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Can Ravens survive a long, January road path to another Super Bowl?

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8

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Headed to the Meadowlands as a huge favorite and with two quick and supremely important games with Pittsburgh and Houston before Christmas day, Luke Jones and Nestor discuss the playoff path of the Baltimore Ravens and the โ€œSuper Bowl or bustโ€ mantra that is starting to feel fleeting with five losses.

Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discussed the Baltimore Ravensโ€™ playoff hopes and upcoming games. They highlighted the Ravensโ€™ 15-point favorite status against the Giants and emphasized the importance of winning four consecutive games to secure a strong playoff position. They noted the Ravensโ€™ defensive and offensive challenges, including the offensive line and kicker issues. They compared the Ravensโ€™ situation to previous Super Bowl runs, noting the need for health and consistency. They also discussed the AFC landscape, emphasizing the importance of the upcoming games against the Steelers and Texans, and the potential playoff matchups with teams like Kansas City and Buffalo.

SUMMARY KEYWORDS

Ravens playoffs, Super Bowl hopes, bye week, Maryland crab cake tour, Jiffy Lube multi care, 15-point favorite, national TV, Steelers game, bad teams, Kansas City issues, AFC landscape, Ravens health, short week, division title

SPEAKERS

Luke Jones, Nestor Aparicio

8

Nestor Aparicio  00:01

Welcome home. We are W, N, S T, am 1570 tasks in Baltimore and Baltimore positive. We are through the bye week. Up on the holidays. We are doing Maryland crab cake tour stop several times this week and next, where faith leaves on Wednesday. We are at amicis next Tuesday the 17th, and weโ€™re going to be on the Wednesday the 18th, doing our traditional send off with Costas and I get crab Imperial for the holidays. It makes me feel very, very royal. Our friends at the Maryland lottery giving us the Raven scratch offs to give away. I will have these also our friends at Jiffy Lube multi care, not only powering me up, but powering Luke back and forth to Ravenโ€™s training camp this week, where he didnโ€™t have to go so much last week. And I mean, if Deontay Johnson doesnโ€™t have to go into the game, Luke doesnโ€™t have to go to the office, um, you donโ€™t even have to go to New Jersey this weekend if you donโ€™t want to. I I hear they bury Jimmy Hoffa there. Just a long story. I had to explain that to somebody a couple weeks ago about the meadow lands. But dude, theyโ€™re a 15 point favorite. As the week started, I watched the competition in the league over the weekend. I watched the Browns roll out the ball, and I said to my wife, still is going to win 3413 today in this one. Thatโ€™s what I said there when it began. And then I saw Jim Schwartz with a little piss and vinegar, and I thought, Well, maybe not 34 maybe just 27 um. But nonetheless, for me, with watching football all weekend long and Thanksgiving and it feels like the Ravens havenโ€™t played in a while. Feels like Iโ€™ve watched a lot of football games since the last time they played, and now itโ€™s about to change. Where the ravens are going to get back in the hot seat and be on national TV and play and be on Christmas night. The Steelers have to play Christmas afternoon as well, and the Steelers played the Eagles this week, so weโ€™re just going to roll the ball out and the Ravens are going to win in New Jersey. I know that. And then where are the Steelers? Where are the bills? After what happened to them? And a very entertaining game over the weekend, but entertaining football for the most part, but it felt a little thin to me, because theyโ€™re just a piss pot full of three and 10 teams. There are a lot of really bad, bad teams in the NFL right now as we turn the corner on, looking for coaches, looking for quarterbacks, looking for leadership, looking for fans, in some cases, yeah.

Luke Jones  02:14

And what was funny, I think the game that I didnโ€™t sit here and watch it, I was just seeing it on red zone. The game that might have been the most lopsided was 40 Niners bears, which, I mean, you look at everything thatโ€™s happened with the 40 Niners and McCaffrey being out, and their backup, running back being out, and the bears just having changed coaches. And, I mean, the 40 Niners just spanked them so but yeah, you look around the league, and we always talk about this during the bye week or anytime the Ravens arenโ€™t playing on a Sunday, you get a chance to to kind of survey. You get a chance to see, okay, whoโ€™s really good, whoโ€™s good right now, whoโ€™s going through something right now. And, I mean, you just look at the landscape of the AFC in general. I mean, Kansas City wins again on Sunday night. Not an impressive fashion, right? I mean, think thereโ€™s still questions about their offensive line and whether they have enough explosiveness in their offense. I mean, they scored 19 points. They win on a Doink with their what their third string kicker hits it off the upright, it goes in. That was on the heels of how they miraculously beat Denver with the block Field Goal A couple weeks ago. I mean, itโ€™s just, itโ€™s Itโ€™s just strange, right? I mean, this chiefs team is far from dominant. When you see 12 and one, you think, Wow, thatโ€™s a great, great, great, great football team, and theyโ€™re great through the lens of reputation, right? Because theyโ€™ve won Super Bowls, but they eyeball test wise, do not impress you. I mean, even their defense, which was good on Sunday night, has had its issues of late. I mean, I think thatโ€™s kind of been the understated part of whatโ€™s been going on with Kansas City, despite the fact that theyโ€™ve been winning. Their defense hasnโ€™t played as well the last five, six weeks. But you know, you look at that, you look at Buffalo, who offensively looks great on Sunday in LA, but all the Rams scored 44 and they couldnโ€™t stop Bucha nakua, so they fall two games behind Kansas City. So itโ€™s looking more and more like the chiefs and arrowhead being you know, the spot that you need to go through to get to a Super Bowl in the AFC, which isnโ€™t shocking, but I think you look at all these teams, if youโ€™re the ravens, you kind of say, hey, you know what? Weโ€™ve got our own issues. But these teams have issues too. These teams have areas that theyโ€™re not as good and things that they could be better in. And you know, to me, even though you didnโ€™t get a lot of help in the standings, you know, other than, I guess the Chargers losing you still kind of come out of the weekend and say, hey, itโ€™s all sitting right there for us, you know, to your point,

