Having watched Corbin Burnes look the part of a Number One starter last season, Luke Jones and Nestor look ahead to whatever Mike Elias will need to do to find the kind of performances that the Red Sox newest ace Garrett Crochet delivered on Wednesday night against the Orioles at Camden Yards. No offense, Zach Eflin, but the Birds still have some work to do on the front of the rotation. And that will define this season by Octoberโs endโฆ
Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discussed the Oriolesโ recent game against the Red Sox, highlighting Garrett Crochetโs career-high eight shutout innings and eight strikeouts. They noted the Oriolesโ offensive struggles, with only three hits and one runner in scoring position. They also debated the Oriolesโ lack of top-tier pitching prospects, contrasting it with the Red Soxโs trade for Crochet. Jones criticized the Oriolesโ drafting and development of pitchers, noting only two top-15 prospects. They discussed the financial constraints and strategic decisions affecting the teamโs long-term success, including potential player extensions and the need for significant pitching improvements.
SUMMARY KEYWORDS
Orioles, pitching, Garrett Crochet, Zach Eflin, Red Sox, trade, prospects, rotation, Baltimore, NFL Draft, Maryland crab cake tour, player development, salary cap, extensions, playoffs.
SPEAKERS
Luke Jones, Nestor Aparicio
Nestor Aparicio 00:01
Welcome home. We are W, N, S T am 1570 Towson, Baltimore. We are Baltimore positive. We are positively getting back out onto the road with the Orioles of the Kansas City and Arizona. Weโre going to be talking baseball here soon. Weโre also going to have a lot of football around here as we get ready for the NFL Draft. And next week, we will get the Maryland crab cake tour rocking again. Weโre going to be at Costas in on Friday. Next Friday, that is the 11th, we will have a handful of magic eight ball scratch offs left. Iโm going to move into a another scratch off realm. As we get going here, maybe we go back to the future for all I know, think about Huey Lewis. I tell you what, the Orioles went back in future, and Neal ace on Wednesday night. Neal ace every day at this point. Zach leftland. Nice effort. Not nice enough. Luke was at the ballpark on Wednesday night as our accredited media member here at W NSD, uh, heโll be back at the ballpark at 1pm uh, weather withstanding, sounds like itโs going to be a warm, cloudy day, and weโre going to talk a little Terps in this thing before itโs all over with too. But Luke Corbin burns, where have you gone? Thatโs all I can say, right? And
Luke Jones 01:07
Garrett crochet, youโve gone to the other socks. The team thatโs not historically terrible. And Hey, boss is a career high eight shutout innings and eight strikeouts. Orioles had three hits against him, or, I guess it was four hits and had one runner in scoring position. I mean, just did not amount much off offense. Whatโs whatsoever? Well, tough
Nestor Aparicio 01:32
lefty, first off, you have no Anderson, you have no cows, or you wouldnโt have played him anyway, right? Yeah, or maybe not. I mean,
Luke Jones 01:37
maybe cows are in place of Mullins, but either way, right? I mean, look, most teams arenโt going to match up very well against Garrett crochet. Itโs why the Red Sox made the trade that they did, and they just gave him a lucrative contract extension. I mean, heโs the talent is there. I mean, we saw that last year with him breaking out with the White Sox, who were otherwise historically terrible, but he was really, really good. You know, the questions are just workload him become, you know, him going from reliever to starter, like all of that. You know, all the questions we have about every young pitcher. But it didnโt phase him on it didnโt phase him on Wednesday night, he was excellent. The Orioles really wasnโt until maybe the sixth inning that they even hit a ball hard. So there just wasnโt a whole lot to speak of. There a role as Chapman comes in and slams the door in the ninth inning, I hear heโs a nice guy, heโs a good citizen, heโs still, he can still pitch, though, but, yeah, but you know, Zach eflint, theyโre not a zero tolerance organization. No, they are not. But Zach efland, I mean, he wasnโt bad. I can think of three pitches heโd like to have back over six innings. You know, he was he pitched. Thatโs the kind of effort you would think most nights will be good enough for the Orioles to have a great chance to win. But when youโre going up against a Garrett crochet, whoโs throwing the way that he did on Wednesday night. The Orioles, yeah, three. Nothing. Might as well have been 10 nothing at that point in time. Letโs
