With the World Series featuring an 84-win team, we share some thoughts on the MLB wild card and the impact of bye weeks on postseason results since Rob Manfred and the owners started rewarding mediocrity with October opportunity.
SUMMARY KEYWORDS
teams, ravens, baseball, year, move, game, win, quarterback, people, watch, week, derrick henry, wildcard, second round pick, series, super bowl, postseason, orioles, players, sellers
SPEAKERS
Luke Jones, Nestor Aparicio
Nestor Aparicio 00:01
Welcome back at W N S, T, Towson Baltimore and Baltimore positive we are a positive taking the Maryland crabcake tour back out on the road beginning next week. You know sometimes you go into a place and youโre like give me double cakes too too quick, like itโs a little expensive these days, especially if youโre making a big the way they do over Cocoโs, but you were going to do like double duty. Weโre going to do double crabcake tours later on in the month because itโs Thanksgiving and pumpkin pie and good football and ravens are 62 Itโs all brought to you by our friends at weathernation 866 90. Nation you buy two you get two free 0% financing for five years as well as Jiffy Lube, multi care locations everywhere in and out nice quick thatโs the way they do it there as well. This week is kind of special because itโs the end of the baseball season. I thought I knew it was a special week when I woke up on Sunday morning and I had to re remember that the Houston Oilers were coming back out of the closet. And it sounded like a good idea until I saw Oilers all over the Tennessee field. And then it made me itch a little bit. But look Joe joins us now weโre gonna talk some sports. We talked a lot of football. Weโve talked trading deadline we talked ravens offense weโve talked but thereโs other things going on in the league. Certainly with that oiler jersey. I think you had more to say about that. I know I did as well. As well as itโs been a week since we got we can be less than we got together that the Phillies were going to the World Series. What happened to
Luke Jones 01:29
the bats went went asleep. But a credit the Arizona Diamondbacks. And weโll weโll talk about the World Series. But yeah, thereโs I think we focus so much on the ravens and inconsistency or okay, they look great against Detroit, they didnโt look as great against Arizona. Theyโre six and two, the Forum One on the Road, theyโre in good shape. And then when you look around at the rest of the league, and you realize even the other teams that you view as contenders. Itโs itโs choppy, itโs a week to week League. Itโs weird. For every signature game or statement game there. Thereโs a lot that goes on on a week to week basis that you forget about in a matter of a week or two or three weeks. But, you know, I think thatโs where we already talked about the trade deadline. But you look at the landscape of the AFC just for example, where, okay, you got four teams that are six and two, but buffalo is five and three and people have been down on them, but they look like maybe the best team a month ago. You know, they get they get a Thursday night when I mean youโve youโve already mentioned how your disdain and not just your Vandersteen. But how mediocre to bad Pittsburgh and Cleveland looks. Well, theyโre still in playoff spots right now. So what does that tell you? In the context of talking about the trade deadline, we could talk about these teams being sellers, but there are teams that are right there. You know, you donโt have a quarterback.
Nestor Aparicio 02:53
Why are you a seller? You donโt I mean, like itโs very obvious. Pittsburgh doesnโt have a quarterback Cleveland didnโt have a quarterback they can rely on. And even if that kid gets on the field to think that heโs going to be a world beater in this system. Like, I mean, the Redskins were excuse me commanders running around with this, this guy that I mean, look at the Giants situation and a thoughts for our friend Tyrod Taylor, who I know we both have a great fondness for Tyrod I saw him at the Super Bowl a year and a half ago, he looked great and heโs back in the league he gets a chance to play and then winds up in the hospital. So I mean, the quarterback position when I said to you, there might be 12 teams, youโre like thereโs not 12 quarterbacks
Luke Jones 03:33
Yeah, in terms of teams that can but you got to remember not every teamโs thinking Super Bowl or bust. Thatโs not how this works. I mean, you have teams there are teams in the league right now that would give their right arm to be the number seven seed in the AFC or the NFC because they havenโt been to the playoffs in three years or four years or five years or whatever it might be so you have to remember that this is all tiered and I agree with your overall sentiment but at the same time you have teams that say well you know what? We yeah weโre looking for that quarterback or weโre trying to develop our guy but our the best solution for us isnโt necessarily to trade away three of our other best players or trade away our two other best players because then what are we doing there? Weโre just moving further away so I mean thereโs thereโs different ways to view this and as much as you might have forward thinking teams that are apt to make more trades whether weโre talking about teams like the Ravens who have been buyers pretty consistently for three or four years now at the trade deadline or whether you have teams that are selling off pieces and you know we saw Tennessee sell off their their longtime safety you know what a week week and a half ago so
Nestor Aparicio 04:42
and by the way one game to bring back the Oilers jerseys kid loves Kosan plays that might be the thing that makes Derrick Henry not a raven or not something else this week because if you get a quarterback that in a minute I mean Brock Purdy where we see this time last year, right? Like I mean I And I guess the weather changes on some of these guys, whether itโs Dak Prescott, Josh Allen, these guys that are elite guys donโt always look elite either.
