Luke Jones 01:34
Yeah, well, and I think it when you say you donโt trust in Kramer, itโs to do what I mean over the course of now two and a half years, heโs been about a league average starting pitcher, which is still valuable, mind you that you still need guys to fill out the back end of your rotation. So through that lens, Iโm fine with Dean Kramer. But if youโre asking me about Dean Kramer starting game three of a postseason series, and yeah, thatโs a completely different conversation and people will bring up Texas last October and thatโs fine. I think. I mean, even last October going into it the Orioles were probably hoping John means was going to start game three and then his elbow started barking again. So I think itโs just where they are right now. I donโt think itโs necessarily to be hasty in saying Oh, Dean Kramer is going to the bullpen or something like that. Now, I mean, he has to be better than he was on Tuesday night clearly. But at the same time, heโs someone whoโs been a league average starter over the course of the last two and a half years. And thatโs still valuable when youโre talking about your number four or especially your number five starter spot. But yeah, league average on Tuesday night. It was not yโall it was a point. Yeah, right. Right, of course. And I think Tuesday night was a weird game, too. I mean, it wasnโt as though he got crushed me gives up the two big homeruns. And obviously to have three run homer turning the game lopsided. In the fourth, heโs ahead oh two, I even asked him about the pitch that he made. Oh, heโs had some success going low and away, he tries to come up in in with a cutter didnโt come up in in enough and have got the bat on the ball and hit it on to Utah street. So
Nestor J. Aparicio 03:09
he missed a spot. So when he misses spots, he pays right period. Yeah. And
Luke Jones 03:13
I think you know, the difference between what we saw and Dean Kramer on Tuesday night compared to Seattle stuff wasnโt quite as lively, you know, wasnโt missing as many bats. And weโve talked about this. Look, I know old school. baseball fans will continue to say that, not continue. But weโll continue to maintain that strikeouts arenโt everything. And theyโre not Iโm not saying theyโre everything. But they are really important. And it is a case of if you canโt miss bats. Boy, you canโt miss your spots at all. You know, when you have the ability to get swing and miss sometimes you can be wild within the strikes. And I mean, Grayson Rodriguez is a great example of that. Corbin burns, great example that not saying that theyโre wild in the strike zone frequently, but they can get away with it much more because they have that swing and miss ability that they do. When you donโt have as impressive stuff. Then your margin for error is a very small, Iโve talked about that a lot with Kate Povich. And I think thatโs been evident with him for as much as he had to swing and miss stuff against Atlanta last month in his second major league start that hasnโt been there otherwise. And itโs resulted in him having a much lower ceiling and a much smaller margin for error. So on Tuesday night, you know, Dean Kramer didnโt have as good of a fastball didnโt have as much swing and miss and the Cubs made him pay for it. And also, Iโll also point out a couple lapses defensively and had a couple walks and I hit by pitch and you know, you canโt do those things. So it wasnโt a ton of hard contact other than those two home runs. But those two home runs obviously cost him dearly and was a big reason why he won. He lasted only four innings and two of the Oreos loss although Iโll also point out didnโt exactly mount much offensive Jameis and tie on and that cubs bullpen? Well,
Nestor J. Aparicio 05:02
heโs probably, you know, as good as they get right. He might be a guy that I said to my wife, watch us get up in our rotation in three weeks. You know, every time I have somebody on I had a great conversation in Chicago, Rick telander you know, legendary columnist from Sports Illustrated in Chicago, and also had on my old Sporting News, radio executive producer. And, you know, in in both cases, Iโm like, Who are we fleecing, Northside or Southside we who we got in at this point? And I think that that, as this month goes on as the all star break, weโll have fun with Gunnar Henderson next week and who wins? Who Cares all that kind of stuff. But there is some decorated prime by the way, Jordan Westbrook to the Australian letโs talk about that for a minute. Weโll come back to pitching because we did speak about snapping and snapping and all that and you know, Iโm not convinced Kimberlyโs not gonna get there yet for itโs all over it because of the way this thing subs out. But um, you know, it gave me pause to go back and look at his numbers. He might be able to better year than rutschman. And I think highly of rutschman. Yeah,
Luke Jones 06:06
I mean, I, I would put rutschman ahead of him.