Nestor Aparicio 03:06
talk about crochet for just a minute. What would the Orioles have needed to do to make that happen? I mean, you know, when I see that guy, I say, Okay, what would that have cost that Corbin burns wouldnโt have cost that Zach Eflin and and listen, man, anytime I put these broadcasts on, they make me want to vomit. I mean, I start again. And Katie Griggs is selling cupcakes and whatever theyโre doing, and the $5 beers, and theyโre doing all of that. And I think to myself, they donโt have enough pitching. Ben McDonald and Jim Palmer are watching this thing happen. And I just think to myself, what, what could the Orioles have done to make that happen? And they praised the Zach Eflin move. Palmer said something like the best move they made all last year, yeah, because they knew bird Burns was unsignable, right? They know things we donโt know. They knew in August. We know in August that signing Burns is going to cost a lot of money, and there would be competition for it if his arm didnโt fall off, because in at one point in July and August, youโre worried about him last year. But a guy like crochet available for the Orioles. Yours could have made that move. What would would that look like westburg to you? What would that look like to you
Luke Jones 04:09
dealing? I donโt think itโs gonna be westburg. I mean, you look at what the White Sox got. It was four minor leaguers. You know, Braden Montgomery was in that deal. Heโs one of their best prospects. Now, I mean, weโve talked about this, you know, the complication with the Orioles is, and I donโt say this to excuse them, because you have to make moves. You have to have proper pitching. I mean, my biggest criticism of Mike Elias has been,
Nestor Aparicio 04:36
you know, what about the pitching? They havenโt drafted the pitching, right? Yeah,
Luke Jones 04:39
you havenโt drafted it. You youโve developed it some guys here. I mean, you know Kyle Bradish, I give them credit. They developed Kyle Bradish, right? I mean, you know when, when Bradish was in the Bundy deal, I was gonna say, but he was from another organization. So, you know, there was at least a baseline there. But, you know, I think what the problem that theyโve run into? And look Ken Rosenthal, spoken on this, you know, Jeff has and some. Some of the most plugged in national ball writers have talked about this. When you have the prospects at the top of your system, the way that the Orioles have had the last few years, teams tend to want you to pay a premium, because you can pay a premium, rather than, you know, what a team that might have. I donโt want to say that Red Sox had a bad system, because they donโt. I mean in the Red Sox the Red Sox have lots of good young players, but they werenโt giving up Jackson holiday for Right? Exactly, you know, they didnโt have the number one prospect in baseball, and they didnโt have to give up the number one prospect in baseball. Whereas it, you know, weโve seen this, you know, with some of the scuttlebutt with cease over the last couple years, you know, with crochet, different different pictures that have even scoopable who might have been available at one point last Yeah. I mean, whether he really was or not, itโs almost like they look at the Orioles and say, Well, you you have the brand new Ferrari. We want the Ferrari. But
Nestor Aparicio 05:52
as an Oriole fan, I feel like weโre the single guy at the party thatโs always looking for the prettier girl, because we donโt have it. And like theyโre always, weโre going to be talking about someone elseโs picture now, itโs the kid in Florida, right? Like weโre always going to be talking about somebody elseโs picture right now, it began last year when Bradish went down and means wasnโt going to make it like all that, that, that they coveted Corbin burns, right? And they went and got Corbin burns. Then they needed more, and they went and got effluent right there. Now they need more. I mean, Iโm sitting itโs April 3, and Iโm sitting here and Iโm like, they need something like that if theyโre gonna win a World Series before the end of the year. Iโm not panicked. I mean, all of you were more panicked. I mean, Viviano, Everybody I talked to is like, they didnโt do enough. They didnโt do enough. They didnโt do enough. Well, itโs April 3. They didnโt do enough. They just got beaten by a number one starter that maybe they could have had. And now I have to say, All right, so what are they going to give up when it comes time to get I mean, are they