It was a very active weekend in Birdland before the Tuesday night MLB trade deadline. Luke Jones and Nestor react to all of the dealings of Mike Elias and the Baltimore Orioles.
SUMMARY KEYWORDS
move, orioles, year, starter, talking, bullpen, roster, player, mayo, baseball, eloy, team, month, jimenez, trevor, trade deadline, luke, terms, rotation, nestor
SPEAKERS
Luke Jones, Nestor J. Aparicio
Nestor J. Aparicio 00:01
Welcome home we are W n s t, Towson, Baltimore. Baltimore positive. Welcome out to us. For those of you just joining us, itโs a weโre gonna have a heck of an August around here as the Ravens get going, Luke will be out and Owings Mills will be doing the Maryland crab cake tour into August as well. A little later on in the month, I just got confirmation from Angela also Brooks, thatโs going to happen in September now that itโs a fair weโre going to be at fadeless. And were my favorite shirt later in the month when the cheats throws come to town. And in the meantime, at some point, Luke Jones will rest I donโt know when that will be. Itโs been a exhaustive week for those of you who watch Luke out on the internet, youโll see the bags under his eyes. Feels like a Barney Rubble with toothpicks. Whatโs going on, man? Lots of players, right. I mean, lots of movement. And yet, Iโm watching MLB Network. The Orioles are getting killed about the bullpen. Iโm reading stuff and Iโm seeing stuff. I donโt know exactly where you are. I think for me, I donโt want to process these things at 520 on trade night and say what theyโve done. Where are they? And then they get a relief pitcher. 10 minutes later, right. So in the totality of all of it, there was sure was a lot of movement. Iโll say that and not. If I were writing a column on it this morning, I would say What You See Is What You Get much like Eric de Costa and Ozzy news because weโre trying to figure out allies heโs only been here five minutes. This is the first time heโs had this sort of opportunity to make these kinds of deals and a real owner legitimately right to a different situation. I you know, I I look at it and I say the bullpen thing and all the things we talked about. But for him, there was just a lot of movement but you werenโt touching holiday. You werenโt touching mayo. You werenโt getting anybody top shelf sours was never going to make it here. Norby had no place here despite what happened on Monday. And he went up daily spare parts.
Luke Jones 01:56
Yeah, I mean, itโs itโs one of those deals where you made a lot of moves. You definitely changed the makeup of the ballclub I mean, not drastically, you know, they didnโt change foundational pieces to your point and all that and although Connor Norby had been on the 26 man roster, but you see a flurry of moves. I think by and large, people liked what they did last Friday, when they brought in F Lin and seranthony. Dominguez, Christian past che was more of a throw in piece there, Iโm still not sure heโs going to be on the 26 man roster. I donโt know if him or Austin Slater. I donโt know how that really works. I could easily see one of those guys or even both of those guys being outright at the Norfolk before, itโs all said and done. But you look at these moves, and you just say, how much impact are they really going to make? I think Zach Eflin very clearly provided an upgrade as a number three starter. And thatโs important, right? I mean, thatโs someone that is going to start a playoff game. Itโs going to start game three of the divisional round the ALCS World Series if you get that far. So clearly, you can see the impact there and also the 2025 factor that we talked about as well. I
Nestor J. Aparicio 03:07
would say they use that deal to replace Bradish like that thatโs in their minds. This is the replacement, costlier. But brach would have cost him a lot of money next year in arbitration. Had he gone out 118 games this year have been that guy, right? He would have been an $80 million pitcher next year. But I would say for them that was and I know we always do this with what the Ravens do when they draft for Ed Reed. Weโre like, there you go. We draft for another player. But they needed to fill that spot. And then he brings credibility.