Nestor J. Aparicio 06:10
Second baseman though like to some degree, right? Oh, sure. Sure.
Luke Jones 06:14
Well, secondary slash third base. I mean, either way, and thatโs whatโs been so valuable about him is he can play either of those spots and better than Floyd Rayford. I
Nestor J. Aparicio 06:21
want to point that out. Sure. Sure. I
Luke Jones 06:23
mean, heโs been a plus defender at third. I donโt think his defense has been quite as good at second base as itโs been at third base, but itโs been fine. Itโs not a problem. Right. And you mentioned to Reese Bruton the ball the other night, too. Sure. Well, and thatโs part of the point I was kind of alluding to early in the year when a Reus wasnโt hitting it all. And Jackson Holliday struggles get sent back down. They got in a position where Westberg was playing plus defense and giving you plus plus offense at third base. And Matteo was hitting now since then Matteo has really fallen off over the last month. And you know, a Reyes has been better with the bat than he was saying April in early May, but still not great. And even his defense, you know, you hear them talk about him being a former Gold Glove defender at third base. He hasnโt played like it this year. Iโll be not playing on an everyday basis and all that but Westbrookโs versatility has just been so valuable. And when you have someone who can play multiple spots in the infield as a starter, you know, weโre not talking about a utility guy. This is, you know, super utility, if you want to call it that, but his bets in the lineup every day because, I mean, heโs been up 838 40 OAPs kind of hitter hit for power hit a homerun on Tuesday night, you know, kind of a
Nestor J. Aparicio 07:40
show Morgan a third base. He might be Scott rollin, but either way they have Jackson holiday coming up. Heโs a third baseman, right? Like as much as weโll talk about him next week as a swing guy. Be like Bobby Grich youโll forget that he ever played the position at some point. Right?
Luke Jones 07:52
Well, and thatโs whatโs so interesting because you have Jackson Holliday is gonna play second Kobe may have still playing primarily at third, although I still think Kobe mayo, assuming heโs in Baltimore, which Iโm not at all convinced that the Orioles are going to trade him, you know, unless itโs for the right package. As I said, theyโre not paying Lamborghini Lamborghini prices for a minivan or, you know, anything like that. I mean, he feels
Nestor J. Aparicio 08:14
untouchable unless weโre getting like another Grayson Rodriguez.
Luke Jones 08:17
I mean, I feel like someone like him, if suddenly the tiger say Terex, Googleโs available. Okay, you know, I might be willing to part with Kobe mayo, then itโs a short list. I mean, weโre not the thing we need to remember. And Iโll get back to Westbrook in just a moment. But Jackson Holliday, Kobe mayo, Samuel besides at double A buoy doing what heโs doing as a catcher at buoy at his age. These are really special prospects. Theyโre, theyโre all prospects, right prospects or suspects until they prove it at the major league level. But these are highly, really highly touted prospects. This isnโt Kent Sisk, Cisco six, six years ago, or Hunter Harveyโs eight years ago, right? I mean, these are premium premium kind of guys. So the point with with that is, if youโre going to try them, you better be getting premium premium in return. And thatโs why going back to our conversation a couple of days ago, with Dean Kramer being in that mix. If you ask me right now who the Orioles are most likely to acquire as a starting pitcher, Iโm guessing at someone thatโs going to be closer to Dean Kramerโs talent level than Kyle Bradish when heโs healthy, so my point and that doesnโt mean theyโre not going to get someone better than Kramer. But my point you donโt
Nestor J. Aparicio 09:32
want to give up Kobe may have for League average. Yeah, exactly. or slightly above league average like Kobe. Look at Jack Flaherty last year. We thought he could be as good as Dean Kramer We thought heโd be better than better. Thatโs why they brought him in. Right, exactly.