going to get another Zach Eflin? Right? Theyโre going to get another two, another three that that that you and I may sign off on that in July, if Grayson Rodriguez is back and is okay, but weโre not playing games here anymore, dude, Iโm 34 years into doing this every day, and weโre three days into the baseball season, and thereโs a real season. We havenโt had a lot of those. We havenโt had a lot of grown up conversations around here over the years, but this is I just have to ask out loud, what would it take to get him? And now here we are again, in a position where weโre gonna have to go get another him if youโre going to win a World Series, Zach Effen ainโt going to be your number one, and Sugano is going to be your two, or whatever. However youโre going to call it when it comes time to pitch in games one, two and three in the playoffs. And I know youโll say, hey, playoffs more relief pitching. Theyโre going to need more of that too. And youโve, you know, youโve already spent Mr. Rubensteinโs money on relief pitchers. You did that a couple of weeks ago when Kittredge went down. So we theyโre gonna be dealing and wheeling, and in the meantime, theyโre not two and two and three and three and four and four and five and five. You know, at some point theyโre gonna need to put some padding, and itโll look like a playoff team, even before you worry about the pitching, right?
Luke Jones 07:57
And look, everyone gets caught up on a number one. There are only so many number ones, so I donโt even necessarily the Rangers didnโt have a true number one. Their true number one was, was on the shelf two years ago. I mean, Jacob deGrom had gotten Tommy John surgery last year. The Dodgers, while we thought, think about the Dodgers as spending all this money, think back to what the rotation looked like last October. There. There wasnโt a bona fide number one ace in that group. I mean, they were, you know, Jack Flaherty. I mean, you know, heโs a rental, right? I mean, the Orioles have been there. It didnโt work out as well for them, but that said yes, theyโre going to need another at a minimum, a guy that youโre absolutely going to say yes, heโs going to start a playoff game for us. Weโre going to feel good about him, right in the way that, you know, even if it is, even if the baseline is another Zach Eflin, right? But they
Nestor Aparicio 08:48
also get into a point, and this is where lock and forward becomes a maniac, where theyโll look at Sam pasayo, hitting 321 at Norfolk and having 20 home runs, and say youโre not touching him. You know, if any of those guys, come on if, if kersnat starts hitting the ball looking like a big leaguer, I donโt know they they make those guys a little more untouchable. Iโm not saying itโs wrong. Iโm just saying they need pitching. As you go back to they need pitching, you say they donโt draft pitching, you beat Elias up about not drafting pitching. The World beats them up about not spending enough money in the off season on pitching, and they spent a ton. I just weโre in the season now, and what they have is not good enough. And I know that. You know that the people know that thereโs my wrestling piece. Weโll get into that in a minute. But we know when we identify what crochet is, get through in October without that, try to get through a season without that. They had it last year. Itโs why theyโre as good as they were last year. Yeah, and they had it the year before, really, with Bradish in a number sense, they had it the year before. But, but to
Luke Jones 09:49
answer your original questions, so the Red Sox traded four pieces to Chicago, right? You know the headliner was COVID. Teal. He is a catcher at, I think, triple A. He is considered the number 31 prospect in baseball. So youโre talking about someone not as good as beside, you know. So if you want to use a very basic comp, okay, you could have traded Messiah for him, the other top 100 prospect that they traded. Iโve mentioned already, Braden Montgomery, whoโs an outfielder. He is young, a little bit on on the younger side. Heโs 21 according to MLB pipeline. His estimated arrival could be 2027 Heโs the number 53 prospect in baseball. And as I mentioned to you, you kind of look at the Orioles right now. As far as where they stand with their prospects, they have two top 15 guys right in beside oh and mayo, and then thereโs more of a gap, right? Itโs not to say that Enrique Bradfield and some other guys theyโve drafted over the last two drafts wonโt be good prospects, but there isnโt, there isnโt anyone thatโs, you know, widely regarded as, oh, the number 40 prospect.