Luke Jones 03:38
Yeah, yeah. I I liked the Eflin move. I mean, I hadnโt mentioned him a lot, because obviously there was so much focus on crochet and Tarik screwable. And, most recently, Blake Snell. By the way, none of those guys ultimately dealt. So I think you look at f Lin, and we can debate a couple of the other starting pitchers that were dealt. I think the Flaherty thing was interesting with the report coming out late Tuesday night that the Yankees actually backed out because they were concerned about the medical. So I think Eflin was as well as you could do in terms of if you werenโt willing to give up your prime guys. And boy, the way the market played out, you would have given up all of those prospects well, but but Elias
Nestor J. Aparicio 04:27
saw the market and saw these guys werenโt going to be dealt and theyโre waiting for me to give them mayo or give them a holiday and Iโm not going to do it. So the best deal we could shake early on Elias read the market that way, you know me like thereโs no question about that because he got a guy that weโre sitting here on Monday morning after itโs all over with and saying, Well, they did as well as anybody did as far as getting a starter to make impact without giving away half their team. Where are you on nor being sad hours after seeing tastes of them over the period? I mean, they may go and be fine. And you know, play and maybe beat us, you know, one night at Tropicana Field, but Iโm very, very fine with it. And itโs, Iโll say this. Itโs itโs grown up baseball to take on $80 million. This is what organizations do. They think about next year, while trying to win this year. All of these things, they donโt go all in, because there is no all in. And then you got the seems like San Francisco, this esoteric thing weโve never had to worry about years since Mr MacPhail had that chat with Mr. Angelos about luxury tax. And being one of the teams thatโs threshold and threshold was the word. I mean, I sometimes I think you and I get nerdy and I bring Mari brown around and I bring, you know, valuation experts in to talk about the franchise and where it is and where the money is and how weโre gonna pay rutschman And how weโre gonna pay holiday and how weโre gonna pay Henderson. And then I put on an our major league baseball network. And there are real nerds there that like if you donโt speak that language, if youโre not yet speaking that language, you have no idea why the Giants had half a sell off.
Luke Jones 06:05
Yeah, I mean, thereโs definitely that part of it. I mean, the Orioles arenโt in that realm. But to your point, not just with
Nestor J. Aparicio 06:12
from it by dealing with somebody who is saying, Oh, you donโt pay that guy anymore because you need to get out of your threshold. Weโll take them. We need a pitcher. Sure, sure. I
Luke Jones 06:21
mean, the Orioles did that. I mean, I think Eloy Jimenez from the White Sox whoโs having a bad year. I mean, donโt get me wrong. Iโm not doing cartwheels about that do that. Well, go look at go look at his offensive numbers in the previous four years and they said, Okay, weโll take on someone, they took on some money. Again, is he going to make a major impact? Probably not, but
Nestor J. Aparicio 06:42
taking money for somebody thatโs not making a major impact? I mean, dude, I gotta stop you in your tracks. That Angeloโs just gonna seem that they donโt do that. And thatโs why I looked at it. Iโm like, itโs like a Yankee move in case Aaron judge purchase backers. i i Iโm looking at it. And Iโm like, Whereโs he gonna get it back here?
Luke Jones 07:00
I mean, I think there was a possibility for at bats for him, but I think itโs going to be in a specialized role than the name that I thought of which I think will make some Orioles fans, nostalgic, at least for the buckshaw Walter era. To me, it feels like it has the potential to be a Delmon young kind of move. And what I mean by that is consider off the bench Delmon Young was their primary DH against left handed starters at that point in time. And I mean, itโs Mike Elias said it on the mass and telecasts, which I just heard some bits and pieces of because I was at the ballpark. But he said, Hey, weโre gonna see if we can get Eloy on a on a heater for a couple months. I mean, they have a couple team options. Theyโre very unlikely to exercise because theyโre expensive. And again, heโs not having a good year, but he had a pretty good year last year. Go back and look at what he did it in 19 and 20 and 21. I mean, this guyโs got some power potential, and can help them against places Austin Hays sort of kind of No, no, because heโs not gonna play outfield at all. I mean, heโs a DH. He Heโs thatโs why I said heโs Dolman young. I mean, heโs d h slash pinch hitter. So
Nestor J. Aparicio 08:04
what does that mean for mountcastle? What does that mean that Rohan is going to be left? I mean, Lefty righty matchups. I just looked at it. And I I thought harana mo borooah. Honestly, you know what I mean? Thatโs what I thought but Iโm old school like that.