Luke Jones 05:09
Right, right. I mean, itโs, you know, the difference between three and four and four and three is one game. But thatโs that one game separating being, you know, weโre talking about seems like Tennessee oh, maybe they should be a seller, or one game out of the final playoff spot. And, again, if you buy into the lower of will Levis, and look he played a great game, but this first game, you know, I think if youโre looking at a big picture standpoint, if Iโm in the front office for the Titans, Iโm probably not drastically changing how I view the trade deadline today, compared to how I viewed it last Thursday, for example, but we also know teams, we talked about this with the angels in baseball, this past trade deadline, look at what they decided to do and how, how much of a disaster that turned out to be So
Nestor Aparicio 05:55
complexity when you are a bad team, thatโs three and four thatโs never done anything letโs letโs call it what it is. The Tennessee Titans as just as an example of this, get an owner thatโs half crazy, you know, already bringing out old markings that donโt mean anything a tendency to sell stuff, right? Youโve got a fan base thatโs sort of indifferent, or college football fan base for a lot of these Tampa, Atlanta, Jacksonville is good this year. But in those places where people their attention span goes to some other place, throw in the towel in is different for the general manager, or the head coach for the young players on the team or even the veteran players on the team. But it always does come down to ownership at this point, right like and which way the wind is blowing with your ownership.
Luke Jones 06:44
Yeah, and I mean, a sport like football, weโve also seen the teams can turn around really quickly. I mean, and maybe this isnโt the best time to say this, because weโre currently watching a World Series in which you have two teams that last 100 games plus two years ago. So maybe it applies in other sports, but the NFL, I mean, youโre one really good draft away from turning things around, even if youโre pretty lousy right now. So at the same time, you have teams that theyโre reluctant to move on from players because they have unrealistic demands from ownership or a head coach and a general manager that are saying, you know, what, sneaking in, even if we donโt have a shot in you know what, winning the Super Bowl, sneaking in as the number seven seed in the AFC or the NFC probably gives us another year with our jobs.
Nestor Aparicio 07:32
Give it a chance on that. How about the jets on that? Right? Like their foreign three they stay probably right? For three and that you know, theyโre rarely foreign free so that theyโre a buyer when theyโre four and three even though the quarterbacks a mess.
Luke Jones 07:48
Yeah, I mean, and I donโt think the Jets stink I think their quarterback stinks. But when your quarterback stinks, thatโs gonna you stay you basically stink. But but theyโre foreign three. So again, you know, itโs easy to point at a team like the Cardinals and say, okay, Cardinals selling I donโt know if they have a whole lot to sell at this point. But sellers, Carolina sellers, patriots at this point at two and six crazy to say it because itโs Bill Belichick. But sellers are they should be at least
Nestor Aparicio 08:15
in Indianapolis, when you have a crazy owner across glass to bring the running back and back in when itโs too late. Yeah,
Luke Jones 08:23
but well, not just that, but also their, their top five quarterback that they drafted out for the year who, you know, he showed some promise early on, but also got knocked out of three games because of injuries, you know, and kind of the, as played out in the way that people feared Lamar Jackson would you know, at the beginning of his career, I mean, he he actually was getting hurt and getting knocked out of games with regularity talking about Anthony Richardson, of course. So, so but, you know, you look at those seams at the bottom and Okay, those are easy decisions to make. I mean, they clearly should be looking to move. veteran players who have an expiring deal if you can get a fifth round, pick next yearโs draft or get a fourth round pick two years from now or whatever. You know what?
Nestor Aparicio 09:04
Dude, Washington, the Giants, the Packers, the bears, the Panthers, the Rams, the Cardinals, they all there, theyโre all done. I mean, literally, thatโs a lot of teams and a lot of players that weโre talking weโre focused on Derrick Henry or a pass rusher. I think thereโs gonna be movement just on that, on that basis alone that that there isnโt desperation, you know, and inspiration to some degree at this point, right.
Luke Jones 09:33
Yeah, but Iโll go back look at Minnesota who is done now because Kirk Cousins tore his Achilles theyโre the number seven going into Monday Night Football theyโre the number seven seed at foreign for
Nestor Aparicio 09:44
so to chase keep them away from 10 wins. But Iโm just
Luke Jones 09:49
youโre talking about some youโre lumping some teams in there and saying theyโre done. And I agree that theyโre done in the sense that I donโt view them at all as a Super Bowl contender, but those teams are still in the wildcard race. So This is what happens when you expand the playoff field. And thatโs why Iโm, Iโm always and Iโve talked about this a lot with baseball the last couple of years since weโve expanded and add a third wildcard team. I mean, the Arizona Diamondbacks are in the World Series after winning 84 games, think about that. So
Nestor Aparicio 10:19
the Orioles winning games next year, weโre gonna burn the city down, right.