Nestor Aparicio 11:06
Well, where they were 24 months ago, everybody was pipelined. Then right, holiday was pipeline. Henderson was pipeline, Adley Russ was pipeline two years ago. So, like, theyโre all here now, and thatโs why theyโre winning games, right, literally, but sure, pitching Wise, who do they have in a top 100 a pitching pipeline?
Luke Jones 11:26
I mean, the Orioles, no one, no one. I mean, itโs as far as top 100 thatโs not to say they donโt have any arms at all that arenโt at least interesting. But, you know, I mean, we saw Chase McDermott last year. You know, does does he profile as maybe he becomes a number five starter. Maybe heโs a bullpen arm.
Nestor Aparicio 11:46
You know about povidge before? You like him. Iโve said this.
Luke Jones 11:49
I still think thereโs a good pitcher somewhere in Kate povidh. I think thereโs the potential for a pretty good pitcher somewhere in Kate povidge. I mean, you donโt strike out eight Red Sox hitters on opening day, even with the pitch count being what it was, and and sit there and say, well, this kid doesnโt have any ability, right? I mean, I donโt feel that way at all. Problem is, you need them to figure that out way more sooner than later, just because of the current state of their rotation. But you know, you kind of look at guys that they have and, you know, theyโre guys that maybe 2627 2028 you know, thereโs some interesting arms when you kind of go down there, top 30 list, depending on which source you want to look at. But thereโs no one that screams, oh, wow, that guyโs going to be a difference maker sooner than later. I mean, itโs a bunch of guys that, you know, interesting arms, but no one I can sit here with any conviction and say, Yeah, that guy will be in their rotation three years from now. And thatโs where, thatโs kind of where my criticism lies with, not, not that Michael is has done a poor job overall. I mean, this teamโs, you know, weโve talked about it, theyโve won 192 games over the last two years. I mean, tell me the last time the Orioles did that. You know, you have to go back a really long time. But as theyโre at this point now, theyโre completely post rebuild. Theyโve been to the playoffs twice. They have a team, position talent wise, that you really like, even if itโs not perfect. I mean, theyโre not going to score eight runs every single night. Itโs baseball. So you know, youโre going to have nights like what we saw Wednesday night. But when you do look at the pitching and, and, you know, you look at how theyโve addressed pitching, you know, largely with just these one year deals, Eflin being a trade with an extra year attached to it, you just look at that and say, you know, there, thereโs only so much of a ceiling on that, you know, theyโve gone for the high floor kind of guys, as Iโve said to You, maybe trying to build a rotation to survive rather than thrive. Youโd like to do both, right? Youโd like to have a rotation that has a little more upside and can last. Itโs not easy. Thereโs pitch there are pitching injuries around baseball. I mean, look what happened to the Yankees before the season even started, and how that changed, how theyโre perceived. You know, they went from being the clear cut favorite in the Al east to what we all think now is much more of a up for grabs, kind of division where four, maybe all five, teams have at least a somewhat of a puncherโs chance. So you know, itโs the nature of the beast. Iโll continue to remind that for as much as we might look at their pitching and have some questions, there are lots of other teams around baseball, including contenders, where you ask, Will they hit enough? Whereas you hope for the Orioles Wednesday night, while not withstanding and this kind of choppy start that theyโve
Nestor Aparicio 14:30
had not withstanding, you hope that thatโs not going to be an issue, that itโs going to be more of a strength for them. By the way, Wednesday night felt like a game one playoff matchup from the last two years of playoffs, where, and I know they didnโt have Henderson, they didnโt have a couple of hitters, and obviously, couch was not around anymore, but it, it felt like could that their pitching is too good.