Luke Jones 08:17
Yeah, well, thatโs why thatโs why I use the the Darwinian comparison. I mean, look, Iโm not gonna sit here and say that heโs gonna get everyday starts, nor should he heโs batting 240 And as a 642 LPS this year, but as recently as last year, 23, doubles 18 homeruns. In 120. Games had a 758 Oh, PS had an 858, RPS two years ago. So you donโt want to play in defense? Like I said, this is a very specialized player, and they got them for basically nothing. You know, they gave up trade. McGough, who was not a prospect more an organizational arm? Really, they just basically took some money off the White Sox hands. I mean, thatโs what it is. So I donโt think itโs even a case where heโs guaranteed of playing all that much. Like I said, I donโt think heโs going to be an everyday player by any stretch of the imagination, because heโs a DH. And I think he matches up against left handed pitching. So I think heโs a specialized eh, and I think heโs a pinch hitter off the bench. Not gonna say I love the move, but I can at least see where theyโre coming from, because they have struggled against left handed starters, over the last, you know, month or two compared to where they see
Nestor J. Aparicio 09:27
that and I see it from a baseball perspective from like a strata Matic perspective and saying, Yeah, Iโd like to have that in my golf bag, in case I need it. Thatโs great. But how much money they paid for it? Thatโs
Luke Jones 09:38
new world here. Yeah, yeah, it is.
Nestor J. Aparicio 09:41
But I mean, last year, we took on the Yankees guy because they were paying him.
Luke Jones 09:45
Right, right, exactly. I mean, and thatโs why Iโm Iโm not gonna sit here and make a big deal out of it. But it does very much represent a shift and where theyโre going. I mean, these you know, theyโre not taking on crazy long term deals or anything like that, but but itโs a case where they feel Eloy Jimenez might be able to get hot and look more like the Hillary was the last few years and in that case, heโd be a really nice weapon off the bench for them. Come September in October but better
Nestor J. Aparicio 10:13
player right now the cows are cursed at not upside, not how much money he caused. Iโm talking about do you want him in the lineup tonight instead? Thatโs why when I saw it, Iโm like, they got Santander they have now castle. Well, you need bench players.
Luke Jones 10:29
Heโs a bench player. I mean, thatโs what thatโs what Iโm saying. I mean, you know, he doesnโt play the outfield. Heโs a DH
Nestor J. Aparicio 10:33
but a limited guy on the bench seems really strange in the hole or does Brandon hide Mojo? You know when you have the materials in the ureas is that are Swiss Army knives and even Wes purchased swiss army knife to some degree. They hope to Mayo can at least play third base in a pinch. Right now they got guys that can move around and play multiple positions and all that this. This feels like something out of character. I donโt. Weโve spent a lot of time talking about Eloy Jimenez, but again, we havenโt gotten to the pitching or relief pitching or what the Padres did or what anybody baseball did. But itโs curious. Weโre talking a lot about it. Itโs a little weird. Yeah, no, I
Luke Jones 11:08
agree with you Nestor. Iโm not sitting here saying that. I love the move. Iโm trying to rationalize the move. And Delmon Young is about the best comp I can come up with as far as a recent Orioles team that I Iโll say this, because you just asked me about mountcastle and some of the other guys, I would venture to guess that this might have more of an impact on Kobe Mayo status coming up and being part of the major league club. They donโt play the same position. But in terms of what I would envision Kobe Mayoโs potential role being because we know and we havenโt mentioned this, and, and this might be the most impactful move of anything coming out of Tuesdayโs moves anyway, Jackson holidays, but on his way back to the major leagues, and is going to be presumably their primary second baseman moving forward. So you know what that means for mayo. I think Mayo probably now becomes more of a guy for September, because I donโt think youโre moving on promote from Ramona Reyes, at least until Jorge Mateo is back in the picture. So you start to look at it and you start to count roster spots. Thatโs where, you know, I havenโt even gotten into the Austin Slater acquisition, itโs like, Wait a second. Didnโt you just get Christian pa che to to kind of be your defensive? Fifth outfielder, you know, what does this mean for Heston? Karstadt. So, some of this, and I even wrote this to Baltimore, positive.com, late Tuesday night, some of this we need to let the roster dust settle, because some of these guys havenโt reported yet. Whatโs it going to look like? Whoโs been optioned? All those things?
Nestor J. Aparicio 12:36
Itโs a period right now.
Luke Jones 12:38
It is. It really is. I mean, we know the rosters changed. I think the bullpen is much easier to figure out. I think the rotation weโll get to Trevor Rogers in just a moment, the rotation is pretty easy to figure out, regardless of how you feel about it. But I think the position players, the 13 position players youโre going to have on your roster. Iโm having a tough time figuring out what that looks like exactly.
Nestor J. Aparicio 13:02
As your hands got to be on Angstadt his name? Oh, my God, but and I know you know, Iโm glad you brought that up. We added bandages, my apologies.