Nestor Aparicio  04:49

thank you. Brian Billick, yeah, right, exactly. But

Luke Jones  04:52

itโ€™s, itโ€™s the truth. I mean, itโ€™s, itโ€™s the absolute truth. Go up to New York and absolutely take care of just an app up. Completely dreadful giants team. This might be the worst team they played all year. And thatโ€™s saying something, considering they played the Raiders, and they played

Nestor Aparicio  05:08

good about yourself, too. If you go up there, you play well. And, you know, get the offense going, get the defense going, get some stats. Itโ€™s a tune off the Johnson, oh, heโ€™s not playing. But get guys the ball. You know what I mean a little bit. Yeah, it look tomorrow off the field at halftime. Maybe they canโ€™t

Luke Jones  05:25

express it this way. They canโ€™t think of it this way, but we can, because weโ€™re not playing right? This is a tune up for them, right? This is coming out of the bye week. Knock the rust off. You know, any, any, anything youโ€™re tweaking lineup wise or usage wise, or playbook wise, you get a chance to see it against the hapless giants, because, you know itโ€™s go time after that. You know youโ€™re going to be on a short week after that, and then youโ€™re going to be on a really short week after that, and you need to win those games, right? I mean, they, they canโ€™t afford to drop any if they want to win the division. I mean, they have to, they have to win out, and they need help. I mean, itโ€™s that simple. So, you know, I