Luke Jones 14:49
You know, it could be. I mean, Iโm not going to sit here and say that Garrett crochet, you know, at the Red Sox had the kind of year that theyโre fully capable of having. And you. Perhaps the biggest development, development for them Wednesday night was not even crochet. It was Raphael Devers, actually looking somewhat like Raphael Devers again, after just almost like a late career. Chris Davis start, you know, striking out just about every time he was going to the plate. So but look the Red Sox. Theyโre intriguing. I think you look at where they are now, with their young talent, with what theyโve done with Bregman crochet, and you look at them, theyโve certainly closed the gap with the Yankees and the Orioles as the division hierarchy kind of shapes up on paper. Now, how healthy will everyone stay? You know, the Red Sox have had, you know, thereโs some questions about, you know, what their bullpen will look like, and, you know, again, how everything meshes. I mean, the, you know, the Devers thing was messy during spring training, but you know, really, for him, itโs being healthy. You know, he missed most of the spring, and he got off to such a bad start. And youโre talking about the guy that youโre heโs the guy you actually gave money to when you didnโt give money to Mookie Betts and other guys. So but you know, yeah, when you have a crochet and, you know, the questions are still there for any pitcher, no matter how much you like him, no matter what he looks like on paper, whatever the stats are, how much money heโs making, thereโs still the question about his durability. And I did find it interesting that he went a career high eight innings two days. You know what? One day after he got the lucrative contract extension, I expected him to get that. I mean, the Red Sox werenโt going to trade them, trade for minor leaguers and then not pay him, especially considering the criticism that theyโve been under the last few years with not really spending money. But is he going to hold up, you know? I mean, thatโs the big question for him. I mean, the that was the big question for everyone, what you know whether they were going to acquire him at the trade deadline? Because, you know, it was kind of uncharted territory for this guy to go from relieving the starting and, you know, not really have too much of a restrictor played on him in the way that you see pitchers do that. You know, teams do that with pitchers today, so itโll be fascinating. But all that being said, all that risk being acknowledged, he He absolutely has the stuff looking like a number one starter. And you know, there arenโt 30 of them in baseball. We know that. You know, there are maybe 10, maybe, you know, depending, you know, if you
Nestor Aparicio 17:25
lower your Well, when you start taking the garret Coles out, and you start taking the bradishes out, and you start, you know, when guys start getting hurt, and then, you know guys that have Strider last year, right?
Luke Jones 17:36
Sure, no, I mean, and thatโs the thing, I mean, Garrett Coleโs out of the picture this year. I mean Spencer strut, you know, look at the Braves right now. Theyโre an absolute mess. You know, jerks and pro far popped for peds, and Reinaldo Lopez is hurt now. And, you know, Striders still not back yet, which wasnโt unexpected, but you know, theyโre having all kinds of issues in there. Theyโre a team that was projected to have a higher wind total than the Orioles, and one of the teams in the NL that people thought might actually have a chance to challenge adults. I
Nestor Aparicio 18:02
also let Freddie Freeman get away, right? I mean, theyโre a generational player. Go right, but,
Luke Jones 18:06
but theyโre, you know, the Braves are a team that a lot of Orioles fans have pointed to in terms of, look how many guys theyโve extended. And itโs also interesting you look at how many young players theyโve extended, and itโs easy to look at someone like Acuna injuries, you know, injuries aside, but you look at some of the deals theyโve done, thereโs a couple of those. I look at them and say, Hmm, I wonder if they if they could go back and do it all again, if theyโd still do it. So, you know, even that thereโs, you know, youโre, youโre, thereโs always some risk involved. I mean, the Orioles could announce an extension for Jackson holiday later today or tomorrow or this weekend, and everyone would be really excited about it, but, and let me be clear, I would be in favor of that. Iโm not. This is not me saying no to that, but youโre also talking about someone who has well under a year of Major League experience, who itโs been choppy at best, right? And Iโd fully expect Jackson
Nestor Aparicio 18:58
million dollars right now, how do you do that?
