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Adding Bassitt for real money and losing Holliday for real time

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It’s already been a short week of additions and subtractions as the Baltimore Orioles sign veteran starting pitcher Chris Bassitt on a $18.5 million one-year deal and lost Jackson Holliday to a broken hamate bone, which changes the Opening Day lineup. Luke Jones and Nestor reset the Birdland expectations as Mike Elias still has some work to do on the bullpen and there’s action gearing up in Sarasota as spring training baseball begins next week in Florida.

Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discussed the Orioles’ recent acquisition of Chris Bassitt, a 36-year-old pitcher on a $18.5 million one-year deal. Bassitt has a sub-4 ERA over the past four years and throws eight pitches. Jones highlighted his durability and consistent performance. The conversation also touched on the Orioles’ payroll, which is now over $50 million, and the importance of depth in the starting rotation. They noted the potential for a six-man rotation to manage workloads. The discussion also covered the impact of injuries, particularly to Jackson Holliday, and the need for the team to start the season strong to maintain fan interest.

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Orioles Offseason Moves and Expectations

  • Nestor Aparicio discusses the Orioles’ recent moves, including the signing of Chris Bassitt and the implications for the team’s starting rotation.
  • Luke Jones highlights Bassitt’s durability and consistent performance, noting his sub-4 ERA and ability to throw eight different pitches.
  • Nestor Aparicio compares Bassitt’s contract to other recent signings, emphasizing the importance of spending money to improve the team.
  • The conversation touches on the historical context of the Orioles’ payroll and the need for the team to be competitive and interesting this summer.

Historical Context and Team Improvement

  • Nestor Aparicio reflects on the past, mentioning previous low-budget signings and the lack of high-profile pitchers in the Orioles’ history.
  • The discussion includes the impact of Peter Angelos’ ownership and the changes under Mike Elias and the current management team.
  • Nestor Aparicio emphasizes the need for the Orioles to be their own entity, separate from the Nationals, and to attract a diverse fan base.
  • The conversation covers the importance of having a plan to win and the need for the team to be competitive and interesting this summer.

Payroll and Business Strategy

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the financial aspects of the Orioles’ payroll, including the need to justify spending to internal stakeholders.
  • The conversation includes the importance of selling tickets and merchandise to support the team’s business model.
  • Nestor Aparicio highlights the need for the Orioles to operate like a respectable, responsible organization with integrity.
  • The discussion touches on the challenges of balancing payroll and team performance, with a focus on the long-term goals of the organization.

Starting Rotation and Depth

  • Luke Jones explains the significance of adding Chris Bassitt to the starting rotation, emphasizing his durability and consistent performance.
  • The conversation includes the potential impact of Bassitt’s signing on the team’s depth and the ability to manage injuries.
  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the importance of having a strong bullpen and the potential for a six-man rotation to manage workloads.
  • The discussion covers the potential roles of other pitchers, including Kyle Bradish, Trevor Rogers, and Dean Kramer, in the starting rotation.

Defensive Capabilities and Lineup Flexibility

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the defensive capabilities of the Orioles’ infielders, including the impact of injuries on the lineup.
  • The conversation includes the potential roles of Blaze Alexander, Jeremiah Jackson, and other utility infielders.
  • Nestor Aparicio emphasizes the importance of having a flexible lineup to accommodate injuries and changes in performance.
  • The discussion touches on the need for the team to prioritize defense and the potential impact of new coaching staff on player development.

Offensive Performance and Leadership

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the offensive performance of key players, including Adley Rutschman, Gunnar Henderson, and Jackson Holliday.
  • The conversation includes the importance of having a strong offensive core to support the pitching staff.
  • Nestor Aparicio highlights the potential leadership roles of Pete Alonso and other veterans in the lineup.
  • The discussion covers the need for the team to perform well in the first 90 games of the season to build momentum and attract fans.

Health and Injury Management

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the impact of injuries on the team’s performance, including the recent injury to Jackson Holliday.
  • The conversation includes the importance of managing injuries and ensuring players are healthy for key games and playoff runs.
  • Nestor Aparicio emphasizes the need for the team to have a plan to address injuries and ensure continuity in the lineup.
  • The discussion touches on the potential for new coaching strategies to improve player health and performance.

Team Culture and Player Development

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the importance of team culture and player development in the Orioles’ success.
  • The conversation includes the role of new coaching staff in improving player performance and team dynamics.
  • Nestor Aparicio emphasizes the need for players to take responsibility for their development and performance.
  • The discussion covers the potential impact of new coaching strategies on player development and team culture.

Future Outlook and Fan Engagement

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the future outlook for the Orioles, including the potential for a competitive season and fan engagement.
  • The conversation includes the importance of fan engagement and the need for the team to be competitive to attract fans.
  • Nestor Aparicio emphasizes the need for the team to perform well in the first 90 games of the season to build momentum and attract fans.
  • The discussion touches on the potential for new coaching strategies to improve player performance and team dynamics.

Final Thoughts and Wrap-Up

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones wrap up the conversation, summarizing the key points discussed and the overall outlook for the Orioles.
  • The conversation includes the importance of having a strong starting rotation and bullpen to support the team’s success.
  • Nestor Aparicio emphasizes the need for the team to perform well in the first 90 games of the season to build momentum and attract fans.
  • The discussion touches on the potential for new coaching strategies to improve player performance and team dynamics.

SUMMARY KEYWORDS

Orioles, Chris Bassitt, pitching improvement, Mike Elias, payroll, starting rotation, bullpen, Jackson Holliday, Adley Rutschman, Pete Alonso, Taylor Ward, Tyler O’Neill, defensive capabilities, offseason moves, competitive summer.

SPEAKERS

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Nestor Aparicio, Luke Jones

Nestor Aparicio  00:01

Welcome home. We are W, N, S, T, am 1570 Towson, Baltimore. We are Baltimore, positive, positively. Getting you through the Valentine holiday. I’m wearing my Costas gear here. Go out support our sponsor someplace like Koco’s. Better get there early or take it home. They have a love care package. I think pizza John’s has the heart shaped pizzas this week. So make sure you’re checking all that out. Crabs are really heart shaped. But you know you Yeah, maybe a little bit. I mean, always comes with love. I’ll just go get the crab Imperial up at Costas in Timonium. I’m wearing my gear. We have new sponsors around here. I’m allowed to miss mispronounced farm, the comfort guys, I’m going to have more fun with this than I’m going to have with any other new sponsor around here. If you have H back issues, they can help you with plumbing. AC. Nobody needs their AC just yet, although I do see the melt is on. Luke Jones is here. The Orioles are spending money the Orioles are DL ing, or we don’t call it to DL anymore. Il, sorry, I’m so old. I’m not allowed. What else am I not allowed to do? Not only talk about wins, I’m not allowed. What? What are the rules here? What are old man rules that mark me as an old man? Luke Jones, to think that paying $18.5 million to a 36 year old pitcher is somehow, what a great idea. This is awesome. Mike Elias, you’ve saved the year. Maybe I’m waiting for you to tell me because you were the negative ninny with the Orioles, yeah.