Nestor Aparicio  06:05

was watching again, just said that my wife, how they gonna win four games in a row? I mean, like, I, you know, like, theyโ€™re got to, if they win four games in a row, they will be the team nobody wants to play in January and a lot of based on how they look next Saturday against the Steelers and then the Houston game. I mean this back to back, I canโ€™t begin to express especially if you have older players. Iโ€™m talking for Ronnie Stanley, Iโ€™m talking about and even for roquan At this point, guys and buy, yeah, this, this buy helped and but theyโ€™re about to go through it and to me, whatever they can do on Sunday, whatever the spread is at 15, it might be 13. I mean, itโ€™s, itโ€™s outrageous, 15 point spread, right? Like, thatโ€™s just very un NFL, right? I mean, it shows how uncompetitive that the giants are, you know. Oh, theyโ€™re awful. I mean, itโ€™s like rice playing, you know, University of Texas or something like that. Crazy, but getting out of the game unscathed. We talk so much about their health and where they are at this point, and then really getting ready for the game of the year, right? The Steelers game is the first playoff game, because that either sets you on a pathway to have to go on the road or to maybe pull something off on stupid Thanksgiving kind of rest to have to go down to Houston, Pittsburgh has to play too, you know, one oโ€™clock, you know, so like what these players are put through, and things that you and I as if we were their mommies, daddies, agents, doctors, we we donโ€™t like these Thursday games. Itโ€™ll sanction any of this. The ravens are about to get rolled, rollered into it, and not just rollered into it. National TV, two really good teams, road game on the second end holidays, families, all the stuff that goes on with the holidays and having to perform at a level that theyโ€™re capable of, I guess. I mean, I guess the defense is capable of being better. I donโ€™t. I you know, thatโ€™s against which quarterback, right, as I would say, and I would also say for the offense again, against which pass rusher, against which elite defense are you going to see? And I saw Tony Romo this weekend snuck in, and this happened in the pregame. And because youโ€™re a special media guy, you miss a lot of the pre games, and you get to sit and watch it this weekend. But Romo snuck in. He thought the Steelers were going to win the Super Bowl. He said, I think the Steelers are going to win the Super Bowl. And really, yeah, he snuck that in. Yeah, yeah. He snuck that in. Thatโ€™s Sarah. I thought about it for a minute. Iโ€™m thinking, why do you think that? What would make you think that? And I would think Super Bowl quarterback, head coach, who knows what heโ€™s doing, defense that comes every week and like, maybe a running game may, I donโ€™t know, and trying to get Pickens back on the field and figure all that out. But there is a point for me, where Iโ€™m looking for a balanced team. I like balanced teams. I donโ€™t like what the bills have been up and down, and I like them in the snow and 12 degrees at home. And that might be where they are, although they stumble down the mountain going out to LA and fall behind by three touchdowns. But the positioning of where the ravens are right now, not so good, but better than it was before. Har balls brother lost on Sunday night to the chiefs. I mean, had a chance to win that game. The kick at the end. Itโ€™s crazy, right? But for me, going to Houston and playing a playoff game first week of January, winnable. To your point, thereโ€™ll be a favorite Christmas. I mean, unless they lose by 14 points of the Steelers, I donโ€™t, or thereโ€™s a catastrophic problem, right? Um, but this is really treacherous. Right now, at eight and five, dude, they werenโ€™t supposed theyโ€™re not on schedule. They were supposed to be 10 and three right now, right? Theyโ€™re not on schedule. And you. Because theyโ€™re not on schedule, itโ€™s going to throw off the rest of the schedule. I mean, already they canโ€™t be the one. They can barely win the division. They canโ€™t really be the two. So theyโ€™d have to go to Buffalo. Theyโ€™d have to, even though they beat the pants off of Buffalo, theyโ€™re not going to be in a position to activate a tie breaker. So all that being said, their pathway to this thing that you said eight more weeks of football for the ravens, navigating that I look at all these teams and say, but over any specific great thing, but on a week by week basis, to think that this team, this defense, Lamar, who doesnโ€™t like the cold. I mean, just I saw, we always talked about it with Juan Soto signing, about where you sign you and I did 20 minutes on Mets, Yankees, and where you want to be. Lamar should have played someplace where the weather was better. Just I see the way they wrap them in a in a blanket for 12 seconds in timeouts when itโ€™s 42 degrees out. And I just, I, I donโ€™t like anything about the way this is set up for them. I must say that if I were writing a column this week, Iโ€™d say, Yeah, John, youโ€™re going to win another Super Bowl. Sure you are. Go prove it, and if you do, Iโ€™ll be sitting there ready to write purple ring three with you, if you think youโ€™re going to Houston, Buffalo and Kansas City and winning back to back to back with this particular team right now, unless somebodyโ€™s got the flu, like on the other side Iโ€™m talking about or something really weird happens with the weather. And we used to have the kicker that could handle that. Now the Steelers have the best kicker in the sport. So there is a point for me where I look at it and Iโ€™m not writing them off, but if I had to write them. I would have to write them off and not in because the way I look at it, I donโ€™t like the body of work. I love them on any given Sunday. I really, really do. I mean, I to your point, I had shots on two weeks ago. Itโ€™s about the greatest offensive ever. And the defense is getting a little better. And a Tucker can still kick it six, easy to straighten it out. They can all of that could happen in the same way that Jackson holiday can win rookie of the year next year. Adley could get his head screwed on right. They could sign court. Itโ€™s all this ifs and buts and candies and nuts, but this is not cut time for them, not just going to the Giants this week, but getting out of this game, getting Lamar off the field, getting people off their feet, getting guys the right bags of fluids, like all of that. Thatโ€™s going to go into winning four games in a row here over the next three, four weeks?

Luke Jones  12:27

Yeah. I mean, look, itโ€™s never easy to win four games in a row, but they won five games in a row earlier this year, right? I mean, weโ€™ve seen this team go on that kind of run, and Iโ€™ll say this, look, you want them

Nestor Aparicio  12:36

to win eight games in a row to win the Super Bowl, is what youโ€™re saying. Thatโ€™s exactly what you just said. I

Luke Jones  12:41

mean, when you put it that way, I mean, no oneโ€™s good enough to win the Super Bowl. What I mean, like,

Nestor Aparicio  12:47

I donโ€™t know, chiefs, all they do is win, win, win, and all we do is wake up and say how they could have a should have a might have lost, and they donโ€™t,

Luke Jones  12:54

but, but my but youโ€™re framing, but youโ€™re framing it in a way that makes it sound like itโ€™s impossible for any team to do it. Someoneโ€™s going to do it.

Nestor Aparicio  13:03

I want now this team, Iโ€™m watching this team. Iโ€™m saying someoneโ€™s going to do it. Their offensive line, the kicker, the offensive line, second year. But, but wait

Luke Jones  13:13

you just, you were just pumping up Kansas City. Have you seen their offensive line? The hopes is running for his life every single week. I know that theyโ€™re figuring out ways to win, but youโ€™re, youโ€™re really going to sit here and say with supreme confidence that thatโ€™s sustainable more so than the Ravens offensive line issues. I

Nestor Aparicio  13:29

mean, Iโ€™m just ravens are going to get there january 20. I donโ€™t disagree with you. Iโ€™ve looked up and said yes, in any given Sunday the ravens are absolutely might be better than most of these teams, but like, they havenโ€™t been able to go out there and lay that meat on the wagon on Sunday afternoons, and now theyโ€™re gonna have to do a short box against a couple of playoffs. Okay, next couple, but