Luke Jones 19:02
Oh, I absolutely would do it, but thereโs, thereโs still some inherent risk involved in that. Now, itโs not the same risk as giving someone $700 million or giving a pitcher $250 million but, but, but this is part of it. I mean, at some point in time you do look at Mike Elias and look, I donโt think the Orioles are ever going to be all in. I use with air quotes in the way that you think about, you know, we talked about this in the NFL, like, do the Ravens ever truly go all in with the way that they try to build their roster? No, they they try to, but they
Nestor Aparicio 19:38
have a salary cap. Baseball doesnโt, which is both sides of this, because if understand, Hendersonโs gonna get 600 million, he might be getting that from the Mets or the Cubs, or somebody thatโs spending that kind of money at that moment that has it, because thereโs 1520, franchises that donโt have it
Luke Jones 19:52
and canโt do it, right, but, but thatโs, you know, whether you have a salary capital or you just have a a finite revenue stream. That, frankly, the Dodgers donโt. You know the Dodgers. Thereโs a limit to it at some point in time, but not to save us the Orioles, right?
Nestor Aparicio 20:08
Not the question you ask a 74 year old owner when you have them, you know, on the cover of your magazine, when you get together with them, you ask him what heโs going to spend and and like that, like because heโs going to have to be a sugar daddy. Yeah? Katie Griggs knows that. I know that the people know that. Ken Rosenthal knows that. Like, did you see the ballpark on Wednesday? I didnโt, because they didnโt give me a press pass. They had all sorts of empty seats in their press box, but they donโt have room for me. They donโt have plenty room for everybody else. Where is the revenue coming from for this? So at every point theyโre going to play with one hand tied behind their back, because theyโre the Baltimore Orioles, because of what Mr. Angelo said to me 28 years ago, which is, and thereโs a team in Washington, or as a team, we donโt believe there should be a team in Washington and and now that there is, youโre either going to be a sugar daddy or if youโre going to run it not on nut I saw what nut on nut looked like, and the Red Sox fans were in there on Wednesday night, and $5 beers, and people we spent two hours before the game talking about, can I get the games? How much is it going to cost me to get the games, and all of that stuff. This is where the crochets and the best players and what theyโre going to cost in the future. Now that Rubenstein is here, whether youโre going to be philanthropic in regard to the way you run the team, giving money to baseball players to make the team better, to get people there, because Iโm not sure theyโre ever going to measure up financially. To be in the conversation we talk about with the Red Sox and the Yankees. Iโve seen the Red Sox and the Yankees over the last 30 years. Iโve been to their stadiums. Iโve been to their areas. I know what the cities look like. I know what the towns look like. I know what the money looks like. I know what the corporate structure looks like. It ainโt happening here. So unless Mr. Moneybags is going to be philanthropic and charitable and go in over his skis, heโs a money guy, dude. Heโs a guy thatโs been counted his way to being a billionaire. I donโt think heโs a generous man, like in a general sense. You know what I mean? I donโt feel like heโs just going to be generous about this. But there is the point where the thingโs going to sell for three and a half billion at some point, and he goes 100 million over his skis for six years, eight years until heโs 85 that they could win, and he could do the little Tom Benson dance that he wants to do on bobblehead night. He could have a bobblehead with him holding the trophy. Thatโs what he really wants to do, and thatโs and thereโs nothing wrong with that, right? There isnโt. And look, when you look at the teams that you know, and letโs throw the Dodgers out for a second, right? Throw the Dodgers and the Yankees. And
Luke Jones 22:41
Iโm trying to, you know, just throw those two out for right? Well,
Nestor Aparicio 22:44
the clubs would have the money. There are teams that would have the money if they didnโt pocket it, yeah.