Luke Jones  01:33

I mean I as I wrote at Baltimore positive.com as I’ve talked to you in recent weeks, I think for anyone waiting for an exclamation point to be put on the off season, and more specifically, the starting rotation, Chris Bassett isn’t that however, he’s still a rock solid pitcher, even as he’s going into his age 37 season, and he’s someone who’s been durable, and he’s someone who’s had a sub four era Three of the last four years, and has been pretty darn consistent. He throws eight different pitches. He still averages close to a strikeout per inning, as you know, and certainly I’m not talking about him in terms of being your ace or your number two, or maybe he’s ends up being their number three. But if we’re going to say back half of the rotation, you can do a lot worse than Chris Bassett. So I’m not going to sit here and say that I’m doing cartwheels over it, but it gets my stamp of approval. And you have to keep in mind, I mean, 18 and a half million dollars for I mean, look, look what Charlie Morton got last year. Look what Sagano sign.

Nestor Aparicio  02:37

Who you sign, you can only sign. I mean, you know, I mean Clemens and his prime is unavailable, right? Exactly, but Verlander was available and didn’t I mean age 43 though, you know, and also was more inclined to be there in the way that Eddie Murray was more inclined to be here at the end, right? So I, I’m very good with it. I think it’s, you know, we talk so much as they’re trying to sell $38,000 seats in the seats that you’ve sat in. By the way, your seat was worth $38,000 a year. I learned that. So maybe we’re even on all the money. Angelo screwed me on a 2006 because you got your money’s worth out there, because we should all be paying for play with media. But I digress, the money part of this, and the payroll part of this, and the part where they need to win this summer, and they need to be interesting this summer, and they need to be competitive this summer, I still can go way back to Oh, 23 months ago, when Peter Angelos was still alive and his kid was still kind of running the team, that we didn’t think like this, like you know, as Oriole people, there were never $19 million pitchers that were Coming on Valentine’s Day, or after pitchers and catchers reported, there was no threat of that. There was a threat of Ubaldo Jimenez coming for 4.5 million at the end, and some washed up Johan Santana when he’s 42 and blew his arm out twice and used to be in the Hall of decent, or Fernando Valenzuela at the end, or what, whatever. Dude, I can go back to Doug Drabek, Katie Griggs, if you’re listening, Mark, fine, because I know you’re listening. Pal, LinkedIn, pal, I go back to all of them, all of the dead ends, literally, we can go through. We can have fun with this dude about how many, Chris Benson’s how many, whatever’s there are, they’ve never been in position to spend $150 million on a slugger to have. And we’ll get the holiday in a minute, I mean, and that’s clearly an issue, right? And health and Westberg and ruts. Whatever he’s going to be. Those are all real problems. But arrogance, Rubenstein, Money Bags, Elias, his ability to navigate the marketplace, and as you always say, you want them to operate like the Cardinals or like a respectable responsible, respected, give me my media credential. Back you thugs. Organization with integrity. That is a community that is a community leader that figures out the mass and thing that makes this something where there really are 28 or 30,000 people in the ballpark a lot of the nights when they don’t have to get bobble heads away to do it, when the community wants to come back and buy these seats they threw you out of in the Jim enum and press box. Like when it gets good again, and when it gets vibrant again, and when it separates itself from the Nationals. And I mean, it’s going to have to do all of that to survive. It’s going to have to be its own 2.3 million people a year, a lot of subscribers, a lot of hats, more people of color, younger people. It’s going to need to be all businesses. It’s going to be all that they’ve gotten out on the wrong foot in a lot of ways, and they’re not selling much, from what I understand, but putting a baseball team together this year, right here, right now, if I helicoptered in and I’ve been somewhere else and came back and said, What are they going to be on the field this year? Are they really trying to win? Do they have a plan to win? Are they willing to spend the money to win? Do they have the right people in place baseball? Are they modern, you know, they, I check boxes on all of that to say they’re doing their best to be what you want them to be, which is a chance to win every year from now, moving forward without going too far in, without being stupid like the Mets, or doing dumb stuff to give Juan Soto too much money, or maybe giving Henderson or rushman or whoever, holiday any of these guys the money before they’re ready to have they get, besides, got more money than any of them. So I don’t I can’t complain about it, because I’ve been on the radio 35 years now. Angelos owned the team for 30 of them, give or take, I have not sat here on Valentine’s day other than 96 to, oh, one, back when they’re really fat and had a chance to think they might sign Jimmy key, they might get a number two or three starter at market rate be attractive enough to attract that kind of pitcher and be willing to pay them. That’s really it, to me, that ideology for the ideology of it, they bought a number three starter at market rate. They’ll probably get what they pay for. I think you’ll start 28 games and pitch to a three seven, right? Like that 165 innings. And what is that? What we want for 20 million? I mean, that’s

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Luke Jones  08:18

what you’re hoping for. I mean, the reality is, Nestor, I mean, $18.5 million isn’t that much for a starting pitcher in this day and age. I mean, you said the Orioles haven’t done a whole lot of this. I’ll go back to 2018 they signed, and I had to look this up. But if you recall, it was much later in spring training, and this was obviously the year where things completely crashed and burned. It was the end of the show Walter Duquette era, but they signed Alex Cobb to a four year $57 million contract. I mean, that was 14 plus million a year eight years later, considering inflation, all those different things that are inevitable in life, let alone talking about Major League Baseball salaries. So it’s not unheard of in that way, but you know, it’s a one year deal. I mean, it’s 18 point 5 million for a one year deal. It’s someone who, in recent years, I’m going to use it more in terms, it’s