Luke Jones 10:23
But they might be in the World Series, if theyโre the number 16. And they they get right, or they get hot at the right time. I mean, you know, so, look, there, there are lots of teams that should operate certain ways. And we see all the time that they donโt. So thatโs where all those teams you just mentioned, Iโm not convinced some of those teams that you just mentioned, truly consider themselves finished to the point where theyโre going to sell off players. Again, itโs easy to talk about Arizona, theyโre one in seven, itโs easy to talk about Carolinaโs one in six. But for those teams that are, you know, even three and five, let alone four and four, three and four, you know, there, it doesnโt take much for individuals who are desperate, who are trying to save their job, who donโt have the long term job security that youโve mentioned that an Eric to caster or a job
Nestor Aparicio 11:13
making a third round draft pick next year, anywhere, right. But but
Luke Jones 11:16
so they have those teams that are saying, you know, letโs, and that doesnโt mean that theyโre going to necessarily be buyers, either. But youโll have some teams thatโll say, letโs let this play out a little bit more. So I donโt know. You know, I mean, weโre still in relatively new territory for the NFL to be much more of an active trade deadline after that being a punch line for years. I mean, I remember when the Ravens acquired I mean, Eugene Monroe was 10 years ago. Now. That was a point in time where when there was a blockbuster move, and that wasnโt a blockbuster. But that was a notable move, you know, former first round pick for Jacksonville getting dealt in the Ravens defending Super Bowl champs trying to salvage a disaster of an offensive line at the time. But back then, when there was a blockbuster movie, I mean, it blew you away. You were shocked now. You almost expected you know, a couple of those. I mean, we saw it last year with McCaffrey go into San Francisco and how crazy that was after he had Carolina had viewed him as the franchise so to speak. Well, that
Nestor Aparicio 12:24
for all the sorts that happened to massage it most of the year 30 years Iโve been on the radio where there were times where the NBA trading deadline meant more meant less based on the salary cap and draft picks and weโre that league is gone hockey, always tons of deals and itโs always fringe third and fourth line guys that wind up playing in June with a beard and youโre like holy hell I mean, how do they know they needed a left wing on their third line? The football is different and I think football was always different than a weโre gonna buy a pitcher heโs gonna come in and just pitch or weโre gonna buy a centerfield or heโs gonna play centerfield. He knows a position. Talk about bringing Derrick Henry in and having a run around having them learn your offense and your cadence and, and the sleight of hand of Lamar. Like all that stuff you want to work on as a team. Itโs hard to plug and play, which is why the RO Quan Smith thing last year really speaks to what a special football areas.
Luke Jones 13:22
Yeah, and I think of running back and maybe in the Ravens offense because they do so much matchpoint stuff with, you know, some zone read and obviously RPOs, things like that it is a little bit different. But for the most part, thatโs one of the positions where you would say the learning curve is on the easier end. Whereas you trade a quarterback, you know, and there had been talking obviously, itโs a moot point now, but you know, thereโd been so much discussion on whether the Vikings were going to consider moving Kirk Cousins now they said they werenโt going to. But had they, you know, that would have been fascinating to see that. I mean, weโve seen Weโve seen some quarterbacks here and there move during the regular season. But you know, thatโs typically an offseason thing that happens. But it is interesting in terms of the learning curve, I mean, you know, wide receivers. You know, I think I made mention when we talked about the trade deadline, as much as thereโs focus on running backs, you know, whether itโs a Derrick Henry Zack Moss, you know, I mean, the Giants say theyโre not trading say, Quan Barkley, of course, but, you know, is there a move to be made for the ravens to upgrade at say, left guard, for example, you know, John Simpson has been fine. He hasnโt been great. Far from it. You know, is there a move to be made? Thatโs a little more off the radar that you donโt have to give up a whole lot. But do you think, hey, this will make us better at left guard, and thatโs gonna make Gus Edwards better? Thatโs
Nestor Aparicio 14:37
gonna be another Kevin Zeitler on the other side, or another Morgan motion? Yeah,
Luke Jones 14:41
exactly. Exactly. Or, you know, someone that might have a year left on his deal. And we know that Kevin Zeitler is going to be a free agent, and heโs not getting any younger and Morgan, Moses isnโt getting any younger. So again, there are different ways to look at this thing. And thatโs where I think the Ravens specifically but any team thatโs in this conversation, you know, Youโd rather be in a position where you donโt feel like you need to make a move. But there are certainly moves you can make to improve. Whereas you rarely want to be in a position where youโre acting out of desperation. Right. And thatโs where I think these teams that are three and five, you know, with a GM or a head coach thatโs on on the hot seat, or a team thatโs foreign for that. Yeah, theyโre sitting right there a half game out of the final wildcard spot in their conference. But yeah, thatโs where you donโt want to make a foolish move. And that, you know, thatโs where, you know, going back to just Derrick Henry, as an example. What Derrick Henry make 25 different teams 26 different teams running game better, probably more than that. Yes. Does that mean you should give up a second round pick for him? Or does that mean, a number of teams out there should give up a third round pick to rent Derrick Henry? No, that would be foolish for a lot of teams to do that. So you know, it comes back to Fit comes back to how healthy you are, comes back to where you are next year, in terms of the salary cap, draft picks? I mean, you, you youโve mentioned for the Ravens talking about you know, where they are, you know, I would almost say, because they have some dead money on next yearโs cap, because the void years they did this year