Luke Jones 22:48
I mean, you know, I mean, Philadelphia has had a very, very high payroll, you know, do they have the same revenue stream as the Dodgers? Probably not quite at that level, but with all these teams, and this is even when you get into the kind of territory where Iโm hoping the Orioles can get, you know, Iโve mentioned the Cardinals, Iโve cited that. Iโve cited them, you know, if they have something that they build and sustain, can they be a top 12 kind of payroll? You know, you know, where youโre flirting with the top third of the league. Whereas, to me, that kind of payroll, you can probably do a couple extensions. Now, youโre not gonna be able to extend six guys, right? Youโre not gonna be able to extend everyone you have doing what the Padres have done, you know, be selective, you know, I mean, the Padres have had Manny Machado and, you know, theyโve, theyโve been able to extend and make some other moves. And, you know, I
Nestor Aparicio 23:36
Well, tack like the greatest player on earth for a minute, right? Sure, sure. So, so thatโs where I look at this
Luke Jones 23:41
thing, and say, okay, you know, if not, but if not, now, when right? Because, and look, weโve talked about it. If youโre a Boris client, itโs, itโs more difficult. Well, thatโs the first conversation we have, sure, right? At the same time, I also, I also kind of loathe the idea that we just put everything on the agent. Because who hires the agent? The agent works for the player. So at some point in time, you could talk all you want, Boris. Boris, Boris,
Nestor Aparicio 24:07
I donโt know that. Itโs gunner Hendersonโs life goal to be an Oriole for life. He sees Cali wave storm and all that, and then he goes and he sees Aaron judge playing New York, making 50 times the amount of money, and saying, you know, I mean, heโs a kid from Alabama. I donโt maybe he wants to be a brave one. I donโt know what what he wants to be when he grows up, but like he heโs under no thought to give anybody a discount or sign up now, and Boris will tell him that. And Boris will say, be patient. The same way that if you think they could give Jackson holiday 100 million right now that his daddy, who already has 500 million, would say, Yeah, you know, hang in there, kid. Donโt worry about it. You know, yeah, itโs different when you got a rich daddy too. Sure, you and I didnโt have rich daddies. You know, the first 20 million would have sounded like a lot to us. Oh, no question. Well, and I think thatโs why you know some of these players you do see, you know guys that are, you know, weโve seen guys extended for not 400 million. Dollars or anything absurd. But weโve seen guys sign these kind of deals before they even make their major Adam Jones and Marquez signed up for money around here before they could have, should have needed to. I mean, they wanted to be here. They bought in,
Luke Jones 25:11
but Jones was toward the end. Though, remember, I mean, that was Jones was not far away from free agency at that point, but your pointโs well taken. And again,
Nestor Aparicio 25:19
you kind of got more for the Yankees at that moment, right? I mean, sure, if you hit the right, if you wanted to leave you liked it here. Look, thatโs where we look at this thing. And a wife here. Heโs got a light he likes it here now, plus Adam Jones doesnโt like me, but I like him a lot. And
Luke Jones 25:31
this is where I say gunner, you know, with someone like gunner Henderson. Look, Iโm not going to sit here and say gunner Henderson absolutely does want to be an Oriole long term, or absolutely does not. Iโm guessing the truth is somewhere in the middle there where heโd say, you know, letโs see how this plays out here in Baltimore every year. Letโs go on some dates. Thatโs what guys do. Letโs see what. Letโs see what we do here. Do we win? You know what? Whatโs the roster look like two years from now? Three years from now, all of that, with all these factors. Thereโs there itโs itโs rarely just one thing. If it is, it is money, fully acknowledging that. But there are plenty of guys that arenโt necessarily going to take every last cent from the absolute highest bidder. It might be the second highest bidder. If there are other three other variables that appeal to them about, you know, whether itโs staying put, going somewhere geographically, like Corbin burns, you know, in Arizona is kind of a dream scenario for him, you know, with his family and wanting to be on the West Coast and, you know, that kind of just the stars aligned for him in that way. So, you know, you just, you have to let it play out in that way. And it is frustrating, because youโd like to think the Orioles could get one of these done, you know, one of these extensions done that, you know, itโs not going to be