Luke Jones  13:50

you keep saying the short box Pittsburgh has to do the same exact thing. Have you seen what the Steelers schedule is the next three weeks? Do you know who they play Sunday Billy? They go to Philadelphia. So eagles are going to be favored in that game, and should be. Now Pittsburgh might win, because itโ€™s the NFL, right? Ravens will host Pittsburgh after that. Whoโ€™s going to be favored in that game? Ravens are going to be favored in that game now, they got to beat the Steelers. Iโ€™m sitting here just hey, Iโ€™m the one who picked him to lose in Pittsburgh a few weeks back. So, you know, Iโ€™m not sitting here with it, with any level

Nestor Aparicio  14:24

of eagles are five point favorite, by the way, because everybodyโ€™s gambling, so I have to throw as they

Luke Jones  14:29

should be, as they should be. Theyโ€™re a better team. That doesnโ€™t mean theyโ€™re going to win on Sunday, but theyโ€™re a better team. But my point with this is, I hear what youโ€™re saying about this run that the ravens are about to go on, but Pittsburgh is going on the same thing. Who does Pittsburgh play after the Ravens? They host Kansas City there? There is a very plausible scenario. Itโ€™s quite plausible. Not saying likely plausible means itโ€™s it can happen. They absolutely could lose. Three in a row, and the Ravens could absolutely win three in a row, or the Ravens could lose two of the next three. Theyโ€™re not going to lose to the Giants. Thatโ€™s my lock of the week. If they lose to the Giants, then yeah, forget all this, forget forget all talk about January and all that. If they lose to the Giants, then shame on them, because the giants are terrible. But, but my point with this is, look at just see how this is going to play out. I mean, Pittsburgh, look, theyโ€™re two games up. They deserve to be in first place. If they beat the Ravens in two weeks, theyโ€™re going to be Division champions, and they deserve it. And the Ravens deserve to go on the road for however long their January runs going to be. But my point is in looking at this and looking at the run the ravens are about to embark on. Pittsburghโ€™s got got it too, but what they have going for them is theyโ€™ve afforded themselves a cushion. So, yeah, they can afford to slip up once and still be okay. You know, they could slip up twice. Think of

Nestor Aparicio  15:57

them, by the way, given Pittsburgh, where they are, and given what theyโ€™re about to do. To your point, they have it. They have to play the earlier game, after playing us right, and they have to play the chiefs in the earlier game, Christmas Day. So um, and they very well might be better than the chiefs, like as a collective unit. To your point, they might beat the chiefs. Sheโ€™s sheโ€™s got to worry about going in there at all cocky with one loss and whatever. But theyโ€™re, you know, the NFL schedule Gods feel like they sort of know whatโ€™s going on when they play, right? They donโ€™t ever know whatโ€™s going with the Jets, right, right, you know what? But this is going to be a fun couple weeks to watch football too. Oh, no, question me excited. Youโ€™re getting me lubed

Luke Jones  16:38

up. No, this, thereโ€™s, there are a lot of outcomes. Here is my point. Now, we know the Ravens arenโ€™t gonna be the number one seed. Highly unlikely theyโ€™re gonna be number two. I mean, if buffalo goes in the tank, which, look, they lost Sunday, but Josh Allen was

Nestor Aparicio  16:52

damn patriots, man. I mean, Iโ€™m looking at they, they better not lose their jets, right? Thatโ€™s what Iโ€™m looking at the end of this season, their schedule. Itโ€™s like, wow. So

Luke Jones  17:00

my point here is the Ravens. I mean, theyโ€™re looking at at best one home game, and then theyโ€™re going to be going on the road, which, by the way, is theyโ€™ve, theyโ€™ve done that path in the past to win two Super Bowls. So itโ€™s not impossible.

Nestor Aparicio  17:14

Lamar Jackson has never done that to though for me, okay, Joe Flacco had never done it until he did it once, right? I

Luke Jones  17:21

mean, you know, I hear you, but same thing said about Josh Allen and anyone thatโ€™s not Patrick mahomes and Iโ€™ll you made the comment about classifying Russell Wilson as a Super Bowl winning quarterback in 2024 Yes, I realize he did it 11 years ago. Thatโ€™s like talking about Joe Flacco in the present day. Oh, heโ€™s a Super Bowl MVP, yes, an eternity ago, Russell Wilsonโ€™s not that guy anymore, although heโ€™s been better than he was the last couple years, playing well enough. Heโ€™s playing well enough. I, I Romo saying that he thinks I I donโ€™t see that. I donโ€™t see them as a Super Bowl winning, like Super Bowl caliber team, if they are, then look, hats off to them. But I, I think, I

Nestor Aparicio  18:06

think their defense is going to travel in in January a little bit and and if the offense doesnโ€™t kick the ball around, you know, thereโ€™s a responsibility about Russell Wilson and keeping the ball, and I know that they canโ€™t do but he could still throw the ball. And like how well he throws the ball, heโ€™s throwing