Nestor Aparicio  09:07

12% of the payroll, right? I mean 50 last week. I mean it’s just, it’s a lot of money. It is and they’re not making sales. They’re not making they can’t justify it internally. Katie can’t justify that spreadsheet wise, and neither can Elias, because I do think when you you have to go say, Mother, may I unless they said your payroll is 175 your payrolls 180 call us, because these are not small decisions. They sound that way in the AGA type. But Don rovac, I know you’re listening, and Katie and Mark, I know you’re listening. Tell our audience when you come on my show, which you’ll never do, how many deals you have to sell to get 18 and a half million dollars into the till? How many club seats you have to sell? How many humans you have to find, how many hot dogs you’d have to sell, whatever the number. Be that they’re trying to make a business and make it work here, and that was always sort of a weird, I’m not sure the Angelos has ever understood business other than, you know, screw them, send the bill. You know. I don’t think they really had professional bean counters the way Katie Griggs is going to school for this and I it’s an investment, and I see it from a fan’s perspective, as they feel more serious. To me that’s all that they’re not playing with $42 million payroll anymore, like they’ve gotten in in their row in the boat. And I can go on the radio fairly even as a non credentialed person, and say, Okay, I mean, you pitched 48 hours ago. They didn’t have enough pitching, and they went out and they added a lot of money and a big payroll piece to something you’ve already given a stamp of approval. They’re a better baseball team every fifth day than they were last night, and they haven’t done a lot of that. Alex Cobb didn’t do that, right? I and I don’t think you and I went go back to what we said about it that day, because we have it on tape. I don’t think we looked at it as a sincere move, and it was a lot of money. But I don’t think we love the move, and I don’t think they’ve done anything dumb this off season either, right? Like, so we’re judging all that they’ve done to be the Cardinals. In totality, they’ve been very fruiting with the money to give themselves more flexibility. They still have mayo. They haven’t even dealt off pieces. We thought that might be July pieces, if they’re 10 games over 500 which we want them to be, and they’re planning to be right. So I, I don’t know. I just, I think they’re trending in the right direction, doing these things instead of splashing the wrong things. Alex Cobb being an example of that. That’s all.

Luke Jones  11:55

That’s fine, yeah. And I mean, one thing I do want to point out here, I mean, let’s also not act like the Orioles had the payroll, the pirates and the A’s for the the entirety of the Angelos era. I mean, it was really only until they really got to the point where they were doing, they brought in Elias. They were doing the tank rebuild multi year. What? However, you want to also

Nestor Aparicio  12:15

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had a lot of money. I want to crying for them. The massive thing was throwing money off. They were cheating the fans. They were cheating the Nationals. They really were, I mean, they were tourniquetting the revenue. I mean,

Luke Jones  12:29

but, but my point, but my point is they were even in years where they were not making good decisions. You kind of look at it historically that, I mean, the payroll until the the Elias era. I don’t think the payroll ever dipped below, like 23rd in baseball, right? Generally, it was somewhere in the neighborhood of, like the 21st 20th, all the way up to in 2016 they had the ninth highest payroll in baseball, right? I mean, so, you know, Peter

Nestor Aparicio  12:58

got back involved and wanted to win, right? Like sure and Peter gave all that money to Chris Davis and didn’t give it to Nelson Cruz, and here we are, right?

Luke Jones  13:06

My point, My point isn’t to pat them on the back for that. It’s more so to to not make too much of this in the sense that they’re spending money with the basset deal. Now, I think that puts them just over what they what, what they were their payroll was last year. Um, so great, right? I mean, it doesn’t mean they have a top five payroll. I don’t think you need to have a top five payroll necessarily to win in Major League Baseball. It certainly helps over the long haul to have more payroll flexibility, more so to keep your own guys than anything, as we’ve seen with the Ravens for years and years where they spend to the cap. But it doesn’t mean that they go out there and they’re buying six or seven higher profile free agents every off season, so it’s great to see. You know, do I think Chris Bassett is going to be someone that moves the needle dramatically?

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Nestor Aparicio  13:57

No, I like this better than Craig Kimbrel two years ago as an example, right?

Luke Jones  14:02

I like it better than Charlie Morton and Sagano last year, right? So he’s going to be 37 later this month.

Nestor Aparicio  14:08

Yeah, I’m not going to compare him to Charlie Morton. That’s not fair to him. This guy’s been durable. Is the word. First thing you said durable.

Luke Jones  14:15

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Hey, at the same time, let’s not completely defecate on Charlie. Charlie Charlie Morton had a heck of a career. It’s just they had him at age 41 right? Even Charlie Morton, a couple years prior to that, was still an above average pitcher. I can

Nestor Aparicio  14:30

write a poem, you know, with how many old pitchers they brought in who didn’t get it done, because we’ve been waiting 43 years. So they had a picture that’s

Luke Jones  14:40

gotten volatile. A year ago, at this time, everyone was crying that they didn’t resign Corbin burns. And look what’s happened with Corbin burns, where the Diamondbacks are hoping to get them back later this summer, right? I mean, you just Chris

Nestor Aparicio  14:51

Bassett has to start game seven to get you to the World Series or win the World Series. I’ll live with that, you know? I’ll live with that if they get to that point, if he’s. Part of that, you know, like, Okay, I’ll live with it. I mean, and I don’t think 36 or 37 is 41 or 43 in the case of Verlander, you know Joe Flacco, and