Luke Jones 09:47
And it doesnโt always work out that way. That doesnโt mean you donโt make trades, but it means you need to tread carefully. These are premium assets. That could be really, really important to maybe even later this year. I mean it still love to see Kobe Mayoโs bat in this lineup in 2024. I think thereโs a place to do it. And thatโs why Iโve even talked about, you know, you get creative. Is there a team out there that is going to buy and sell where, you know, there might be someone moved from the Major League roster and suddenly that opens up an opportunity for a Kobe Mayo but bringing it back to Jordan Westberg because thatโs what you brought up. I mean, great to see him make it I think he was very deserving of a spot we talked about this the other day. Third base is crowded in the in the American League. I mean, yeah, Jose Ramirez, Raphael Devers, who ultimately is the one bowing out because heโs been dealing with, I think, a sore left shoulder since April. So heโs just going to rescue me the Red Sox donโt look good. They come. Look now but I mean, theyโre right on the Yankees heels at this point. You know, Iโm still not convinced the Red Sox are going to be that team thatโs contesting for 100 wins. But theyโre certainly in the wildcard makes me firmly firmly in the wildcard mix and they can certainly make noise and considering the Yankees have been the worst team in baseball over the last three weeks record wise. I mean, yeah, the rights. The Red Sox are right, the rearview mirror for them and the Orioles certainly canโt sleep on them. So but Deborahโs bows out, we talked about an E sock parade ease was the res lone representative. And, you know, I mean, so third base, it wasnโt so much that there was warranted outrage for Westbrook not to make it as a third baseman, but because of that versatility. You look at someone like Marcus Simeon who made it at second base, and you say, well, Westbrook is having a better year than him. So good to see him make it to your point, I still would not be shocked if Craig Kimbrel wyms winds up on that roster. But the Orioles now represented represented by four All Star selections in Arlington next week. Great story, but I mean, Jordan Westberg. Think about where heโs only, or what a year and a couple of weeks past his major league debut, and he was solid last year. But it was unspectacular. It wasnโt oh my gosh, this kid is amazing. It was heโs holding his own, you know, heโs solid. Heโs looking like a guy whoโs going to be a starter. But at this time last year, or even last September and October, if someone told you he was gonna be an all star, youโd say, Wow, man, heโs taken a heck of a jump then in his first major league season, four major league season. And heโs certainly done that. I mean, heโs been as consistent as possible. And you could really tell Iโll be it after the nine to loss on Tuesday night, we had a chance to talk to him in the clubhouse. Heโs a quiet guy. He doesnโt say a whole lot, you know, isnโt necessarily going to entertain you in an interview, but he will offer some insight and you could just tell he was really humbled by that experience. And I think he had Yeah, was he a snob? I mean, you know how I feel about that word being overused when it comes to all stars, but he was certainly deserving of going so it was good to see him get that nod and of all, theyโre all stars. Even though itโd be Gunnar Hendersonโs first All Star game as well and gunners going to get so much attention. Weโve known since probably late April that Gunnar Henderson was gonna go to the All Star game. I mean, he was just off to that kind of an unbelievable start on the heels of being rookie of the year but with Jordan Westberg, the half the first half that heโs had the improvement heโs made from his rookie year to his first full year in the major leagues. I mean, you said it right off the bat and bringing him up. I still think itโs Gunnar Henderson Adley rutschman, as far as one two as far as the best position players on this team, but Jordan Westbrook has been a very clear obvious, no doubt about number three in terms of their best position players and yeah, I think you can make thereโs certainly some debate you could make it probably a month ago, I want to put him ahead of Adley rutschman. Now, if heโs third, thatโs still speaking to how just how impressive heโs been how valuable heโs been for this Oreos offense,
Nestor J. Aparicio 13:59
alright with the cubs in town, and he talking about fleecing the Cubs and fleecing the White Sox. And who are we going to take from them? Who are other teams gonna take from them because theyโre gonna deal with somebody and I think thatโs the sort of the beauty of the system is that the Oreos are at the top they have a lot of talent but you know, you mentioned the Red Sox and other teams who will be willing to put together a package for school or for crocheter for whomever and whoโs going to be able to deal from any level of Kobe Mayo facility or wherever that that depth is that the tiger said we want to catch her in the deal youโre not getting rutschman So all that being said the Cubs and talking to cubs people and talking to Chicago people this week. I donโt put you on the spot but youโre youโre pretty Savanti bet based but What year do they won the World Series?