Luke Jones  18:24

a decent deep ball. And look, they didnโ€™t have Pickens on Sunday. Look, I again, I picked him to beat the Ravens a couple weeks ago. The Ravens have this block until they until itโ€™s not a thing anymore. Itโ€™s a thing, you know, theyโ€™ve lost two minds to Pittsburgh, right? And look, a lot of those were garbage, you know, a couple were Garbage Time games where the Ravens sat Lamar, you know, he didnโ€™t play in some of the games. So I get all that, but still, too much, right? Still have to beat them, but, but, but again, you look at, you look at that team, you look at the run they have to, theyโ€™re about to embark on ravens, you know, have their own stretch of three games in the 11 days. So, you know? But my point is, I mean, thereโ€™s still four games. Is still a lot of time, you know, itโ€™s, itโ€™s not quite a quarter of a season anymore, because, you know, youโ€™ve got the 17 game schedule now, but itโ€™s close to that, you know. I mean, think about it in baseball terms. You know, weโ€™re, weโ€™re embarking on having about 40 games to go in a baseball season. Thatโ€™s still a lot of time, you know. So through that lens, a lot can happen here. And you know, thatโ€™s where Kansas City, for as much as you look at their issues, you know, their offensive line, their defense Sunday night, not withstanding, their defense not being as good as they had been the first two months of the season, or as good as they were last year. I think, I think that might be the sticking point for them, more so than anything, with their offense at this point. You know, for them to three peat, you know, for them to get to a Super Bowl again. You know, buffalo, their offense looks great. The defense, you know, I mean, look the Ram. Have some great talent, but the rams are seven and six, you know. I mean, theyโ€™re not, theyโ€™re not a week by week Juggernaut, you know, even like they were a couple years ago. So point is, with this, all these teams have flaws, including the Ravens. So letโ€™s see, see what happens coming out of the bye week. I mean, handle your business against the Giants. To your point. I think it would behoove them if they can be in a position where they can get out of that game relatively cleanly, maybe even a little bit early, with some of your best best of your best players, knowing that youโ€™re going to have a quick turnaround, then the host Pittsburgh in six days, and then an even quicker turnaround the game after that. So thatโ€™s part of this. But you know, Pittsburghโ€™s gonna be in the same in the same boat. As far as these, you know, this, three games in 11 days, Kansas City is similar boat. You know, Houston, same deal. I mean, they the league deliberately did that schedule wise. So youโ€™re not going to have like this, you know, patently unfair advantage for one team or the other in these matchups, other than just the home or away factor. So, you know, itโ€™s wild. I mean, you think about Christmas Day, thatโ€™s two, a little over two weeks away, as you and I are talking in real time right now, things could be drastically different, like the Ravens could be in first place in Pittsburghโ€™s the wild card, or the division could be over, and weโ€™re just talking about the Ravens. Okay, which wild card seat Are you going to get? You know, and hold on to it. Make sure that just shows how important the Pittsburgh game is. Oh, itโ€™s, itโ€™s huge. I mean, think about it. I mean, itโ€™s regardless of what happens on, like this coming Sunday. So obviously, Pittsburghโ€™s going to Philly tough matchup for them, ravens, not so much in terms of the matchup on paper, you know, playing the Giants, but if Pittsburgh wins that game, I mean, theyโ€™re Division champions, right? I mean, theyโ€™d have the tie breaker, theyโ€™d be up two with two to play. I mean, the divisionโ€™s over. Then, you know, Pittsburgh would clinch. Or you could be talking about if the Ravens win the next two, and Pittsburgh drops one in Philly, and then the Ravens beat them. Then you could be talking about Christmas Day, where the Ravens would be a chiefs win, win, and a Ravens win away from being in first place and being in a position where they could lock

Nestor Aparicio  22:16

up the division, weโ€™re gonna find out whoโ€™s good, arenโ€™t we? I mean, weโ€™re gonna find that out here. I mean,

Luke Jones  22:20

theyโ€™re both good, but whoโ€™s whoโ€™s

Nestor Aparicio  22:21

better, right? I

Luke Jones  22:22

mean, whoโ€™s, whoโ€™s whoโ€™s equipped to handle this, right? I mean, to your point, and look, I Iโ€™ve almost been breaking my own rule here, because Iโ€™ve been sitting here being disparaging about the Kansas City Chiefs, not in the way that Iโ€™m saying that they canโ€™t three peat or anything like that. Iโ€™m saying it in a way that all these teams have some warts, right? None of these teams in the AFC do you look at and say, oh my gosh, whoโ€™s going to who the heckโ€™s going to beat them? I mean, because you know theyโ€™re they all have vulnerabilities, including buffalo, which buffalo? I think, until Sunday, they were feeling like the team that maybe was truly the best in terms of talent. Every