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Luke Jones  15:10

go look at his splits. Last year, he had a better era in the second half of the season than the first. His September was excellent. And I’ll point this out, because, no, I don’t think he’s someone, if you’re looking at this thing on paper right now, no, he’s not someone I would pencil in to be starting in the playoffs. But I’ll point out, go look at his numbers pitching out of the pen for the Blue Jays last postseason. It’s really well, so old series, right? I mean, you know, right? I mean he would, he they shortened them up. I mean, he had made seven appearances. I think it was around nine innings, eight and a third, something like that. Eight in the third, something like that. The Ra, yeah. I mean, yeah. So, so there you go. There’s a situation, and I we talked about this a few days, literally, a few days ago, with Dean Kramer, right? I view Bassett through the lens at this point in his career, he’s kind of a better version of what Dean what you look at Dean Kramer is being he’s been slightly above average, unlike Kramer, who’s been much more of a league average to at times just a hair below league average starter, but he’s going to give you innings. He’s going to give you a chance every five days. I think now, when you look at their depth and here’s the trickle down effect for this on paper, they now have the starting rotation depth to put themselves in a position where you should be barring multiple injuries, which, Look, everyone wants depth at the same time, there are only so many veteran starters that you can stash on a roster. I mean, that’s just the reality. That’s why it’s nice having guys with options that you can send down the way it’s looking, I’m guessing now borrowing multiple injuries. Kate Povich is going to be a triple A. That’s a good thing for the Orioles. And I don’t mean that to be disparaging to Kade Povich as much as there’s someone that if you have two or three injuries at some point during the season, and Kade Povich can has to come up. He’s made some starts, and he might be better than he’s had been the last couple years. Point is you can’t just stock up on seven or eight veteran starters who don’t have options, because where are you putting them? Right? I mean, yeah, you can talk about a six band rotation, and I’ll get to that in a moment. But I think the biggest thing that jumps out for me with this move beyond the fact that Bassett has generally been kind of a two, two win pitcher, and what I mean by that is wins above replacement, right? Two wins above replacement, he’s been a guy that, you know, I think what, he won 11 games last year. He’s been a guy that, like I said, has generally been a sub four era kind of guy. He’s been a guy that, if he’s your number four starter, you feel, you feel pretty good about that. I mean, you do, because he takes the ball, he’s, he’s a guy that pretty consistently you can count on to make 30 starts. You know, he’s been 170 inning kind of guy. You’ll take that and and by the way, that’s worth 18 point 5 million in today’s game, because you kind of look at it from an analytics standpoint, and I’ll get nerdy here for you just a moment. I mentioned wins above replacement. It was, and this is even kind of dated, but for the longest time, it was kind of viewed that on the open market, every win above replacement for a player was generally worth about $8 million that’s changed. That’s gone up a little bit. So if you look at it through the lens of what he was last year, which was 11 and nine, 3.96 his wins above replacement was 2.1 what that means is he’s worth 2.1 wins more than a replacement level starting pitcher. So that that generally says, especially at this point in time where you want to get them in the camp, you didn’t want to do this three weeks from now. That’s the last thing you want, if you want to talk about historically, looking at pitchers who’ve signed deep in the spring training for the Orioles and elsewhere, it generally does not go well. I mean, Kyle Gibson was an extreme example last year. It’s a precise art it. I mean, it’s such a it’s such a routine thing. I mean, it’s so critical. So to get him into camp at the beginning, he’s gonna be a couple days late. That’s no big deal, assuming he’s in shape and all that. And now you’re going to get him in a place where he should be good to go by opening day, whether he’s going to be the number three, the number four, number five, whatever. So but ramifications for that. You’ve heard me talk about this recently. What have I had more concerns about than the starting rotation, the bullpen? Now you should have depth, the kind of depth on paper, because Zach Eflin, according to Elias, is good to go. He’s he’s full go, full strength. I still think it’s quite possible they slow play him, but it sounds like he’s doing well, because when he by March 10, no question, no question, but, but, but, when he underwent that back surgery back in August, at the time, there was a lot of question whether. Regardless of who he was going to be pitching for in 2026 whether he was going to be ready for opening day, it sounds like he at least has a chance there. So Tyler wells, prior to signing Bassett, I know Elias had mentioned they’re still going to stretch him out, work him out as a starter in the spring, which makes sense. If you have a couple arm injuries, then you’ve got to revisit this, or someone tweaks their hamstring, doing PFPs, whatever you’ve got to adjust. But I think this now puts Tyler wells on a very clear path to being in the bullpen, which helps. You know, I’m not ready to sign off on him being the automatic eighth inning guy, but I think he’s someone who has the profile with this stuff, that he could be a guy that factors into that higher leverage equation, and it makes your bullpen better. I still would love to see them at another bullpen arm. I’m not holding my breath that that’s necessarily going to happen right now, but I think that’s something they need. But at the very least, you’ve done this. It now puts Tyler wells in a in a position where it looks like he’s going to be in the bullpen, barring multiple injuries, which, again, not to say it can’t happen. The plan anyway, right? There’s right, that that’s kind of what you wanted to do. The other factor, and I’ve alluded to this, and while I’m certainly not of the mindset that you arbitrarily need to limit Kyle bradish’s innings to an extreme degree at the same time. We have to be realistic about Kyle Bradish in the sense that he threw 32 innings of major league ball last year. Now, he had a long build up in the minor leagues as well, so he threw innings down at triple A with his rehab assignment, and he only threw 39 in the third innings the year before, can you count on Kyle braddus throw to throw 185 innings for you this year? That’s really ambitious. That said. That’s not me saying you need to restrict him arbitrarily, and he only throws 100 but I think now on paper, and obviously, you’re keeping your fingers crossed, you’re crossing your fingers, you’re crossing your toes, you’re saying prayers, whatever you want to do. But on paper, when you add Bassett to this mix now, so you look at their top six as as as it stands in mid February, which isn’t worth a whole lot, but it’s all we have to go off of right now. But you have Kyle Bradish, you have Trevor Rogers, you have Chris Bassett, you have Shane Boz who, I still think his upside is going to be so critical to just how good this rotation is going to be. And then you have the rotation closed out with Dean Kramer and Zac Eflin. And I just, you know, that’s not the exact order it needs to be, but those six, it does make me wonder if Mike Elias and Craig Albernaz Look at this thing, and as much as I’m not a big fan of a six man rotation indefinitely, because the reality is, starters don’t go deep, and I don’t think that changes, because you do a six man rotation rather than a five man it puts more strain on your bullpen, because you can’t, you know, if you have a six man rotation, you can only have seven guys in the bullpen. You can only Rob bullpen. You can only roster 13 pitchers at a time. It does put strain on the bullpen if you try to do a six man rotation in the long term, unless you have a couple starters who are comfortable enough to give you a stint out of the bullpen if needed between starts. But inevitably, and we all know, because we’ve we talked about this at some point in time every year, because you have a couple rain outs or a couple make updates, or the schedule just falls a certain way, when you have that inevitable stretch in June or July or August where you play 18 games in 19 days, I do wonder if this puts the puts a six man rotation in play for two or three weeks at a time, at a couple different points during the season, because then that allows you to manage Kyle Bradish a little bit more not push him quite as hard. Trevor Rogers only threw 141 innings between the majors and the miners last year. Keep in mind, he had a knee injury early in spring last year, actually, before spring training, that delayed his start. So let’s face it, in an ideal world, they’re looking for Bradish and Rogers to be one too, right? And maybe Boz says something about that, maybe Bassett says something about that. I don’t want to eliminate. But on paper, Trevor Rogers was phenomenal last year. And Kyle Bradish is easily the most talented of their starting pitchers, and the most you know, go back to what he did in 2023 he was fourth. And Cy Young voting. I mean, by the

Nestor Aparicio  24:30

way, you haven’t thrown efflin in there yet. And Kramer, that makes six, right? Yeah, I mentioned that. I mentioned but, I mean, yeah, efflin is also one of those guys that they started, right? Let me Yeah, you know, so I don’t know. Is he a three? Is he a five? Is he injured? Is he well, today is the first day we’ve talked about him as an is and not what Bradish was last year, which is a might be, right? And as well, yeah,

Luke Jones  24:58

I mean Bradish last year we were talking. Him in a perfect scenario, he was going to be back after the all star break. He ended up being back, ultimately, in late August, when he pitched in the majors, but in effluents case, look, let’s be clear, back surgery is tricky, so I don’t think you want to put any unrealistic expectations on him. If he’s ready for opening day, great if they decide they need to slow play him a little more, and he’s more of a guy that is mid April, late April, early May. I don’t think that’s the end of the world. It’s a $10 million contract you got him on. That’s not, you know, that doesn’t mean he has to throw 200 innings to justify that contract. So that adding Bassett just gives them more depth. I think it does give them the potential to fool around a little bit with the six man rotation. Like I said, I don’t love the idea of a six man all year long. It’s tough on the bullpen. I do think times where you have a few more off days built in, I think you do run the risk of guys if they’re only working every seven or eight days, you know, and some of

Nestor Aparicio  25:59

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those early part of the season usually need four, not five, yeah, six, yeah.