Luke Jones 14:50
They won in what 2016 16
Nestor J. Aparicio 14:52
I thought it was 17 by the way if I if you were to ask me flat out because I want to see Pearl Jam a couple times. I really feel that summer and Eddie Vetter. If you see The film, they want the they wrote the Cubs song that year all that but was 16. Just eight years ago, I get this mixed up with them, with the capitals to the capitals were 17. Right. So like Iโm trying to hear after your and the nationals were 19 Going into the strike. So I get yours, especially with the NBA and the NHL, but theyโre sort of interchangeable for me when the Cubs won in 16. And you and I were a decade into our relationship with you and Iโve been at this a long time. We sat here and talked about those World Series games as they happen. Those players the Orioles, were sort of at the end at that point, by the time they had won. You would have thought the Cubs would have had another crack, right? Or a couple of cracks. They certainly they came in, and it wouldnโt be like the Orioles winning this year. Theyโre all young enough that you think all right, weโre gonna have more chance to this. And on the backside of Kansas City. Weโre in Kansas City 115 1415 They were in the World Series San Francisco was in and out all those years. You looked at Misaki she looked at Hosmer you looked at all those guys that when theyโre close to their number and who are we going to sign to give Hosmer the money whoโs the guy weโre going to keep whoโs our Gunnar Henderson thatโs going to be our our franchise player. And Peter pick Chris Davis here so and let Machado go away. So as far as bad decisions are it is what it is. The cubs never want again. And as I talked to these people in Chicago and the cubs are owed back to being the Cubs again back to me in last place back to Lee Illya back to we donโt have the kind of prospects and Theo doesnโt want to come and Joe Maddon is not here, we donโt have geniuses and we donโt have you know big three at the top of our rotation anymore. Itโs really painted for me how fleeting all this can be. Especially when youโre competing with the Red Sox and the Yankees in our division two, weโre always going to have resources to steal your best player if you let them because they can afford it. And the Cubs window being so short is telling threatening frightening, worrisome for this trading deadline and your philosophy of weโve got a long bench and a long runway of all these young players. And if we give too much away we wonโt have that runway two or three years from now and will be a diminished franchise on the face of it. If you take three of these prospects away you take bacilli away take away Mayo take away I donโt know curse that cows pick anybody you want. Theyโre all theyโre all darts at this point right cows look like he was going to the Hall of Fame now it looks like you know he might be Joe Charbonneau for all we know right? Like who knows the Cubs window and how good that franchise was and where it came on. And the geniuses associated with that. They won once it was fun they all got drunk theyโre still hungover Harry Carey came back to life and got drunk and still hungover Iโm just saying it happens very very quickly and thatโs my warning for the Orioles is saying canโt wait cuz I put up Kansas City all the time they want they went back in the hole. I donโt know how this is gonna go and I know you deep down you donโt talk much about the owner because you still have a credential I let me do all that talking but I think the concern is this guyโs not long term. This guy isnโt even held a press conference guys not even live here. This guy is trying to win here and now heโs 74 years old. Heโs running around like Tom Benson with a with an umbrella thrown out hats telling the Son How much fun heโs having. And all that might be more fun than sitting on Squawk Box last week being asked who heโs pitching for President which he declined. So I would just say the here and now of this owner, their money this team, the prospects the value of the prospects and Elias knows better than anybody and allies thereโs been anybody whether heโs gonna be here three years from now or not, and whether this is a long term situation for him or whether heโs like, Hey, dude, I get Corbin burns right now I got three guys getting cuddle four guys getting caught on throw Batista and theyโre like, Weโre gonna win now.