Nestor Aparicio  23:00

two weeks, a team coming to lions, you know? I

Luke Jones  23:03

mean, the lions still feel that way in the NFC. I mean, I think the Lions have earned that in the in the NFC. But, you know, I think if youโ€™re sitting there in the AFC right now, youโ€™re not worried about the lions right now, you know, two months from now, maybe you know if youโ€™re meeting them in New Orleans, but, but yeah. I mean, you just look at this. And so much of this is going to be about attrition. You know, whether weโ€™re talking about whoโ€™s staying the healthiest or just in the case of who can navigate this challenging schedule, you know that that these four teams, you know, specifically, you know, put buffalo aside for a moment because theyโ€™re not involved in the Christmas Day thing. But you know these other four teams that weโ€™re talking about Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Kansas City, Houston. Whoโ€™s going to navigate that? I mean, right now, the Texans feel like the weak link out of those four, but you know, theyโ€™re still sitting there leading their division. So itโ€™s not like theyโ€™re out of it. Itโ€™s not like they canโ€™t come out of their own by week with some answers and and looking better than theyโ€™ve looked recently.

Nestor Aparicio  23:57

But how many three and 10 teams are going to be involved in the circles of all of this before itโ€™s all over with that you donโ€™t get tripped up and lose a game you shouldnโ€™t lose. And the Steelers, with the browns on Sunday being an example, or the bills going out to LA and tripping up there and finding themselves vulnerable to losing the two seed and and really, now not in place to be a one, which is, would have really helped them, yeah,

Luke Jones  24:26

whatever. And especially since they had beaten Kansas City. So you know, the tie breaker is tougher for them. I mean, keep in mind, we havenโ€™t mentioned it because, again, weโ€™ve kind of been focused on ravens, Pittsburgh and Kansas City, just because theyโ€™re, theyโ€™re the chiefs, but the bills go to Detroit on Sunday. So I mean, boy, thereโ€™s gonna be a lot of talk about that being a potential Super Bowl preview. So, you know, good match up there. But you know, then you look at them after that, and they have you, as you mentioned, New England comes into Buffalo. And then after after that, they have the Jets, I mean, in the dolphins at the end. Yeah. So, I mean. Um, you know, week 18. I mean, the dolphins are, I think that the dolphins are interesting in this. And from the standpoint of, if tua never gets concussed and doesnโ€™t miss that extensive period of time, theyโ€™d be in the lot. Theyโ€™d be in the playoff race right now. I mean, theyโ€™re that, theyโ€™re good enough for that at least. So, so theyโ€™re thatโ€™s interesting, at least for the end of the season, but

Nestor Aparicio  25:22

theyโ€™re a good, bad team, as you like to say, or a bad, good team. Yeah, yeah. I mean, again. Well, actually, Iโ€™m

Luke Jones  25:29

looking at Buffalo goes to Foxboro week 18, looking at it. So you know thatโ€™s they should win. Itโ€™s not the patriots of old. So, but for Buffalo, this is a big This Sunday is a massive game for them in terms of trying to keep alive, wanting to be the number one seed. I mean, because, you know, Kansas City could drop a couple games here. I mean, itโ€™s possible, right? I mean, itโ€™s well, although weโ€™ve been saying that all year, and they have one loss, right? Despite the fact that they donโ€™t blow anyone out. So, you

Nestor Aparicio  25:57

know, whatโ€™s interesting is that, you know, the whole, like Kirk Cousins thing and where Sam darnold is, and I saw Derek Carr, you know, take that, that hand injury went down, is brutal. He hit the grounds. My wife saw that the first sheโ€™s like, Ah, I canโ€™t look at that like we saw it live was going on because we sat around watch football all day. And I have the same vibe that you that like even the teams, like the Ravens that feel or the bills that feel good, but feel like championship stock the league is such like you, like the lions right now, Tony Romo, like the Steelers on Sunday. You know, everybody can have a flavor, but thereโ€™s no real flavor here. And the part is, are you going to go to Kansas City and be Patrick my homes in January? Because thatโ€™s still whatโ€™s dictated. As much as you donโ€™t like them, theyโ€™re going to have a week off, and theyโ€™re going to power themselves. And Steve Spagnola is going to get ready for Lamar, get ready for whomever is coming in, hard balls brothers slapping around is going to get a chance to go to Pittsburgher, Houston and or Buffalo and have a game. And it feels like Denver. It just feels like a separation of how bad the bad teams are. Yeah, itโ€™s December 10, and weโ€™re sitting here in the playoffs. Are kind of like set for teams. I mean, thereโ€™s not a real now. Itโ€™s whoโ€™s gonna play who and where. And if the where is buffalo or the where is Kansas City, thatโ€™s not a good one. Even Pittsburgh, itโ€™s not a good where. Sure, look, Iโ€™m

Luke Jones  27:17

not, Iโ€™m not sitting here championing that. Iโ€™m not sitting here saying, Oh, that piece of cake. I donโ€™t care how buffalo looked the other night. Now, right? See,

Nestor Aparicio  27:26

I donโ€™t see Josh Allen getting off the bus in week two of the playoffs and saying, you know, thatโ€™s not, thatโ€™s not really where you want to be. 14 degrees