Luke Jones 13:11
We were so focused on the trade deadline when you and I reconvene Tuesday morning to kind of talk about Mondayโs doubleheader and everything going on with the deadline that we did not even mention James McCainโs names and my bad on that because I said it. As we talked to him after game, one before the nightcap and the rain delay on Monday that I now know what itโs like to interview a prizefighter after a boxing match because thatโs what it felt like because I mean, gauze and packing up in his nose. His leg was swollen shot. Very hockey. It was very hockey. I
Nestor J. Aparicio 13:48
covered a lot of hockey. You saw
Luke Jones 13:49
Tyler Wellsโs tweet, I hope right. Tyler wells made the comment of the gist of it was Iโve never met anyone tougher than James McCann on the baseball field. And Iโd like to say that heโs someone that I Iโd be in the bunker with but heโd have no use for me because heโs that tough and Iโm not nearly that tough. And I just thought it was a really interesting little note that he threw out there but, but no to get back to what this roster is going to look like with the addition of Austin Slater Lavon soda, the infielder that came with him theyโve already optioned him to triple A. So I do wonder if you know when you talk about Slater Soto what happens with Christian posh che I think some of that is going to be to backfill the triple A Norfolk roster now that no longer has Kyle sours and no longer has Connor Norby if he was going to be optioned back to triple A, so So Iโm still not quite sure exactly how that all is going to work and to go back to a boy Jimenez for a moment. I mean, itโs just, I see what youโre thinking with him, but thatโs a really specialized role that to your point is not as versatile Well as their typical bench players, and again, thatโs why Iโm kind of wondering about, okay, whatโs this mean for Aston curse dad, even if theyโre planning on keeping a defensive minded outfielder, which certainly Austin Slater or Christian pass che fit that mold at the very least, you know guy guys that can defend and run a little bit. But Iโm just at this point until we see what the moves look like itโs still a little more difficult for me to process it. But yeah, the biggest move they made other than holiday being called backup, which isnโt official, until, you know, before Wednesday afternoons finale, but Trevor Rodgers, another starting pitcher, someone who fills the back end of the rotation that even with the addition of Zach Eflin, still had some questions. I think you and I and others have been talking about the preference to see Albert Suarez in a relief role, moving forward wondering what that looks like whether youโre talking about him replacing Corbin, who was DFA on Tuesday, in a long relief role, or even looking at him, in a sense of, you know, can he be a guy that maybe goes in inning or to another Jacob Webb kind of guy for them? Thatโs a little more versatile. I think his arm is good. I think weโve seen his arm hold up admirably as a starter, but I think we were wondering, Is that sustainable for him and for where he is the innings heโs thrown this year. The fact that this is his first time being back in the majors and seven years, I think there was a thought that Suarez might be able to help you in the bullpen, not saying heโs gonna become there closer. But I think Iโve used the comp that I think back to when Tommy Hunter transition from seventh inning starter roll. Yeah. And you know, maybe pitches a little higher leverage it, you know, if youโre
Nestor J. Aparicio 16:47
maybe gives you two and a third if you need it in the fifth APDA. Maybe?
Luke Jones 16:50
Yeah, but at the very least, you know, on
Nestor J. Aparicio 16:54
four days rest, heโs good for that, I think.
Luke Jones 16:58
Sure. And to me, thatโs gonna be the question, you know, can he bounce back and pitch twice in three days or three times in five days if you need something like that? So, you know, for now, he kind of looks like the long man, you know, I mean, like I said, COVID was the F aid. I think we could kind of see that coming, especially with the moves that theyโve made, and just how much he struggled for close to what, six weeks,
Nestor J. Aparicio 17:21
itโs got to be better. Yeah, we talked about rutschman Hit the ball, they all have to be better than I did last month, not going to not going to get the horse last month that they play like that the next two months, they might not make it October, they might be one of the biggest disappointments there is if they missed the playoffs by game because theyโre 15 games under 500, the next two months, like they canโt do that.