and a number of their deals, because theyโre in a position that, yeah, you have a premium top shelf quarterback that youโre paying now, and youโve got some other guys. Yeah, you want to try to make a move to make yourself better now, but at the same time, you donโt want to do anything thatโs going to derail you next year, or the year after that, either. So you know, itโs all of this is a fine balance, right. And thereโs a wide, you know, thereโs a wide gap between going all in and having a fire sale, and all these teams that are kind of in the middle. You know, theyโre trying to figure out what exactly they want to do. And teams like the ravens, or the Chiefs told me the Chiefs couldnโt use a running or the bills can use a running back like Derrick Henry, you know, so I mean, itโs, itโs fascinating. And, you know, ultimately it comes down to, are these teams serious about being sellers? And what I mean by that is, theyโre actually going to take, accept a reasonable deal, or are the Titans dreaming, saying, Oh, well, trade Derrick Henry, but itโs gonna cost you a first round pick? Well, that means youโre not really willing to trade Derrick Henry, right, because the value would be completely out of whack in terms of renting a run, I
Nestor Aparicio 17:21
think in most cases, when youโre ready to deal with a player, youโre just going to take the highest bid in the middle of a season, whatever the highest bid is, thatโs going to be what the deal is. And if the highest bid on Derrick Henry is a fourth round pick, if nobodyโs willing to move off of that, then you decide weโll keep them. You know, I mean, like that, yeah, then that becomes easier. But I think if the best you could do as a third round pick, you probably do that. And if you can get a second round pick, because there really is bidding, then you get that too. I mean, and I think these general managers know each other well enough, as we learned in the offseason of whatever the collusion was that involved Lamar Jackson not even visiting another team and being available. As we watch all these turds get rolled out in the NFL and other teams had an opportunity to get him. You know, this isnโt a wake up Monday morning and learn the market. I mean, Georgia, Kenya has you know, every team has people on this all the time. And the ravens are at the top of class at all of this at picking up players when Kyle van Noy, you know, picking up players when a guy gets injured, and they get low on the depth chart, whether itโs Arthur Mallette, you know, these these guys that they wind up going in and finding and thatโs part of winning, too. I mean, thatโs been part of both of their championships, and every championship from the beginning of time is, how do you add football players after September 1, and fortify your team when your guys get hurt. And whether that comes from development, player personnel, trade, whatever. The league has become much more open to that. And I think it makes it more fun. Certainly more fun when you get
Luke Jones 19:01
it definitely makes it more fun at the same time. While youโre right that there are teams that are using that to their advantage. There are other teams who, frankly donโt know what theyโre doing. I mean, look at the bears last year. Okay, they traded row Quan Smith, you could certainly argue that they should have kept him youโre talking about someone whoโs 25 years old, but Iโll hear that and look off ball linebacker, you and I had this talk and debate about you
Nestor Aparicio 19:24
want to give me money as you remember, right? Yeah. Was your um, you know, I
Luke Jones 19:28
mean, I, I probably would have been a little more reluctant. Sure. Sure. And you know, if I was wrong on that I was wrong on that. Thatโs fine. Bro. Quan Smith, a great football player. At the same time the bears got a second round pick for him and then what did they do? They go around and flip a second round pick the Pittsburgh for Chase. Claypool whoโs not even on their team anymore, because he stinks that bad. So, you know, there you have a case where the bears could have made the absolute best out of a bad situation of their own doing with ro Quan Smith and how that how that relationship had disintegrated but then they go around Got a turnaround in a trade a second round pick to Pittsburgh, who had to be laughing to get rid of as much as the Steelers offense stinks. Chase. Claypool wasnโt, you know, trading him wasnโt the reason why, you know. So you see teams that donโt make moves and they clearly donโt understand how to value players so and values different. Christian McCaffrey look at the value heโs brought to the San Francisco 40, Niners and how they want to try to play football. Would that be the same for other teams that donโt play the same exact style? Probably not. But, you know, beauty is in the eye of the beholder. And, you know, to go back to using bro Quan Smith as the example the Ravens have designed a defense, Mike McDonald has designed a defense that has really placed so much emphasis over the middle portion of the field. And yeah, thatโs an old principle that Ozzie Newsome had years ago. But itโs been reimagined a little bit, itโs evolved. Itโs certainly you know, because you play defense differently now, because itโs much more of a passing centric league. But, you know, the Ravens have designed and schemed up the defense were having to off ball linebackers like ro Quan Smith and Patrick queen have carries more value than other teams and how they try to play defense. So again, itโs a moving target. Itโs all relative, and weโre gonna see how this plays out. But just because we sit here and say, well, that team should be a seller does not mean theyโre going to do that. And again, in the case of the angels in baseball this past summer, everyone in their mother was saying they should be sellers, and they did the exact opposite. And they were saying, hey, you know, weโre not so bad. And then about three or four weeks later, they were a disaster. And youโre looking at that and saying, Wow, youโre gonna, youโre gonna lose Shohei Otani for nothing now, so, I mean, itโs, itโs how it sometimes plays out. And itโs gonna be really interesting to see how this, how this goes down over the next, you know, the next day or so and talk reconvene at the end of the week and see, you know, whoโs really improved themselves and, you know, who are the teams that maybe stand pat and maybe only made a move thatโs gonna help you on the margins?