Luke Jones  26:05

I don’t think you’re gonna do six. That’s right. I don’t think you’re gonna do six out of the

Nestor Aparicio  26:09

gate, right? The other thing is, nobody’s going six innings, right at all, especially live innings opening day out of Trevor Rogers, you feel good about it? Yeah.

Luke Jones  26:17

I mean, in this day and age, Nestor, I mean, think about it. I mean, I don’t have it in front of me right now, but the Orioles starting rotation, forget about the Orioles, because this Oriole starting rotation was bad for most of last year. But your typical starting rotation, I mean, think about it, those five slots or, you know, if you happen to go six slots, I mean, 162 games. You know, if your rotations averaging five innings per start, which probably is not far off, when you consider how many guys one don’t go that deep, how many teams generally don’t want most of their starters to go much deeper than that, because you get into third time through the order and bullpen and all that, and then this the starts where guys get knocked around and they get knocked out early. So just if we’re talking in terms of five innings per start times 162 that’s 810 innings right there. So you look at it, just start doing the math. You know what’s Kyle Bradish realistically going to give you, if he can give you 150 560 innings, and he’s still fresh and pitching his best in August and September. I’ll take that. I mean, the Dodgers have kind of changed. And look, I know this is a bad example, because the Dodgers have a payroll. You know that they they and the Mets have payrolls higher than everybody. But think about how the Dodgers kind of massage their rotation last year. I mean, some of the guys that pitched huge innings for them in August, September and October. I mean, they weren’t even healthy, right? I mean, so it’s really, you do have to look at a fleet. I mean, they did, but Right? But even some of those guys weren’t necessarily high, high price guys.

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Nestor Aparicio  27:55

I mean, Orioles had a fleet at the end, when Rogers and Bradish came back, that they had guys coming something interesting, yeah, yeah. I mean, and I think there’s a part for all the things we talk about, which would say they put themselves in a position, and I just looked at the April calendar. Mean they’re not going to play in warm weather till May. You know, like they they’re playing in Pittsburgh, Cleveland, right? They’re going to be in cold places and some days off, but not as many as maybe thinking of the season, because they got to get the Games in. I like, if efflin is not cool, if bradish’s arm falls off again, if what will deal mayo, we’ll go get another pitcher. If we’re three games over 500 and not 19 and 41 you know what I mean like, and I don’t, and we’ll get the holiday in a minute, because we’ve been at this with the pitching, and we’ll be at it for by the way, Luke Jones is here. I would say the holiday thing was the down and the up, and why are they making a deal last week for infielders? And there’s question marks and all of that. I would also give Elias the tip of the cap. Say they sort of know what they’re doing, in regard to their depth, in regard to what they feel like they need to do, and they still are still in a position of strength, because they’ve spent a lot of money, you know, to my way of thinking, they’ve spent a lot of money to get better. I wouldn’t they’re going to spend some more on relief pitching, but I do think they put themselves in a position to let this marinate a little bit, that they have more strength than they had the last two or three times. We’ve talked baseball here the last five or six weeks. When you’re like, they don’t have enough pitching, they don’t have it, they’ll, they’ll get more bullpen help, I guess, in the next 10 days, right? Because they know they need more help, right?

Luke Jones  29:43

Yeah. I mean, I don’t know if it’s going to come in the next look. I would like it to. But you’ve heard me complain probably about the bullpen more than anything, over the last three I mean, really, it’s wild. I was actually looking at this and you think back to like, 2022 when they first started turning the corner. And they were good the second half of 2022 their bullpen was top 10 that year in baseball, in the in the majors. They were ninth in era, 10th in bullpen. War 2023 their fifth right. They had Batista, all star closer. They had Yang your canoe, all star reliever, who came out of nowhere. We all know how great you win a lot of games just having that right, however you kind of look at it, and this is simplistic, but it’s not. Their bullpen has been a problem from the moment Felix Batista walked off the mound with the elbow injury two and a half years ago. I mean, it’s just the truth. I mean, 2024 I mean, that was Kimbrel year. There they were 23rd in the majors in bullpen era. Last year, they were 25th what’s interesting, and this is where I will stick up for them a little bit, just from a philosophical standpoint. They obviously did their sell off last July. They traded Baker, they traded Dominguez, they traded Gregory Soto. They traded they traded Kittredge right,

Nestor Aparicio  30:55

traded all the guys that they bought.

Luke Jones  30:57

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They did, however, I’ll point out that before the trade deadline last year, they were still 25th in bullpen era. And after the trade deadline, last year, they were 22nd they were marginally better. Point is, you can throw a bunch of money at a bullpen and it not necessarily help you. Craig Kimbrel was a great example of that. Gregory Soto was a great example of that. Dominguez was fine. Kittridge in the World Series, though, right? I mean, but the point is, do you really trust Sir Anthony Dominguez in the way that you know you you trust I don’t want to say Mariano Rivera, because that’s never

Nestor Aparicio  31:28

going to get a picture coming out of the bullpen with a better name. I’ll tell you that right now, unless they get themselves a king or a prince. Sir Anthony is pretty damn good.

Luke Jones  31:36

I have no problem with Sir Anthony Dominguez. Point is, they had a higher price bullpen last year, and it still wasn’t really performing at all that high of a level. So you look at 2026 now they traded Cade Stroud, I will point out Blaze Alexander. They made that deal the day before holiday broke his ham eight bone. So now I think the reality was, and we’ve talked about the roster makeup, the roster makeup is clunky when you look at the bench. I mean, right now. So what’s going to happen with Mount castle and mayo? I I can guarantee you, both those guys aren’t going to be on the major league roster. Now, if they decide to keep mount Castle, may or may be in triple A to start the year, or maybe they decide the DFA mountcastle, or maybe they trade one of those guys right and

Nestor Aparicio  32:24

mayo hits 410 in spring training. Maybe they may do something

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Luke Jones  32:27

with maybe, maybe so. But you kind of look at it through the lens of where they were before the blaze Alexander acquisition, who was their utility infielder going to be Jeremiah Jackson. Go, look at last year. They played him in right field, much more so than any of the infield spots. And it’s not as though there weren’t opportunities. Westburg was hurt right so, so I think they looked at Alexander and they said, this gives us basically a replacement for what Ramona RIAs and Jorge Mateo had been in recent years. He can play second and third at, I would say, an above average level. You know, defensively, he can play short. He’s played a little bit in the outfield. He’s a guy that now I’m assuming. I’m not saying he’s going to play every single day, but with Jackson holiday starting the year on the i l, he’s going to play.