Luke Jones 17:40
Yeah. And theyโre not going to do that. Fair enough. Even even as bad as itโs looked over the last five weeks. Itโs not like the record. Is there not like the White Sox. They
Nestor J. Aparicio 17:51
are perceived to be one of the three best teams in baseball pick. They are they just are
Luke Jones 17:56
all right. If not even even if not the best three, certainly the top five,
Nestor J. Aparicio 18:00
right. And they also improved on Tuesday, as I see it, they got better. Now you and I are sick. Like right, well, but how much better and in what ways and what did they need to do? And whatโs coming over the hill that we donโt know about? And how do they really feel about cows? Or how do they really feel about curse that? How do they really feel about holiday? How do they really feel about mayo? Because the fans talk about these guys, to the blue in the face. But Richmondโs not hitting Mullins hasnโt been good. You know, different defense hasnโt been good. Thereโs been a lot of things that havenโt been good the last couple of weeks that above and beyond Corbin burns, he has been fine. And Grayson, which weโll see on Wednesday afternoon. But the rest of it is a is a scramble. And it is for all the teams to I mean, thereโs nobody that walks out of you know, Tuesday at six oโclock thinking weโve won the World Series. Well,
Luke Jones 18:52
and you get into trouble when you when you think like that, right? I mean, as Iโve said to you even some of the all time great trade deadline moves of the last 25 years did not net teams World Series necessarily. I mean, even some of the very best you know, talking about Sebastia going to the Brewers or Randy Johnson going to the Astros I mean it you know, you just you look at some of those. And for every move that you do remember, like Justin Verlander go into the Astros, for example. Youโll find other moves that either donโt work out, or they still donโt get that team to the promised land because itโs still a lot of variance, a lot of luck. A lot of whoโs getting right at the right or whoโs getting hot at the right time. That is still out of GMs hands and out of managers hands and even the best players that move. Theyโre still depending on their teammates, so they got better, how much better? How much impact are they going to receive from these moves? I think thatโs very much up for debate. I think if you were asking me to grade most of these moves, like I said, I really liked the Eflin move. I think they got seranthony Dominguez at a premium compared to what others ultimately paid for, for bullpen arms and including what the Orioles paid for Gregory Soto who is kind of a left handed seranthony Dominguez, you know, itโs itโs funny the Orioles are kind of building the 2023 three Phillies bullpen, which, yes, my brother in law and Philadelphia fans, a lot of them would say thatโs not very good. So weโre gonna see how that plays out. But I think you can see what they tried to do here. I think with their starting rotation, they certainly stabilized it. Weโve talked about Eflin a lot I think Trevor Rogers is itโs underwhelming. When you see the sticker shock of having given up Kyle sours and Connor Norby and by the way, I never answered your question about that. Look, I think Kyle sours has the potential to be an everyday outfielder in the major leagues. I think heโs got the potential to be a 2025 homerun guy. But letโs also recognize that the Orioles have kind of shown you the last couple years what they think about him in terms of how much they believe in Him. And quite frankly, Iโm guessing he would have been available for If another team had come calling saying hey, we really really want this guy. Hereโs our good reliever or hereโs our number five starter or number four starter for him or hereโs a name what other nice values
Nestor J. Aparicio 21:23
is value and I would say the same thing for whatever nor BS upside I think that like we all love our all our prospects. best prospects. Yeah. Okay. So you take them out, and then other teams evaluate them and
Luke Jones 21:36
and keep in mind, I mean, I think you look around baseball for as much as this absolutely did play out in being a sellerโs market. How many top 100 prospects were moved across the game? I mean, the and obviously, not all the lists are consensus, right? I mean, baseball America MLB pipeline baseball prospectus. They they all the athletic, they all have their top 100 list, but very, very few guys that show up on those lists this year. were removed. So yeah, the Orioles were willing to move Connor Norby who was, you know, a fringe top 100 guy. They were willing to move Kyle sours who was blocked. I mean, he was blocked the last for the better part of three seasons. Now. Heโs been blocked
Nestor J. Aparicio 22:22
losing two guys whoโs upside sitting 255 And being a major league player and being the you know, just a player is I mean,
Luke Jones 22:30
I like I think Norby has more upside in terms of, you know, I think the bat could play better. But I mean, Kyle sours was hitting 240 in Norfolk now, with power with production. Iโm not saying heโs a bad player. I love Kyleโs towers. But I think where they stand and understanding what theyโre kind of looking for in their outfielders. I think they felt that they needed to do better than that. And Norby I think the knock on him is going to be defense, right? I think his defenses looked okay at second base so far, but doesnโt have a lot of versatility. In fact, the Marlins option to him, because what do they want him to do? Theyโre actually going to teach him they want him to learn third base, you know, they want him to become more versatile. I think theyโre eyeing him as not necessarily a starter or not necessarily a bench player but at least a starter that has the ability to move around the infield a little bit more, you know, he can play a little bit of corner outfield potentially as well. So but when you look at some of the prices that weโre getting, we talked about this, we already talked about this the previous day with what the Astros paid to get Kikuchi from the Blue Jays who is a rental and rental not even having a good season. I think I saw I want to say it was one of the baseball America guys actually said what the Orioles gave up to get Trevor Rogers, who also carries two years of club control is comparable to what the Astros paid to get two months of Kikuchi as a left handed starter that is going to be a free agent and has not been all that good. You know, Roger has been has been really much better over his last nine starts. And I think for him, the Orioles for them to give up what they did. even acknowledging what the market was, I think they see some tweaks they can make and Trevor Rogers to perhaps get him back to where he was in 2021, which was second in NFL rookie of the year and was on the all star team now. Marlins rapid and all that Iโm not saying he was amazing, but he has pretty impressive numbers and itโs, you know, itโs gone in the wrong direction ever since which is makes it kind of puzzling why you would want someone who has a four and a half era, you know, but at the same time, heโs pitched consistently in terms of, you know, getting through five or six innings and he does give you a higher floor than letโs face it. Part of the Trevor Rogers acquisition is probably Cade Povich being as disappointing as heโs been in the moment right now.