Nestor Aparicio 22:14
Alright, so Iโm gonna have you complete a sentence here. And I donโt know where youโre going with this, but the 2023 World Series is blank.
Luke Jones 22:24
What is this for you?
Nestor Aparicio 22:27
Because it really is it? I donโt, I hate the Rangers. So I you know, I sort of rooting for the Diamondbacks, even though I like bocce over the course time. So I mean, Iโm sort of watching it, but like, even my wife a pint, sheโs like, huh, this is a little. Yeah,
Luke Jones 22:44
yeah, itโs mad. And you know what? Itโs itโs more of a systemic thing for me. Because while itโs fun to talk about that, and look, the Diamondbacks give them credit. You know, theyโve gone on a great run here.
Nestor Aparicio 22:57
Itโs fun to watch Skidmore.
Luke Jones 22:58
Theyโve got good young players, no doubt. At the same time, they werenโt ready for games this year. And for guys, like me, who Iโm a baseball nerd, I flat out admit, and Iโm sure there are plenty of people who listen and roll their eyes when Iโll start citing a certain stat here or there, citing third time through the order for starting pitchers and why teams operate and use their bullpens the way they do now, but
Nestor Aparicio 23:24
I hope thatโs why people listen, by the way, but the problem
Luke Jones 23:27
with what weโre seeing with the Diamondbacks is not 2023 and it happening right now and the idea that the Diamondbacks might win the World Series. My problem is we are trending in a direction where this is going to continue to happen more and more and more
Nestor Aparicio 23:44
what happens in ice hockey all the time, over 30 years, the eight seed would wind up playing in the Stanley Cup Finals.
Luke Jones 23:50
And look, thatโs great for the postseason itself. Right. But what has that done the hotkeys regular season. We talked about it all the time. Yeah, we talked about in the NBA. The 82. I mean, my gosh, the NBA is trying to spark interest in their lot too long 82 game season, they are doing a tournament at the beginning of the season, for some reason, just because itโs gonna make for good TV. By
Nestor Aparicio 24:15
the way, by the way, I was sitting at tacos and beer on Paradise in Las Vegas at a bar alone, having chips and salsa and this man and his wife were sitting in the chairs next to me. And he was he was a Laker, you know, NBA their West Coast people. He was trying to explain load management to life at the bar. Before to see you too. And Iโm just the fly didnโt say anything. Iโm just sitting there listening to him. Explain. Well, they donโt want these guys to get tired. Iโm like, Itโs August 25. Yeah.
Luke Jones 24:50
Thatโs funny. Thatโs funny. But, but so you have that and baseball, more than any other sport. But in day to day in game variance is extremely high. We know that the worst team in baseball plays the best team in baseball, and will win and win somewhat frequently. Now over the long haul, of course, the bet the better team is going to win more. But when you start to expand your postseason, and youโre allowing more and more marginal 8485 83 Win teams in which this system is going to do that, and oh, by the way, baseball wants to expand the 32 teams. Now, I donโt know if thatโs going to happen five years from now, or 10 years from now, but thatโs going to happen. And you know, whatโs going to look, the next logical step is going to be, theyโre going to structure this and itโs going to look more like the NFL, theyโll probably go to 414 divisions in each league. And what are they going to do, then theyโre going to have eight teams make. So weโre gonna go from six to eight, that will happen. I donโt know if itโs gonna
Nestor Aparicio 25:53
play the World Series when it Christmas.