a Soto deal, you know. I mean, Gunner Henderson, the only guy that they currently have that would even, you know, kind of be not 700 million but, you know, I donโt know, Gunner might be a $400 million player before itโs all said and done, you know, and again, Iโm projecting out four years from now. But you know, youโd like to think, you know, you look at some of these deals that have been signed this past week where youโre talking about, like, a nine year, 100 million dollar deal, you buy out the first couple years of free agency for a young player. You know, hypothetically, Jackson holiday feels like he would be that guy, but you bring up a great point, because Matt Holliday has made a bunch of money, and Jackson holiday has not wanted for anything growing up. And his dadโs probably saying, you know, you donโt really need to do that. Or maybe the Oreos havenโt even approached him about that. I mean, again, we donโt really know, but it is frustrating because you see, even teams that arenโt big market teams are able to do these deals from time to time, and youโd feel a lot better about just the the big picture for the Orioles if they could get one of those done, you know, even if it was just buying out a couple years of free agency for one of their young players. But it hasnโt happened to this point. You know, itโs not something worth ruining your enjoyment of the 2025 season, but it does make you wonder, in a big picture, you know, if not now, when, as it pertains to these guys or, and I donโt say this to be too much of a Debbie Downer, but itโs going to come across that way, or you are going to be a lot like the Tampa Bay Rays, and youโre going to have a churn and look, Tampa Bayโs still made a lot of playoff runs, and theyโve been to a couple World Series over the last 15 years.
Nestor Aparicio 28:23
However, more owners do thatโs not what 74 year old guy understood.
Luke Jones 28:28
Iโm just, Iโm laying out the scenarios, though, as far as what the range of outcomes is, and you know, you have, you have a baseball ops department that look they they think highly of what they do, and they have rebuilt this thing, and they have taken this organization a very long way as it pertains to player development, international market presence, all those different things. But they also may be viewing it through the lens of weโll continue to show how smart we are, and we can do this, and we and we can continue to sustain something without spending 200 plus million dollars a year. There could be some of that going on. You know, people have speculated that I donโt know that, but you know, until we see, you know, unless we have a crystal ball, all we can do is kind of map out, you know, these different scenarios, and kind of imagine how itโs going to work. But you know, until they have anyone sign long term until they sign any long term deals beyond a three year 49.5 for Tyler OโNeill that has a year one opt out. You know, this is kind of all we have to go off of these short term commitments and just relying on guys with club control, which, letโs face it, has taken them quite far when it comes to the regular season. But yeah, people are wondering, okay, whatโs the next step in terms of getting to the next level in October, but also sustaining this thing? Understanding you hope youโre not going to be picking in the top five anytime soon again. So yeah, it is more challenging to replenish that, that talent pipeline. Luke
Nestor Aparicio 29:55
Jones is here. He Baltimore, Luke, He will be covering the Orioles today, tomorrow, every day into. The future. I My name is Nestor. I will be locked out today, tomorrow and into the future. So enjoy those hot dogs and popcorn at the ballpark. Iโll be writing a letter to Katie Griggs, dear. Katie Griggs is coming your way out of Baltimore. Positive. Weโre gonna have something to say about the chirps and Buzz Williams and just the whole mess. At some point weโre also talking football. Luke and I did a long, long piece on the NFL owners meetings and the Ravens intentions and their draft days coming up. Have they announced the liarโs launching yet? We got one yet. There no
Luke Jones 30:30
announcement Iโve heard. Itโs more towards the middle of the month, though, that was the last I heard. So weโre still at least a week and a half out on that, from what Iโve heard. But nothing official. You know, they they havenโt sent anything out yet. All
Nestor Aparicio 30:41
right, you are listening to the original April Fool. Thatโs me. Heโs Luke Jones. You can find us both out on the interwebs, and of course, at Baltimore positive, Iโm Nestor. Heโs Luke. We are wnst am 1570 Towson, Baltimore. We never stop talking Baltimore positive, even when the Orioles are out in Kansas City and Arizona. You.