Nestor J. Aparicio 24:59
Now that doesnโt mean Kate Povich wonโt figure it out. But pitching October in the big leagues. Well,
Luke Jones 25:04
I donโt know if Trevor Rodgers is going to pitch in October. I mean, heโs your number five starter, right? I mean, itโs going to be a debate of whether itโs him or Dean Kramer, because youโre gonna have four starters in a postseason series. So you know, but we also need to remember and part of these moves also goes into, they have two months left to go in the regular season. Theyโre still trying to win the division. You still want to have enough stability in your starting rotation that youโre youโre not forced to go back to Albert Suarez or Cade Povich or chase McDermott, you want to be in a position where, okay, those are your what ifs. Now, if Grayson Rodriguez, heaven forbid, tweaks his hamstring covering first base on Wednesday afternoon. And the way you mentioned
Nestor J. Aparicio 25:46
all these guys, these are all the guys that have contributed to 13 and 18. And whatever awfulness theyโre, you know, the last six weeks is that you go out there on day three, day four and day five, and youโre sending some kid from Norfolk Povich, youโre sending sort of a KBO reclamation project out there whose arms about the fall off and heโs in his 30s. And youโre sending Cole Irvin out there, and you didnโt even have Kramer until three weeks ago. So like, this is about to change. Weโre about to see, you know, they brought two very capable guys that are taking the ball every fifth day. And looking at least as good as Dean Kramer. Yeah, yeah.
Luke Jones 26:27
So I think the rotation is better now. Is it what it would have been? Had Kyle Bradish and John mean, stayed healthy? No, of course not. Right. I mean, that ship sailed, though those guys are not walking through the door with healthy elbows. So you have to adjust and the two pitchers that theyโve added in Eflin, who has more experience higher floor, no higher ceiling, although certainly not a high ceiling guy overall. But thatโs why heโs a number three starter and Trevor Rodgers. If he if the Orioles fail and making him any better than heโs been the last couple of years, then heโs the number five starter. Itโs not going to pitch in the postseason, other than maybe a long relief roll out of the bullpen. And you know, youโve got two more years at Club control. That is another option. He basically replaces Corbin assuming Corbin maybe gets claimed by someone else or ends up ended up being traded whatever. So, you know, I think itโs a move that was panned very quickly by Orioles fans because of the sticker shock. And Iโm not gonna sit here and say that Iโm doing cartwheels over Trevor Rogers by any stretch of the imagination. But when you start to break it down and you look at the club control, you look at what he was a few years ago and knowing that the Orioles have been able to fix some pitchers, you know, where theyโve, you know, theyโve John means was the very first one that they turned into what became an above average starter for a couple years,
Nestor J. Aparicio 27:54
but always gonna be more valuable than ours and Norview over the next two years, because not only is he gonna play and sours wasnโt gonna play, they were gonna get a guy that if this time next year, weโre talking about him being a decent fourth starter, or fifth starter for a team that won the World Series. Of course, we have to talk. Yeah, weโre didnโt win either way, or still has a chance to win a year from now heโs on the roster in May. And weโll pick 78 innings next year for the Orioles and that 78 More innings than Connor Norby was going to pitch or to honor to pass he wasnโt going to get or blah, blah, blah. You saw like all the FANBOY ish in regard to the value of these guys, the value was out on the table. You know, six oโclock on on on Tuesday, we and itโs exactly the way you and I would have put it together which is to say they showed you their hand scours Norby these guys that had no future. They that was what they were going to deal they werenโt going to do anything. Thatโs part of their state that theyโre paying hamburger prices for. For holiday. Anybody they see real upside, they see Mayo being mountcastle for five years here and hitting 200 home runs here over the next six years. Right and and not paying a lot to do it. You know, thatโs the way they have to think about their assets.