19:05
Weโre gonna win now
Nestor J. Aparicio 19:06
that mean a real urgency. So I put that to you. I gave you both sides they gave you you know point counterpoint when now? Oh, no, no, no, we got a long runway. We canโt give these guys up. Because two, three years now weโre gonna want another shot. Weโre gonna want another chance at this knot. Weโre all in right now. And thereโs all sorts of schools of thought for you know, all of these teams that think theyโre gonna win the World Series. And to your point. It wants to be in Texas in Arizona that nobody on July 10 of last year would have given a bag of doughnuts to
Luke Jones 19:36
Yeah, and Iโm glad you made that last point. Because look, you can say youโre all in all you want. You can go make six trades at the trade deadline. They donโt give you the World Series trophy on August first after you do that. I mean, they donโt. That doesnโt mean you donโt make trades. It doesnโt mean you donโt seek out opportunities. I fully expect them that a starting pitcher. I fully expect them to add some bullpen help. Do I think that that weโre gonna be sitting here on August 5. Oh, a week after that all you know all that dust settles, and Iโm going to tell you that I guarantee you theyโre gonna win the World Series. Iโm not gonna say that, because thatโs not how this works. Now, Iโll say this again, thereโs a wide range here. You can say youโre not going to Trey Jackson holiday, Kobe mayo. Samuel besides. And by the way, you still have a ton of prospects. You can deal they have a lot of other guys weโve seen guys, Connor Norby, to your point Colton Couser would be in that conversation has been cursed dad would be in that conversation when I say that. That doesnโt mean theyโre moving all of them. The point is they have a wide net of guys that range from generational prospect like Jackson Holliday, on the way down took all the way down to Connor Norby or guys that are at some lower levels that arenโt necessarily in the daily discourse of fans talking about the system, but they have guys throughout their system that are highly regarded. I mean, you go to the Orioles top 30 prospect list on mlb.com. And you see those guys that are ranked eight through 20. I mean, those are guys, that would be premier guys and other team systems, right? I mean, those will be guys that other teams would come in and say, Hey, we can help as he gives him some a guy weโve never heard off, right. Yeah. And look, thereโs probably going to be some of those guys mixed in. But, uh, you know, the counter to what you said about the Cubs, I would also say, well, the Cubs made the playoffs, five out of six years, you know, they gave themselves a six year window where they were highly competitive, right? I mean, theyโve won.
Nestor J. Aparicio 21:34
Well, the Nationals could have been in three World Series, and they got in the one and they won, right, like Sure. They were good. That is the window. Right? Youโre getting on to the World Series last year.
Luke Jones 21:42
Yeah, look it again, you canโt trade your way into a World Series. And what I mean by that is, you could do all these make all these deals and, and have the ken Rosenthalโs and the Jeff Passons of the world on August 1, praising you for all that you did. And you can still lose the short series and the divisional round. I mean, thatโs just trying to train
Nestor J. Aparicio 22:02
yourself into a good game three starter. Thatโs really what. Sure And
Luke Jones 22:07
thatโs why, but Iโve also talked a lot about the bullpen and saying, Look, I love Corbin burns, I love Grayson Rodriguez, Iโll take that one two punch going up against just about anyone in baseball. You know, I think thatโs really compelling. Game three, obviously, is another story. But there are other teams in baseball other contenders in baseball, where theyโre not gonna feel as good as about their game three in game for starters. I mean, thatโs how this works. And Iโll say, and this is why Iโll come back to the bullpen. How many of those game three and four starters even on rotations that you feel are deeper than the Orioles? How many of those guys are going to be guys that navigate a lineup and a postseason game? Three times. Thatโs youโre talking about a short list of starting pitchers in this day and age, weโre going to do that. So my point is you want to back for the sixth inning. Right? You
Nestor J. Aparicio 22:52
better have that? Right?