Luke Jones  27:33

in Buffalo, win or loss, how Josh Allen looked in that game. I mean, he had six touchdowns. I mean, thatโ€™s that, right? I mean, thatโ€™s why. I mean, for me, I you know, in this league right now, and apologies to Joe burrow, because heโ€™s playing at that level, but the rest of his team is not. So heโ€™s not even in this conversation, because heโ€™s not going to be in the playoffs. But for me, I look at Lamar and Josh Allen, and then obviously Patrick mahomes has been the gold standards for six years now. You know, Lamar and Josh Allen are both having better years than Patrick mahomes, but like those three, like, those are the guys, right? I mean, those are the guys right now, but Allen and Lamar are both chasing mahomes. And for all the talk, and I just spent time talking about the Chiefs vulnerabilities. I will also say this because I was also the guy last year. When, not you, but think about that Christmas day game when they the Raiders had what, two defensive touchdowns in that game, and they beat them on Christmas day. You know, that afternoon, everyone was ready to say, the chiefs are going to theyโ€™re going to get bounced in the first round. Theyโ€™re going to be done. And then we know what happened. I will say this, whatever vulnerability you think the Chiefs have right now, and there are plenty of people that will try to talk themselves into the Chiefs not being the favorite still. And look, I theyโ€™re still the Chiefs period, point blank, end of discussion. Theyโ€™re still the chiefs. I still view them much more favorably right now than I did at that point on last Christmas, when, you know they were losing games left and right at the end of that season, and suddenly, you know, they werenโ€™t the number one seed, and you know, they hosted a first round game, and then theyโ€™re going on the road after that. I mean, to your point, whatever vulnerabilities they have on their O line, or the fact that their defense on secondary has been a little more leaky. You know, theyโ€™ve had some injuries there, and theyโ€™re going to have home field, and theyโ€™re most likely, obviously, because buffalo is now two games behind them even, and theyโ€™re going to have with that. Theyโ€™re going to have a week to figure it out, and everyone else is going to in the meantime, everyone else can be beaten each

Nestor Aparicio  29:39

other up Kansas Cityโ€™s pathway at this point, if they can continue to hang in and again triple games they got, yeah. I mean, you know, their pathway is sitting around and watching everybody else beat each other up, waiting around for the worst winner, which is probably the Chargers or Houston or whatever, winning that game, and then waiting on who. Whoeverโ€™s left Pittsburgh, Buffalo ball, pick one of them. Thatโ€™s their pathway. Dude. Thatโ€™s way different pathway than any other case youโ€™re gonna make for whatever Lamar is going to go through the next three weeks trying to get through Pittsburgh and win the division and or once you win, even if you get a home game in Pittsburgh, has to come here, or Denver comes here, whatever. And I, you know, I the Ravens feel differently to me if they win a couple of games here, you know, not, not the Giants game, but yeah, Pittsburgh, go down to Houston and win Christmas night we open the champagne and say, hey, you know, now, then Iโ€™ll be writing there a contender for right. Now, thatโ€™s fair for right now, they played their themselves and their pro obvious problems, defense, O, line, kicker, just all of it. You know, consistency in the general penalties, like all of the problems of their their headline problems, back in coverage, lack of pass rush, like all of those things in a box, I look at them right now, and it is incumbent upon me, if I were betting on it, opining about it, to say, Iโ€™m not plot. Iโ€™m not plot. They theyโ€™ve played down based on their health, based on their talent, based on their promise, and not just based on the record last year and what they did or didnโ€™t do against the chiefs. Just they added Derrick Henry, they fortified the coaching. Theyโ€™ve been a little bit suspect on the defensive side and play calling and whatnot. Lamar has gotten better in play calling and getting them out of plays at the line of scrimmage. So thereโ€™s a lot of storylines, but the real storyline is theyโ€™ve lost too much this year.

Luke Jones  31:45

Fair, fair. I mean, again, you can sum it up as good, not great. I mean, thatโ€™s eight and five, right? I mean, thatโ€™s, thatโ€™s kind of the definition of eight. Eight and five is a good record. Eight and five, excellent shape to make the playoffs, whether itโ€™s gonna be wild card or division or division winner. So all thatโ€™s right there. I mean, we acknowledge that, but, yeah, theyโ€™ve got to show they can become great. And when we say that, that doesnโ€™t mean for three quarters against the team and then

Nestor Aparicio  32:13

itโ€™s going to win the Super Bowl at this point, and youโ€™ve already belched against the raiders and the browns and whatnot, you better damn sight. Beat the Steelers and be impressive in doing it. And I mean, no penalties, run the body.

Luke Jones  32:27

I donโ€™t care what it just win.