Luke Jones 29:10
Well, and on the flip side, you kind of got a glimpse of what the rest of Major League Baseball thinks of those guys. I mean, Iโm, Iโm guessing if someone else wanted really wanted, nor be more so than what the Marlins would have given away a relief pitcher, they might have gotten a better relief pitcher than what they ended up getting. You know, Iโm concerned. I mean, youโre always having multiple conversations with multiple executives, pertaining to multiple players and multiple needs. I mean, this was a really busy trade deadline, and also
Nestor J. Aparicio 29:39
based only on your valuation. Well, not the internet, not anybody else. This is Mike Elias his valuation of his organization and his players versus whomever heโs dealing with. And if the AAA say our closers a mayo or no, weโre not playing, then you just hang up the phone and say, Well, you know, call me back when youโll take ours. Well, weโre not dealing
Luke Jones 29:59
and And thatโs where you look at it and say, I mean, Mike Elias clearly wasnโt willing to pay what the Padres ended up playing for a two month rental of Tanner Scott, which I understand that. I mean, if you look at that, you kind of look at what the Padres gave up for him. I mean, youโre talking about the Orioles potentially giving up having to give up you know, Heston curse dad and more to get Tanner Scott, two months rental. I mean, youโre kind of weโre talking about the the Andrew Miller thing all over again. Right. So I think, if nothing else, and this applies to everyone, not just the Orioles and Mike Elias, I do wonder if weโre going to start to see teams need to revisit how they do the roster building, understanding how expensive the trade deadline has gotten in terms of if you want to really go get an impact something thatโs really impactful. Boy, youโre gonna have to give up a lot if teams donโt want to trade their prospects. So either do that in December via trade? Or how about this? Spend some money on the free agent market? One if I could. Well met one element of the Eflin deal. Heโs the kind of pitcher I wanted the Orioles to sign. Two offseasons ago, the offseason when ivaldi went to the Rangers Eflin was signed by the rays. You know, the Orioles had finished 22 on a high note, they were going into 23 with at least Gibson you wanted Athlon I know it would have been Eflin it would have been Gibson and sign another picture along those lines. I mean, they were at a point where look, they werenโt spending any money at that point in time, their payroll was nothing. I mean, it was even less than what it
Nestor J. Aparicio 31:36
is right. And they didnโt have to pay rutschman and Henderson and knew those guys were coming. And the point is,
Luke Jones 31:40
I mean, I did mention Nathan ivaldi, two winters ago, and you saw what he did for the Texas Rangers last year now would that have made the difference in the Orioles would have been the team winning the World Series then who knows? You never know. But the point is, they ended up needing an arm of that ilk. And they had to end up giving up minorly talent to do it which luck, things happen. And I Iโm not crushing, Mike, Mike Elias over that. But the point is, and youโre hoping some of these deals they made at the deadline moving forward are signs that thereโs going to be more of a willingness to do some of that not saying go out there and give out bad free agent contracts, donโt spend money foolishly. But if you have a very clear need, or you have a very clear opportunity to upgrade something, you know, if you go out and spend some money for it, you might not have to give up as much. But itโs
Nestor J. Aparicio 32:28
itโs counter, grow the bats by the arms. That doesnโt even sound right. And the arms are expensive and fragile, or for GLA in this case, and looking for clarity. I mean, just being an example and look at the way even the rays did business here to say, All right, we got a bunch of young talent, we feel like we need a horse. Weโll put a bunch of money out on the table. And if it doesnโt work out the Orioles will take the money that somebody else will take it on. Yeah. If it as long as his arm doesnโt fall off, should we buy insurance for those things sometimes. But the Cardinals have made a living doing that dealing, signing, you know, third or fourth star and seeing if it works out great. If not, weโll deal them off. I mean, because they had the money to do that or felt like we donโt feel like the rays have the money. But thatโs not bad baseball either is signing credible players. And then third year the deal finding somebody to take the last 40 million off your hands. Yeah.