Luke Jones 22:53
You better have four guys in your bullpen that you feel really strongly about that you have conviction about where you can use them in just about any spot. Yeah, youโre gonna have your closer Yeah, youโre gonna have your primary eighth inning guy whoever thatโs going to be for the Orioles because the eighth inning right now who knows? Is it Jacob Webb? Is it younger? No. I mean, itโs kind of depends. Certainly not the same conviction that you had last year. At this time for you and your kin. No, although, you know, it feels like heโs starting to bounce back a little bit again after some struggles but
Nestor J. Aparicio 23:21
checkmate Joe Flacco and to say they went a lot of games around here. They donโt do a lot of games. Now, yeah. And, and again, this kind of goes
Luke Jones 23:29
back to the big picture, the 30,000 foot look all along has been helped fans and even meet media have perceived this team. You know, Kyle Bradish, made what eight starts nine starts, John means made four starts Tyler wells made three starts mean, this teamโs gotten to this point, not because of what those guys have done. Itโs been because of obviously burns and Rodriguez a lot. But the point is, other guys have stepped up and pitched well. Theyโve had a higher floor than anyone would have thought when it comes to both their rotation and their bullpen. But that said, you need ceiling for October, you need shut down elite kind of arms coming out of the back end of that bullpen. And thatโs why Iโve said yeah, a number three starters. Great. I Iโm not disagreeing with that. But at the same time, you know, letโs not get caught up in romanticizing Jack Morris of 35 years ago, understanding that those performances you donโt see in October anymore. I mean, itโs rare. I mean, even the best of the best or maybe going seven innings in a postseason game. So you need bullpen arms. So thatโs why Iโll continue to bang the table as that being an even bigger priority for me, then number three starter number four starter in the postseason. Which again, yes, upgrade, yes. Stabilize? Yes. You want to certainly fortify this rotation. For one. You donโt know if someoneโs going to tweak a hamstring trying to cover first base or something like that. I mean, thereโs no guarantee See that youโre out of the woods in terms of health concerns. So you certainly want to fortify but they got
Nestor J. Aparicio 25:06
worked out the pitching is an issue here, that short pitching just that a general sense. If youโre saying what their issue is in a sentence depth of pitching,
Luke Jones 25:13
hereโs the problem. Depth of pitching is an issue everywhere. So the point is now, other contenders, and then you get into wildcard race where? I mean, you even mentioned the Cubs. And look, I donโt think the cubs are gonna be buyers. Donโt get me wrong. But the cubs are four and a half games out of the last wildcard spot. I mean, that just speaks to how muddy the waters are, in terms of cake. Who exactly is buying? Who exactly selling, thatโs where I think Iโll continue to come back to this. And some people will listen to this and think Iโm crazy. I still think thereโs a potential for a deal that involves Major League talent. And it might be the Orioles deal someone from their roster, in addition to some prospects to go get some pitching. And I donโt know if that might open up everyday playing time for a Kobe male or at that point, youโre saying, okay, Jackson holidays coming back. And, you know, theyโre not that there wouldnโt be a path for him right now. But the point is, there are a lot of different ways this can go I, Iโve seen numerous reports and speculate and lots of speculation about someone like Tampa Bay, who, Iโm not a believer in the rays whatsoever. But, you know, theyโre still kind of sort of not out of the wildcard race. Weโve seen some teams in the last couple of years, even be buyers and sellers, where they might sell off a couple of veteran players, but they might go add something else. So I just think with the Orioles with all the assets that they have, and again, ownership and payroll expectations and all that being the wildcard here. There are a lot of possibilities for as far as what the Orioles could do. And thatโs where I look at the big picture and come back to what we talked about originally, which was the premium of the premium prospects. And I look at someone like Kobe mayo, and say, okay, yeah, he would be an amazing piece to trade for an elite pitcher that may or may not be available out there. But at the same time, I look at some of the guys that have been in Baltimore for four or five years now, like a Ryan mountcastle, for example, when I think we know what mountcastle is, at this point. Heโs up and down when heโs hot, you love him when when heโs not hot. Heโs baton seventh in your order, as we saw the other night. So thatโs not a knock on him. But heโs also got, what two more years of club control? Do you really want to be in a position where youโre trading Kobe Mayo when he could be your first baseman of the future? And, look, he could be your first baseman of the very near future. So Iโm not saying that as jumping on the table saying you must trade Ryan mountcastle Today, either. But the point is, there are a lot of different combinations, a lot of different possibilities to go out and make trades. Thatโs why, you know, even if you say weโre not trading holiday, weโre not trading Besides, weโre not trading mail. Thatโs fine. You still have a dozen other guys in your system that I think would still be very appealing in the right combination of you know, in a trade package. So you
Nestor J. Aparicio 28:10
mentioned Tampa like a lot. Weโll see weโll indivision thereโll be if they love Conor Norby and they love a player, and theyโre gonna get that player out of that. I donโt I think thatโs going away a little bit a little bit.