Nestor Aparicio  33:15

And what is the lineup now? What? What, what’s opening day look like without holiday? I mean,

Luke Jones  33:22

I mean the order itself, I don’t know, because not the order. But who’s on the field? Well, I mean to me, that’s pretty clear cut and dried, from the standpoint of, you know, obviously Adley rutsman Behind the Plate, Gunner, Henderson at short westburg at third, unless they now consider putting Westberg at second at times with holiday out, that would open up Kobe Mayo at third if you want to do that, I don’t love Kobe Mayo at third base, defensively whatsoever. Who do you love defensively on the whole roster? Really? You know, that’s a fair point, because I, I haven’t necessarily talked about this a whole lot recently, but it’s clearly not something they prioritize a whole lot.

Nestor Aparicio  34:05

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I hear Earl Weaver right now, and his voice saying, it’ll cost you a lot of games, Luke, you know, good like, literally, well.

Luke Jones  34:12

And I’ll also say this, I mean, it all depends what you prioritize. I mean, one of the big things about Billy Bean and Moneyball and the A’s back in the early 2000s he flat out, said he didn’t care about defense. I mean, they put Scott hattieberg, who was a catcher with a bad elbow, they just said, Oh, you’re going to play first base, because we love your own base percentage. The ball doesn’t get hit there that much. You know whether that was right or wrong, and certainly that cost them at times. And it’s different

Nestor Aparicio  34:35

than putting a bad corner in, and you can pick

Luke Jones  34:36

out so, so. But you know, since you asked me specifically about the defense. I mean, I’ll give you obviously now with holiday that that changes things a little bit. But let’s just say they stick with Westberg at third Blaze. Alexander plays second primarily. And you know, they can do some different things there, depending on that night starting pitch or whatever, but let’s say they do that. For me, it’s. Most Pivotal guy on this roster defensively. It’s gonna be Colton kauser. I mean, he’s right now penciled in to be the regular center fielder. I mean, they they have laodi Tavares, who they signed to a $2 million deal. He’s out of options. He’s very good defensively, but can’t really hit. So he’s more of a much more of a backup center fielder. So it’s going to come down to kauser. I mean, and for me, yes, we’ve talked a lot about his strikeout rate and his walk rate falling off last year, kauser was hurt most of the year. I mean, apparently he played with some fractured ribs even. I mean, last year was just a lost year for him. So I’m willing to not sign off on that. He’s just going to become a superstar. Let’s be clear about that. But I’m also going to recognize he was second in Rookie of the Year Two years ago. You know, he did something right? He’s talented. There’s no question about that. I think he can play center field at a solid level. The question is, can he hold up there on an everyday basis and stay healthy and be good enough there.

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Nestor Aparicio  36:03

He’s not questioning for all these guys are all blue chip guys, but Senator holiday is going to miss it bad. Westburrs had problems. Rushman has played through problems, specifically, whatever the issue. So all of these blue chip guys sure I can make a case in February that this is the year they’re going to figure it out, like, literally, I’m but I’m willing to go along with that, because Mike Elias is going along with that, and it’s his job, not mine, well.

Luke Jones  36:29

And if it doesn’t work out, then you start to wonder if you’re gonna have to make a change there. But, you know, they’re certainly not there yet, but in counselors case, it is a premier position, right? So if he can handle that and be solid there, he’s not going to win a Gold Glove, but can he be solid there? That makes me feel better about the corners, because you have Taylor Ward’s going to be in left and right field is going to be Dylan beavers or Tyler O’Neill. I think we’re going to see a lot of Dylan beavers. I think they’re going to try to maximize Tyler O’Neill’s ability to hit left handed pitching you’re going to see Tyler O’Neill. DH, probably on the days that Sam beside Oh goes behind the plate and Adley rutschman is off. Because I’m over the idea of Adley rutschman needing to be in the in the lineup every day he doesn’t hit, he hasn’t hit over the last year and a half to justify being a DH when he doesn’t catch and I do wonder if giving him true days off will help him in the long run with the bat being behind the plate, dude, I’ll

Nestor Aparicio  37:32

take 272, and 19 runs in 125 games with arrested Adley rushman and a coming On Samuel, beside

Luke Jones  37:41

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370, on base percent. Give me the on base percentage, you know. I mean, yeah, everything you said, I’m fine with, but we don’t need to see Adley. Ruts been DHing 40 times a year. I don’t

Nestor Aparicio  37:51

want to see him hit 208. And 140

Luke Jones  37:53

sure point, yeah. And really, I mean, like I said, the bat over the last year and a half hasn’t justified making him a DH when he’s not catching so, so I think the idea there is, I’d like to see Dylan beavers play a lot in right field and then Tyler O’Neill. It’s like, okay, man, Tyler O’Neill is a good hitter, but what exactly can you count on? I’m certainly not penciling him into the lineup and thinking he’s going to play 140 games. Can he play 100 games for you? Can he play 100 games for you?

Nestor Aparicio  38:24

So is he a matchup guy that gets left handed pitching? Sure, yeah, which then that would be a time where you’d say, okay, beavers or maybe cows are on a given night, you know, you know whatever you decide to do there. So well, they do have some flexibility in that way. Yes, they do, to your point to Billy Bean and to the ghost of Earl Weaver, yeah, I can hear Earl like after the second drink, Luke. You can put these some bitches anywhere you want. None of them are any good, you know, put them out there. They’re not here. They’re here for their bats. Well, literally

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Luke Jones  38:55

short, but however, they have a new coaching staff. One thing you’ve heard Elias and Albernaz this offseason in the times that he’s talked about the roster, they talk so much about their athleticism. So if you have athletic guys, coach them up, make them better defensively. Now, when I say that, do I think they’re going to have four guys that are finalists for the Gold Glove? No, but can you be better? Can you raise the floor defensively? Because the last couple years, their defense has not been near. I mean, especially their defense was lousy last year. So that’s part of it.

Nestor Aparicio  39:33

Can you give an indictment on Brandon Hyde? If that turns around to me, to the operation?

Luke Jones  39:39

Well, if you recall, as much as and obviously they pulled the trigger right before Memorial Day. But my biggest indictment on Brandon Hyde last year was just how sloppy they were out of the gate. You didn’t like it. I remember it made me fired. It did. I mean, what happened during spring training and what, how much of that was hide, how. Much of that was the coaches and the other question, and we’ve talked about this a lot, we’ll talk about a lot on the Raven side as well, how much of it was just the players. I mean, like the players have to be accountable at the end of the day. Ultimately, they’re the ones that go out there and throw and hit.