Luke Jones 33:26
Or or in a case of you say, well, weโll get rid of this guy one year early, and weโll recover some assets in return rather than just letting them walk in, you know, being in that other than the select group that gets a qualifying offer, you know, youโre not going to get anything in terms of compensation. And so, I mean, itโs, weโll get to the bullpen because thatโs a whole thing. Yeah, I think thatโs a segment in and of itself, because theyโve theyโve improved the rotation. Now, did they add Garrett crochet? No. Did they add two weeks Google? No. Did they add? Blake Snell? No. But guess what? The Yankees didnโt either. Other teams in baseball didnโt either. And thatโs where I looked at f1. And
Nestor J. Aparicio 34:06
Dodgers added Jack Flaherty and that would have been a punch line here. Well,
Luke Jones 34:11
I mean, it would have been in terms of perception, Iโm not sure that that would have been a bad mood necessarily. I mean, you know, youโre hoping Jack Flaherty pitches like how heโs pitched for the Tigers this year, which is way better than he pitched for the Orioles last year. So but in terms of perception? Sure. And, you know, I think even that move looks a little bit different. Because one thing that that, that people said was the Dodgers got him at the buzzer. And they looked at that return compared to some of the other starting pitcher returns and they said, well, Andrew Freeman and the Dodgers done it again, you know, they go they go out and get someone that and they end up not even having to give up that much in terms of prospects. But I think that might have been a reflection of what happened with the Yankees. Maybe the Dodgers had some concerns about clarity physically and said, Look, weโre not gonna give you you werenโt weโre not gonna give you what youโre asking for. But will you? Weโll give you this and heโs cortisone shots on August 23. Right and heโs You know, heโs a rental and if you donโt trade them now youโre getting nothing for him. So Here take this. So thatโs why I said to you, when we talked about this the other day when sometimes there is a benefit to waiting until the buzzer even if youโre the buyer, because that team that selling as much as theyโre waiting for the best offer, if something doesnโt go right, and you know, the market dries up in terms of buyers that are courting your guy, it can come down to you donโt want to be stuck with that asset and your hand that at 601 on Well, the
Nestor J. Aparicio 35:26
buyer only gets fleeced when he says yes, so yeah,
Luke Jones 35:30
yeah, I mean, itโs so you know what, weโre gonna see how it plays out again. I liked the Eflin move. Rogers is more in the fine category for me. I certainly wasnโt outraged about it. But I think he just looked at the market dictate
Nestor J. Aparicio 35:45
and as far as better than Ervin better than what theyโve had, hopefully.
Luke Jones 35:49
I mean, I canโt say that with certainty. Nestor, he might stink. I mean, he might, you know, it has not trended well for him and his velocity has gone down a little bit over the last year or two as well. Iโm hoping the Orioles see someone that they feel they can make some tweaks to and they can make him you know, middle of the rotation starter, you know, weโll see. Austin Slater. Eloy Jimenez, again, Iโm a little a little more curious in terms of what that position player bench is going to look like. But weโll get to Gregory Soto. I have some thoughts on him. I have thoughts on seranthony Dominguez, I have thoughts on whether theyโve done enough with their bullpen. And, you know, Iโve been Iโve been banging the table about that since spring training, you know that. Did they do enough? Weโre gonna get into that because I certainly have some thoughts and I will express how I feel about it. I
Nestor J. Aparicio 36:42
want to express to my mother and father that Iโm really upset with them for not naming me sir Nestor Aparicio. So, Sir Anthony Dominguez. Maybe I can be knighted in Dundalk. Who knows. Luke Jones is Baltimore looky saw out in Owings Mills. Heโs very sleepy. The Orioles are playing afternoon games, night games. You know, weโre traveling off to Cleveland. I drove six hours back from Cleveland this week. So plenty things to talk about, including this delicious scone that much Bishop bought me at Luckyโs cafe in three months. I am Nestor. He is Luke trading deadlines over Orioles ahead. Weโre doing a lot of football this week as well Lukeโs out training camp. For those who are inquiring about the text service. Itโs under repair. Hang on. Weโre weโre improving things after 17 years trying to make things better. And Iโll say that on the radio and Iโll put out a you know red flag on that for everybody before the month is over, but itโs gonna take me a couple of weeks because the governmentโs involved in peopleโs tax numbers. I am Nestor. He is Luke we are wn st am 1570, Towson Baltimore. And we never stop talking. Baltimore positive