Luke Jones 25:58
I donโt know or will will start to see it. And theyโll talk about moving it to a neutral site, because thatโs what they do with the Super Bowl. Right? So but the point Iโm making is, in a sport where there is high variance, day to day, because there is the Oakland Athletics were the worst team in baseball this year, they had a seven game winning streak. That wasnโt because they were suddenly great. Itโs flipping a coin, right? You flip a coin. And sometimes you might have a run where itโll land on heads four or five times in a row. And on the flip
Nestor Aparicio 26:29
side, youโre in the playoffs and youโre in a best of five. You can steal a series very easily.
Luke Jones 26:37
And itโs not even really stealing. Itโs just I mean, space. Oakland won seven games in a row. The Braves, the Dodgers and the Orioles 300 Win plus teams to share all had four game losing streaks. What does a four game losing streak equate to in the playoffs? It means youโre going home? Heck, first round the wildcard round out, you lose two you have bad a bad 27 hours. And youโre done. So, look, thatโs if we all acknowledge that and everyoneโs fine with that. Okay.
Nestor Aparicio 27:05
But
Luke Jones 27:07
wait, that makes me not want to invest nearly as much in the regular season. It makes me not want to, and not me specifically, but general baseball fan. And for me, the beauty of baseball was the day to day of the long six month regular season. And look, Iโm not anti postseason, and I like a Cinderella as much as the next person. But you know, what, if Cinderella starts to happen every single year, itโs not Cinderella anymore. Itโs just Oh, well, the regular season doesnโt mean anything. And then itโs just like,
Nestor Aparicio 27:36
I think we all know this though, Luke. And thatโs why I beat you up every year, the team is good. You and Iโve been together 16 years now. Weโve only had a handful of these years. And every year, weโre good. I start in June by saying you better win game one, you better win game one, you better win game one. And we know what happened around here when they didnโt win game one. But at the same
Luke Jones 27:55
time, I guess my point is winning game one. Like I think the thing that bugs me more than seeing an 8014 win, or an 84 Win team in the World Series is that you see these narratives and look, I get it baseball writers have to write stories, right? But that this team is somehow like, this special. Theyโre special. You know, weโve heard this a lot with the Royals back in 14, right? That they were special and like this teams come together? No, there wasnโt some master plan to only be an 84 Win team, they got hired at the right time. And I donโt think that thatโs necessarily, you know, like, the best team doesnโt always win. In fact, quite often the best team doesnโt win. And if people are okay with that, then thatโs fine. But at the same time, it makes me as a, you know, speaking as just as a baseball fan, it makes me not as invested in why are we playing at 162 games schedule, if weโre just going to make it more and more of a crapshoot and a coin flip in October, you know, and that doesnโt mean I wanted to go back to 1954 either, where you just have the best team in the AFL and the best team in the NFL, make the World Series and thatโs it. But I guess I liked the system the way it had been, you know, which I was okay with going to the second wildcard and doing the wildcard game, because to me, it was a itโs a one game coin flip if you donโt like it when your division and we rewarded the three division winners with Hey there, theyโre all in the division round, you know, Division Series. But now what we have
Nestor Aparicio 29:25
conditional play was much more located to playing each other at that point, which was not a benefit that the orals or or or the rays were given finances, but what and some, some divisions were only a couple of teams, right? We have we have 14 divisions and 16 divisions, right. So you know, all of that played out to not be as fair if you were in the NL Central, right. Yeah, but the
Luke Jones 29:50
point I was trying to make is we now have a system where the top two teams are being rewarded with this weird five days off and look at Iโm not saying itโs an excuse, but itโs itโs weird. Itโs very anti on baseball, like, I mean, itโs just how do you how do you navigate that. And on the flip side, then you have the third division winner, who should be rewarded for winning the division and youโre subjecting them to a best out of three, you know, against, and I get it, theyโre playing at home, but itโs best out of three, you lose two games, youโre done. I mean, thatโs, again, think about how many teams you know, the best team in baseball loses how many series every year against good teams, medium teams and terrible teams. I mean, itโs just itโs baseball. So I donโt like how weโve now you know, I donโt like the expansion to the third wildcard. And the system is created, where itโs just, itโs made things even more random. And, you know, people like the randomness. And I know Rob Manfred did an interview what, prior to game one last Friday night, and, you know, heโs, heโs, heโs okay with it. And you know, why? Because the owners love postseason TV money, you know, more and more and more, more more postseason. And regular season be damned. You know, we donโt care, you know, and thatโs what, oh, but we still want you to come out and, and buy our 81 game a season ticket packages, even if weโre finding that those games now are becoming more devalued. Because, well, if you win 100 games, or you win 98 games, or you win 96 games? Well, you still, depending on how it shakes out, you still might be subjected to a best of three. So, you know, thatโs my long way of saying, you know, to answer your original question, net, net, I mean, itโs because I just, I guess my concern is, this is going to continue to happen. And a lot of people might be fine with that. And thatโs okay. And thatโs, weโll agree to disagree. And I still love baseball, letโs be clear about that. But, you know, I donโt love the idea of making it easier for 8485 86 When teams to be playing in the World Series. And if Iโm, you know, people disagree with me on that if they are
Nestor Aparicio 31:57
playing in the World Series. Itโs less compelling by its very nature, because theyโre not a great team. They just had a couple of good weeks.