Nestor Aparicio  40:14

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There’s no question that where we are today as we sit here. Colton cowser, Kyle Stowers, Adley rutchman, Samuel besayo, Jackson, holiday, Jordan, Westberg, Kobe mayo, like I’ll throw all their prospects from four or five years ago into the till, wherever they are, Miami, Milwaukee, wherever. Kobe Mayo winds up for a pitcher, a pub, whatever they’re going to wind up doing, like all of those guys got to go out and do it in the same way that, you know, every other guy that was a late bloomer that had to figure it out or turns it around. Rushman better turn it around. Cows are better. Turn it around. Sure. Westburg Better get healthy holiday. Better get back on the field like beside you. Better be worth some of the money. And I’m looking at all these guys, and they were all in a tank in May of last year. And I’m looking at Albernaz, and I’m like, All right, yeah, this is, this is where you

Luke Jones  41:16

gotta Yeah, I mean, this is where. I mean Craig, Albernaz, you’ve Jesse mentor. I’m talking to you too, absolutely. And that’s why I said I made the connection with the rape. Like, it’s the same thing. It’s like, Hey, okay, players, it’s your part now. Like, if the coaching was not up to where it needed to be, then here we go.

Nestor Aparicio  41:32

And by the way, with the ravens, I’m not sold on Ronnie Stanley and Marlon Humphrey and roquan Smith. And like, I’m not sold on Lamar, yeah, you know. I mean, I’m just not sold that. That thing looked like a champion. So they pounded har ball, he doubled his money, and now they’re gonna go fresh and, you know, like, that’s what you do when you don’t win. So, yeah, but they didn’t change the players here. They changed the pitching a little bit made. I mean, I think they spiced up the pitching based on the money they spent. But let’s not they’re going

Luke Jones  42:03

back Pete Alonso. I mean, you know

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Nestor Aparicio  42:06

baseball, but they’re going back to all the Greatest Hits and even the greatest misses. In the case of O’Neill, who’s they gave him money they got to get, yeah, the money sunk. Give him the ball.

Luke Jones  42:19

But I will say this and this, this really goes with your point. Look, besides a different story, besides 21 years old and as a rookie, Dylan beavers is 24 and a half, I keep forgetting about him, by the way, yeah, you shouldn’t, because I think he’s gonna play a lot. I like, I like beavers. Yeah, I’m not saying he’s gonna become an all star, but I think I really like him to become a solid player. I do. I’m not going to say it’s going to happen instantly, but I think he’s a better player

Nestor Aparicio  42:47

than Colton kauser. Then that acquits them well, that at least somebody something baked out, you know. But I

Luke Jones  42:53

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think the reality is people kind of overlook the fact. And the rutsman just turned 28 years old. Gunner, gunner. Henderson is still 24 right. Gunner is the least of my worries. I gunner. It turned out exactly as we thought. He had a shoulder impingement. He still had a he still had a good year last year, he just didn’t have an MVP year. But if this is all going to work out, you’re hoping gunner becomes more like the MVP tier again, you know? And you hope that Pete Alonso helps him in that way. But the point I was making, Jordan westburg is 27 gunner Henderson’s 24 Okay, he’s, that’s still young, but gunner Henderson’s been in the league now a few years, right? He’s not a rookie. Rushman is 28 I mentioned beavers. Beavers is 24 he’s a rookie. You know, I give him a little more grace. Colton cows are almost 26 beside, like I said, is 21 right? I mean, Mayo is young. Mayo is on the younger side still. But some of those guys I just mentioned, I mean, these guys aren’t and that was the thing that kind of drove me nuts here, and how last year went. You know, you’ve heard Hyde say this, and I get it. You’re not going to throw guys under the bus publicly, but Hyde would say this. Mancelino would say this, Elias would say this. And they kept talking about their youth, their youth, their youth. It’s like you guys signed up for this, though, and you, you were the ones who said, we’re going to, we’re going to put all of our eggs in the youth basket. I mean, they didn’t add, you know, they added Tyler O’Neill last off season, right? They added Gary Sanchez last off season, who, by the way, I saw, just signed for what, a million and a half, 2 million, whatever, to go back to Milwaukee. But you know, if these are the guys that you had this much confidence in them, what happened that it failed to the degree that it did last year? And look, part of that is the health piece. And, you know, this is where, you know, we talk about a little bit about it was buying 41 year old pitching too. Oh no, but I’m talking on the, I’m talking on the position player side, the idea that, remember, we were talking about it at this time last year. We’re going to talk about the idea that if this team was going to get where it needs to go, it has to hit the baseball. And they hit. Hit the baseball last year. So they added Alonzo, great. They added Taylor ward. Good. You know, I think Taylor wards can be a really solid part of their lineup, even if, you know, I still don’t know if I’ll ever love the Grayson Rodriguez contract just or the trade in the sense of not getting some long term assets in return. You know, something that they could have long term in return, but whatever we’ll find out. Now, I know I saw Grayson’s throwing bullpens, and it sounds like it’s so far so good the first day of camp to the angels. So God bless but, but you just you look at this group now, they’ve added a couple vets, and you say, all right, Pete Alonso should take the pressure off everyone, including gunner Henderson Taylor, Ward should help stabilize their outfield situation. That was a mess last year, right? And at the very least,

Nestor Aparicio  45:47

should be Santon dares hurt again. Too

Luke Jones  45:49

terrible, right? I mean, five to six months, he’s gonna

Nestor Aparicio  45:52

I mean, you know, there was a point for me, Tyler O’Neill for them, I almost put out a tweet, but I’ve been so the Pam Bondi thing’s a much bigger deal than any of this, despite what Katie Griggs might think. But you know, I was gonna say, and maybe even in the beginning, I go back to 45 minutes ago in this segment, where I said they don’t spend $18 million on pictures and stuff like that, at the way they have here and how they’ve been prudent with money in various ways to not make a mistake. Corbin burns, Santander, they were a honey drop that would have been a mess for them, right? Sure, sure. And I mean, we’re looking at Tyler O’Neill’s a little bit of a mess until he’s not, right, but, yeah, I mean, they haven’t stepped into that. And for that, I would say, in a mid market like this, and you want them to be the Cardinals, that is a very good instinct to not step into that. Yeah, that’s fine, yeah, of course. And the money they took on in the offseason, although even Alan McCallum was a little tepid the morning after. And you’re like, and I’m and I’m not like, Pete who but I’m a little bit like it’s not selling them tickets. It might win them a championship. And if that’s like as the more we look at it in the press conference and how it looks for Pete Alonso, and the more we talk about the rest of this cast of characters, including holiday being injured, saying, who’s going to lead us, I’ll turn over the baked beans. Johnny Oates style for the old schoolers, who’s going to lead us? Who’s going to lead us? Well? Pete Alonso, it smells good right now to me. I mean, their offseason smells good to me, and it smells a lot better today than it did Monday, even though holidays hurt, yeah, but it doesn’t smell good to me. Henderson, holiday rushman, cows or Westburn. I don’t I’ll throw, I used to throw mayo in there. I’ll, I’ll leave the mayo off the sandwich at this point. But those five guys, if Alonso hits the moon and O’Neill hits to his number and hits 30 Homer, if those guys stink, he got nothing, I mean, so him bragging about the core, that’s going to have to be the engineer, even though I think Alonso is important, and I just they’ve done a nice job in the offseason, as I get the Valentine’s Day, which is why I didn’t beat them up November 15 or December 15 or even four days ago. I was more optimistic than you, because I’m still a guy that believes they’ll buy something, they’ll deal in July, but they just can’t not be competitive the first 90 days, no doubt. And they at least need to be a 500 kind of team. They don’t need to wow me. That would be great that they’re selling out the splash zone and people are excited, and they’re 12 games over 500 and a couple of these pitchers catch fire, and Henderson’s an MVP, like it through May like that would be great. That would be great to get that energy going, from a fan standpoint, from them making money standpoint, them being competitive standpoint, they don’t need to do all of that. They just need to get have things like holiday not get hurt. And that’s bad news.