Nestor Aparicio  32:29

Just I want to see the operation. I want to see the kicker kick. I want to see mistakes that made all that. And then on shorter rest, go down to Houston and show that you get that youโ€™re going to find a way to win on the road? Sure, and thatโ€™s fair, yeah, I mean, and thatโ€™s whatโ€™s in front of them. 15 point favorite this week. He is Luke Jones. Heโ€™s ballpark Luke,

Luke Jones  32:49

um, one last thing, yeah, sure. Because, because you mentioned it. Look, once upon a time, the Ravens had a path to a Super Bowl to go on the road against two of the five greatest quarterbacks in the history of the NFL, in Denver against Peyton Manning and in Foxboro against Tom Brady. They were underdogs in those games, and let me see what happens so and at that point, at this point, right now, you know, early flag was planking mid December, everything was an absolute mess, and no one thought they were going to do a darn thing other than maybe win one game in the first round and then be done. So

Nestor Aparicio  33:27

12 years ago, huh? Itโ€™s been 12 years ago.

Luke Jones  33:31

Itโ€™s crazy, right? Yeah, in some ways it feels like 12 years. In some ways it feels like yesterday. So, I mean, itโ€™s but weโ€™ll see. I mean, hey, I said it tongue in cheek. Iโ€™ll continue to say it maybe for this team, for the Lamar Jackson era Ravens. Maybe it was always meant to be a path thatโ€™s not the number one seed and unconventional point differential and all that, you know, all these things that said that theyโ€™re the greatest thing since sliced bread. Maybe it is the year that people doubt them a little bit, and then suddenly they do put it all together, or weโ€™re going to be talking about the same thing in the off season for months, because thatโ€™s what we talk about, because this team hasnโ€™t broken through. But hey, Buffalo is in the same boat. You know, the same things being said. You know, Josh Allenโ€™s the the MVP favorite right now, it looks like and but everyone there, hey, you got to beat Patrick mahomes in Kansas City. And they know that. Ravens know that, but going out and doing it, thatโ€™s a different story. So weโ€™ll see how this plays out. But hey, four games left, thereโ€™s still a lot of football to really determine what this is going to look like once we get to that second week in January.

Nestor Aparicio  34:33

Any knuckleheads out there think Luke doesnโ€™t know what heโ€™s talking about. He guaranteed me that the Orioles were not going to sign Juan Soto and he was right about it. So he is Baltimore, Luke. You can find him anywhere. The Ravens might be here this week. Theyโ€™re up in Jersey. They are two touchdown plus 15 points to man, weโ€™ll get these points spreads crazy, but that really speaks to how they feel about drew lock. Uh, these days, and I canโ€™t wait to see that video of him dancing on the sideline as a as a Denver Bronco and rapping and whatnot. Uh, we will be rapping all week long with our friends on the Maryland crab cake tour. Weโ€™re going to be at Faith Leeโ€™s on Wednesday with our Raven scratch offs. Iโ€™m running low Roz. I need new scratch offs. Hope to have them for each on Tuesday the 17th, and then weโ€™re going to be Acostaโ€™s on the 18th. Itโ€™s all brought to you by the Mary. You by the Maryland lottery, in conjunction with our friends at Jiffy Lube multi care. Also our 26th anniversary underway, 26 oysters, 26 days, 26 ways. That is brought to you by our friends at curio wellness and foreign doctor. And they have big time holiday things going on and sales happening as well. And last but never least, liberty, pure solutions. One 800 clean water. They keep my water clean, as well as my water bottle safe and fresh, and my shower is nice and clean. And, yeah, just if you have well water, you need treatment. And these folks know what theyโ€™re doing, so thatโ€™s why my skin looks so beautiful. 800 clean water is the way to find liberty, pure solutions. It is the holidays. Weโ€™re always looking for solutions around here. You can always email me Ness at Baltimore positive.com if the Orioles are going to sign Corbin burns or not, theyโ€™re not going to sign Juan Soto I know that, but any breaking news happens first the W, N, S, T, tech services back up and running, and better than ever. It is brought to you by Cole roofing and Gordian energy. Heโ€™s Luke. Iโ€™m Nestor, baseball, football. Great conversations. Dan Rodricks. We had a great, great time at Gertrude. We talked about the Feast of the Seven Fishes and holiday dining and sauerkraut and kibasa, which is always on my menu this time of the year, as well as we were at Cocos last week as well with Marcella and eggnog. Had Thomas wrote some Zekeโ€™s coffee on he gave me a bunch of coffee. Big appreciation. You know, I love me some royal farms. Really nice. Take care of some local coffee. People get some dark roads, some royal blue. So Iโ€™m appreciative of that. And just for Sagan and Nick the Greek, we had a lot of fun. We talked about some great things. And Derek bungen from Jay Moore also joined us. So youโ€™ll be hearing a lot of conversations around here, getting together with a whole bunch of friends of fasc week and amicis and CASAS next week. As we get ready for the holidays, we get ready for football. We get ready for baseball, winter meetings as well, and a new government to take over as well. We talking about that as well. I am Nestor. We are W NST am 1570 Towson, Baltimore, and we never stopped talking Baltimore positive, even during a bye week. You.

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