Luke Jones 32:05
Yeah, well, and look, itโs itโs always been about getting hot in October. I mean, like, thatโs still thatโs the case, you know, for you know, thatโs been the case for Texas, who was in my mind at different times this year. I thought they might be the best team in the Al for stretches of this season, even though they you know, they finished with 90 wins. But think about this is how itโs changed on Nesta. If the Phillies had won game seven or won Game Six. You know, they played two games in Philadelphia and they have no one to blame but themselves. But if this had been the rain, watch
Nestor Aparicio 32:37
all the videos it was fun watching the Phillies fans meltdown. Yeah, but if this had
Luke Jones 32:41
been Rangers against Phillies, think about how the landscape changed. Would anyone have said either of those teams are underdogs, even though it would have been wildcard against wildcard? No. So it just speaks to how this the landscape is changing. And now, A True Underdog is oh, well, you sneak in as the last wildcard and you might have only won at four games. But hey, great. We love underdog stories, Cinderella. Itโs like the NCAA tournament, which, you know, great. I mean, if people like that, thatโs fine. And Iโm still watching the world.
Nestor Aparicio 33:14
I agree with you. Tip your cap, you beat the Dodgers, you beat the you know, you beat the teams they put in front of you. Good for you good for your fan base good for franchise. But is it really good for baseball? And I? And I would question that as I sit here and watch a less than compelling World Series. Yeah.
Luke Jones 33:33
I mean, itโs and look, itโs good for the local markets. And maybe thatโs the lesson we need to take away from this. And Iโve argued this point with you a lot. You know, when weโve had our debates about the future of baseball, the state of baseball, where itโs going, you know, being healthy, viable, long term, all those different things. Well, itโs also very local. Yeah, itโs a itโs a very regional, very local game. So from that standpoint, this might be exactly what they wanted. I mean, the Diamondbacks has been one of those teams that came up, you know, over the last couple of months in terms of the long term viability of their ballpark in their mind now, whether thatโs actually how it should be or not, I mean, weโve but weโve talked about this and weโve talked about here in Baltimore, of course, with the lease,
Nestor Aparicio 34:12
itโs amazing Arizona, because itโs such a baseball community, dude, like, you know what I mean? Like I go out there and spring training, itโs so much better experience than going to Florida, and kids play baseball, people talk baseball out there, itโs got the weather for it, all of that. And we just saw that the Ravens go out to Arizona and play football where itโs never really caught on although when I was out there for the Super Bowl the last time I had seen the growth from buddy Ryan and, and and you know, aluminum benches on 120 degree days at Sun Devil Stadium, but that community is a baseball community. They should be a rooted franchise. You know what I mean? Theyโve won a World Series. A it reminds me of Miami, and Tampa and all these other places where baseball just didnโt catch on, and places like here and You and I will pitch about this a different day where itโs dying and itโs trying to be resuscitated. The owner is a clown. And they had tons of empty seats during the best year they could possibly have with the most exciting team they could possibly have. And I, we havenโt talked baseball three weeks here, and I donโt know the next time weโre gonna have an oral segment, you know what I mean? Like really the Orioles are going to be hot stove meaning hot, like touch the oven, itโs hot, we need to talk about it. I donโt know that it ever gets hot here. You know, and weโre a real baseball market. Theyโve just failed in a lot of ways and putting on sheezy World Series is is another byproduct of all the problems the sport has had. And they pick themselves up pace of play all that stuff. When you put a World Series on. That doesnโt. on a Monday night, youโre making a decision. Do I want to watch the lions play the Raiders? And the lions? Right?
Luke Jones 35:57
Thatโs not a decision series. Right? Whatโs thatโs not, thatโs not a decision. Other people will say thatโs not it, I will absolutely watch the World Series. I mean, thatโs some of that is what check the ratings later in the week. And so Iโm not Iโm not arguing with you on that. But thatโs become the NFL has become so dominant that itโs had itโs just habit viewing at this point, you know, for whether itโs a good game or not, people watch it, and
Nestor Aparicio 36:21
baseball will be gambling on it. When gambling on the game tonight is as much fun as gambling on the lions Raiders game, youโll have something because baseball is great. Itโs good sport, itโs moving faster. But man, if youโre not to your point, if youโre not a nerd, and youโre not into it from the beginning, and all that it entails I say to my wife get thrown out of the Ravens is one thing, daily play three hours a week. Like itโs the Orioles are a real different kind of commitment from a fan base. Sure they are for all the baseball asks a lot of all of us and put on a World Series that I donโt want to bet on, I barely want to watch. And you know, Iโll be keeping an eye on the line. And Iโm not a gambler. But if I were or even a fan of the lions or an NFC and whatever it would be the fact that the World Series canโt be more compelling than that, that people are actually going to watch a Chicago Bulls game instead of it or whatever in their local market. Because baseball has become so hyper local and regional, that none of us can name five players on the rangers of the Diamondbacks. Before this happened. Thatโs problematic for the sport, it really is.