Luke Jones 28:22
It should I mean, it should. Iโve said this over and over. Weโve talked about this a lot, even talking about football. Where, look, if you have a trade partner in the division, donโt get me wrong. Iโll view that as the tiebreaker for not wanting to make a deal. But if one of your division rivals is offering up the best deal, shame on you, if youโre not going to take it,
Nestor J. Aparicio 28:44
right. Imagine queen had no problem
28:46
taking the Steelers money. Exactly. Well, sure. Sure. It wasnโt exactly what I was going for. But the point you know what
Nestor J. Aparicio 28:51
thereโs a thought with the Ravens have traded him to the Steelers, they probably would have tried to trade him elsewhere in the same way row, Quan Smith and get traded through the Packers.
Luke Jones 28:59
Sure, sure, sure. But at the same time, if if you have a trade possibility, and the Steelers offer up the best deal, then I donโt think you should take an inferior deal just because of that. So you know, thereโs nuance with that. I mean, Iโll tell you the team that I think is way more interesting in terms of in the division. What about the Toronto Blue Jays? I mean, look at some of those pitchers who get it theyโre not all having great years. But thereโs some guys that in recent history have pitch really, really well. And, you know, thatโs a team that I donโt think is tearing it down entirely and going into a full rebuild, but they certainly need to do some retooling. So, I think well, theyโre
Nestor J. Aparicio 29:41
stars didnโt make it right. I mean, you know, their stars havenโt been what rutschman and understand a bit.
Luke Jones 29:48
Yeah, but at the same time, you know, look at someone who pitched on Tuesday night now they lost out in San Francisco Tuesday. But Kikuchi, left handed, he went seven and a third innings struck out 30 mean, I mean, Miss bats his season era is for itโs not tremendous. But if youโre looking for upside, if youโre looking for someone to get on a roll, if youโre looking for someone who has a track record, yeah. Is there a deal to be made for someone like him? Even within the division? So, look, we could talk about 15 different teams right now the Orioles could potentially trade with, but itโs still complicated because you have so many of these teams where you just keep saying, Are they buyerโs or sellerโs? I mean, you know, the rangers who even I had left for dead probably talking to talking about them two days, two or three days ago, you know, theyโve won five in a row. Theyโre still 44 and 48 are still way back for a wildcard spot. I still think they probably wise, at this point, theyโre probably wise to be sellers, especially with some of the expiring contracts. They havenโt some of the veteran players they have. So but they keep winning. And weโve talked about Seattle coming back to Earth and not not being able to swing the bats. I mean, yeah, they might say, Hey, weโre not giving up on this yet. So, point is, we still have what, just under three weeks to go until the trade deadline. Michael is is working the phones, theyโve been working the phones theyโve been talking to team. Well,
Nestor J. Aparicio 31:10
itโs an important couple of weeks of baseball to it general sense for who wins and who loses the next week. I mean, cubs lose a couple of games here, they win Tuesday night, but if they lost some games, theyโd be much more capable of being a trading partner. So watching baseball, the next two or three weeks, youโll get a vibe for whoโs in and whoโs out. Yeah,
Luke Jones 31:28
I mean, werenโt the angels the prime example of that last last July? I mean, think about it. Everyone was talking about Oh, okay. Well, you know, Otani is going to be a free agent, you got to trade him and they say, No, weโre not trading Shohei Otani. In fact, weโre gonna make a run at this and they went out made moves, it was a disaster. They completely fell apart. And they ended up losing Otani anyway, and what few assets they had in their system, they traded away. So, you know, youโre gonna have teams that do smart things, youโre gonna have teams that do dumb things, youโre gonna have teams that buy when they
Nestor J. Aparicio 32:01
should. So you also have general managers and managers, we have to win or veteran players, or teams of players on contracts and saying, weโre more all in right now. I mean, Red Sox fans are beating on them about like, not quitting and staying in. And thereโs pressure and a lot of those points. I wouldnโt think Texas is one of those places, because theyโve won. You, Houston. Itโs such an awful start. Now theyโre in it. Theyโre just in it. Kansas Cityโs in it for the first time in a long time. Right. So you got the teams like Milwaukee, who dealt there number one Delta Cy Young winner, and theyโre still winning the division. Yeah.