Luke Jones 37:32
To a point. And for me, itโs not even my complaint is much more about. I want the best teams to be properly rewarded. And I donโt want to reward teams that frankly, arenโt worthy of being in the postseason. And thatโs more of my point. Look, everything you just laid out kind of applies to every single sport, but the NFL, you know, the
Nestor Aparicio 37:54
NBA, they donโt have this problem, because the best teams always win in the NBA. Because the best teams, mostly when you know, you donโt make an argument team gets to a Super Bowl because they were lucky wildcard team and they lucked into going to Kansas City and winning and going to Buffalo and winning or coming to Baltimore and winning. That doesnโt happen. I mean, you donโt feel cheap. And by a wildcard team in a Super Bowl, I donโt think because you watch him go kick ass for a month, you know? Yeah.
Luke Jones 38:21
Although, that, that Congress, and I donโt remember it, because Iโm too young. But that conversation might have been different in the 80s, though, you know, if, and some of that is just things are gonna evolve. And this is how it works. Look, the playoffs arenโt playoff fields not getting any smaller at this point. So that ship has sailed, and itโs gonna be a matter of how much bigger it gets. Does that mean less? So we canโt do that. Thatโs gonna be thatโs gonna be more money for MLB because the owners want postseason TV money, you know? Yeah, to me, itโs gonna come down to this. And I guess inherently this is kind of where Iโm kind of been expanding upon this for a little while. But do we need a 162 game season? If weโre just going to allow more and more teams in the postseason? Or do we just need to shorten the regular season? And then you start to start the playoffs? The third week of September? You know, I donโt know, Iโm spitballing here. But I guess thatโs my point. You know, why do we have this 162 game marathon, this six month grind, if weโre just going to continue to let more and more teams in and thatโs, thatโs kind of where I hit at, you know, year to year, youโre gonna have some World Series matchups that just theyโre not going to resonate in the same way. Weโve had some Super Bowls some years that are still wildly popular because everyone watches a Super Bowl but havenโt been exactly the most exciting matchup necessarily, I mean, letโs look itโs okay to admit that, you know, just because everyone watches it doesnโt always mean itโs good. So youโre gonna have that and thatโs not Iโm not anti Arizona. Iโm not anti Dallas, you know, in terms of those markets. It you know, thatโs just going to happen. I guess for me, itโs just, I donโt want to see us do Continue to reward mediocrity too much in the name of chaos in October, you know, because then it then it just becomes, you know what the NCAA Tournament is for a lot of people, which is they love the tournament, and theyโll fill out a bracket, but are they really hardcore college basketball fans? Many of them are so on. And I guess for me, I donโt want baseball to morph into that. But hey, the owners would say oh, weโll make more money that way. And, you know, who am I to argue with a bunch of billionaires who are I guess so much smarter than everyone else? I guess. You know me
Nestor Aparicio 40:35
Iโm always quick to fill out Xavier in the pool even though Iโve never seen him play. Look, Jones is here he is Baltimore look, you can find him out on the interwebs you can also find them on the backfield so Owings Mills, all week long. Heโll be out there in preparation for all things. Seattle Seahawks, theyโll put those ugly lime green things back on those hideous things that they want Super Bowls in and forego the gyms arenโt Steve large and era although that was a mistake. I thought that was the throwbacks. Weโll talk more about that at some point. But the throwbacks are beautiful, but the Euler thing and theyโre my team, I just, I itched a little bit overall of it. So weโll see how that goes. Thatโs enough of the Get off my lawn segment with Luke and I today, weโre gonna get the crab cakes, weโre back out on the road, courtesy of our friends at the Maryland lottery. Weโre gonna give away some ravens scratch offs are friends with their nation and 866 90 nation also making deals all winter long, and Jiffy Lube MultiCare. The crabcake tour is going to be it Iโm gonna gain weight this month, I think because weโre going to get it out. Weโre going to be double crabcake in in some weeks, to what stimulates a better conversation, lots of things going on and weโre redoing the Inner Harbor. We got this lease situation with the Orioles. Iโm going to be talking a lot about that in the Maryland stadium authority and whatโs going on. Wes Moore is going to be joining us the Governor as well. So weโre putting things together. Stay tuned. Thereโs more happening here on Nesta. Heโs Luke we are wn SDA and 1570 Towson Baltimore and we never stop talking Baltimore positive