Luke Jones 32:36
And then you have a team like the Orioles two years ago, who in July, they were in wildcard contention. Even if you didnโt believe they were going to do it mathematically. They were absolutely in the mix. And what did they do? They traded Trey man CD, which was not unexpected, but was unpopular at the time. And they traded Jorge Lopez who even guys like me, you fancy ourselves for thinking that weโre a little smart about baseball. Weโre kind of wondering about it. Well, two years later, Trey man Seanie is out of baseball. I mean, think about that out of baseball. And Jorge Lopez, last time we saw him was melting down with the Madsen was an absolute fiasco. So not to say that the Orioles have an abundance of players from those two trades that are helping them immediately. But your Canola is help them and help them a lot over the last calendar year. And you know what weโll see about Kate Povich, weโll see about Chase McDermott, who very much could be in the mix at least as a bullpen option for them maybe later in the season. So you make those trades at that point in time, and was unpopular at that point in time. In fact, if you remember, Mike Elias flew down to I think it was Arlington, you know, at the trade deadline to kind of talk to the team and say, Hey, this is whatโs happening here, guys, this isnโt donโt think that this is just much at the same. You know, we made a couple of deals here, a couple of difficult decisions here that might hurt us a little bit right now. But we think weโre going to be in a really, really good spot in the very near future. And lo and behold, Mike Elias was right at that point in time those trades were the right moves at those points. Those trades were never looked backs, like, but but at the time that it didnโt feel that way, though, right at the time, it felt like Man, these guys have finally turned the corner and your trading tray man Seanie. And your trading Jorge Lopez, who even has some more club control, and look, those ended up being the right decision. So you know, you have to, youโre always balancing the here and now with the big picture. And again, I want to see the Orioles make some moves. I think theyโre going to make some moves. I fully expect him to make some moves at the same time. I think we should know by now. Five, six years into the mike Elias era. Heโs not going to burn down the farm system just to try to what would amount to incrementally marginally try to improve your chances to win in October this year. Thereโs always a balance of right now with the big picture and Look, theyโre gonna add a starting pitcher. Theyโre gonna add some bullpen arms. But to your point that you made five minutes ago, you know, Jack Flaherty at that point in time. You know, they were hoping that that was going to be, and Iโm better than that. Yeah. You hope you do better than that at the same time. The other thing you talked about this the other day, just the risk in general, you can go out and acquire some starter that you feel great about. And then guess what happens? Three starts into it, his elbow sore. I mean, thereโs so much unpredictability here. There is so much variance there is so much unknown, and that you canโt let that paralyze you to the point where you donโt make any moves. But at the same time, Iโll continue to say if weโre talking about the Orioles still playing baseball on October 24. Iโm guessing itโs gonna be a heck of a lot more about Corbin burns, Grayson Rodriguez, Gunnar Henderson, Adley, rutschman, Jordan Westberg, then players A B and C they acquire at the trade deadline. And thatโs look thatโs thatโs a captain obvious statement when youโre talking about all stars and above average talent that I just rattled off there. But look whoโs healthy. Who gets hot at the right time? Texas? You said it. Texas and Arizona at this time last year? No, maybe the rangers to a lesser extent because the Rangers they play good baseball but especially Arizona, no one, no one was talking about them, making it an October run at this time last year. And you see what happened. So you know, thereโs thereโs still way more luck, way more variants involved in all this than any of us care to admit. Thatโs why first and foremost, you just want to get in and anything else you want to say about the Orioles pitching and all that thatโs thatโs fine, but theyโre going to be in the playoffs. So at the very least they have that going for them. And thatโs why I said you this trade deadline not as something thatโs great angst or great concern. Itโs a great opportunity because this is already a heck of a baseball team. And they have an opportunity here to make it even better and thatโs whatโs exciting.
Nestor J. Aparicio 37:01
Luke Jones will be at the ballpark tonight. Youโll be there this weekend. The Yankees in town will be together on Friday at fayed Leeโs at the new Lexington market. Iโll have the Gold Rush sevens doublers to give away from the Maryland lottery our friends at Jiffy Lube and liberty peer solutions putting us out on the road. The oyster tour is coming together in my mind. Football seasonโs coming together in Lukeโs mind but heโs on vacation next week and we have an all star game coming up lots and lots of cool stuff going on at Baltimore positive.com as well as in our social media space. I am Mr. He is loop we are wn st am 1570, Towson Baltimore. And we never stop talking Baltimore positive