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Luke Jones  49:03

Yeah, it is. And, you know, couple points and wrap going, since you just Yeah, exact shot for just yeah, you know, the holiday thing. It’s a bummer. It typically, I mean, the hemming bone. I remember Ken Griffey Jr did it 30 years ago. Marques did it actually the first you know that 2012 season, and you know it’s generally a six to eight week thing, which will put him. Should have him back by mid April, you hope. But it’s just so tough. He’s 22 you’re looking for him to take the next step. And anyone will tell you, with that handmade bone for a hitter, it’s one of those things. It zaps your power for a few months. I mean, I mean, generally, I don’t know if we’re going to see the absolute best version of Jackson holiday for whatever he was going to be in 2026 until July, right? That doesn’t mean he won’t be back, and that doesn’t mean he can’t be productive and and heck, maybe that’ll be something that forces him to fly. Focus on hitting mechanics a little more, stand inside the baseball things like that.

Nestor Aparicio  50:04

Maybe it’s gonna kill that kid, though, right? It’s gonna be tough being able to play. Yeah? Oh, sure. It’s a bummer, because I’m super young. Yeah, hadn’t happened before.

Luke Jones  50:13

He’s but he has a father who’s all very good. His father had injuries,

Nestor Aparicio  50:19

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so you and me would look at and say, he’ll work it out, but it is okay.

Luke Jones  50:23

But, yeah, it’s a shame. So so that. And then I want to go back to the point that you made. It’s very simplistic. They can’t start 16 and 34 again. I mean, let’s face it, and this is not to pat them on the back for how they played in June, July, August and September, but how they played in June, July, August and September would have at least had them in the mix. They still would have been in the wild card race, whether they would have been a favorite to do it or not. They absolutely buried themselves the first 50 games of the season, and nothing mattered after that, other than getting visayo up here and getting beavers

Nestor Aparicio  50:59

rough radio you and I had, it was between, like, April 20 and may 15 of last year, miserable because we sat here for eight weeks getting ready for and it just was, you and I were in Toronto. I mean, you know, it

Luke Jones  51:10

was over by my niece’s birthday that her birthday party was the day they canned Brandon hide. I mean, it was

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Nestor Aparicio  51:16

just terrible. So I call that Preakness day, but that’s okay. Yeah, it was Scarlet birthday. Is a big, big day. Oh, that’s how old I am. I know King leatherberry is, so, in

Luke Jones  51:27

fact, in fact, I’ve been talking with, you know, she does, Scarlet does, maybe she does listen to the show sometimes. So I’ll hold on, Scarlet, we’re, we’re playing, yeah, she

Nestor Aparicio  51:35

watches what I said about Earl Weaver. I didn’t mean Scarlet. I’m sorry. They don’t

Luke Jones  51:40

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watch every day, but, but, no, we’re kind of, we got to get her to an Orioles game this year. I’ll leave it at that. So she hasn’t been to one yet. Not to an Orioles game? No, she’s that might get me to the game. Yeah. So, so we’ll see. But we’re planning, but, but, yeah, to go back to that. I mean, it was over before Memorial Day. I mean, any baseball fan will tell you, Memorial Day is when the season is supposed to really start

Nestor Aparicio  52:01

getting birthday your beloved niece, May 21 21st All right, hold on, let’s see, or else playing the Tigers on the 22nd it’s a Friday night, or what are the Orioles game? May 22 right? Now, that’ll be seven weeks into the season, so that would probably be about 35 games.

Luke Jones  52:22

Just don’t, don’t be 10 games under 500 at that point. If you’re 500 then you can live with that. Just don’t be 15 games under and it’s over, right? I mean,

Nestor Aparicio  52:33

I’m not gonna give a record right now, because I’m, I’m gonna be the optimist about them on the field until more guys get hurt. But I don’t like the holiday thing. No, I don’t like the mojo of it, you know.

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Luke Jones  52:46

But keep in mind and look you. This is where I’ll push back a little bit. I still, before the basset signing, I still thought they were at 8788 which, by the way, that usually is good for one of the wild card spots. I don’t think they’re the best team in the division right now.

Nestor Aparicio  53:01

It would have been a good bet last week before they added guys, if I was so damn optimistic. So all these gambling sites, I could have been like, big Poppy with those. Pay me. Pay me. Pay me. Because, like, you could get them at 85 last week, and now they’ve added pitching. So this doesn’t

Luke Jones  53:16

which, I don’t think Bassett pushes their win total up more than a win or two. You know, like I said, in terms of wins above, replace,

Nestor Aparicio  53:22

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in my mind, he’s a guy that’s going to take the ball 2530, he is, we didn’t know about

Luke Jones  53:26

it, Dad, as I said to you, with Dean Kramer, and he is a guy that isn’t necessarily going to start games for you in October, but he’s a guy that will be important and get, if you can get there, he will be someone that’s important to doing that. So I like it. I’m not doing cartwheels over it, but like I said, it’s not the exclamation point to their offseason, but it’s a solid period, and I’ll take that at this point.

Nestor Aparicio  53:48

You know, I like that we add a Baltimore positive we have, like our transcripts and our summary. So like the summary, when I do it like this would be say, and what have we learned here? And what have we learned here is that I think they’re a better team than they were yesterday, and agreed by a lot, by more than two wins, whatever you nerds, war, war. Me, the only war that matters is the one. We’re going to start with Iran, because the President’s a pedophile. I’m Nestor. He’s Luke. We are W n s t am 15 70,000 Baltimore. We’ll be talking plenty of baseball around here. If there’s any more breaking news, you will get it first in the W n s t tech service. It’s all brought to you by friends, Nicole roofing and Gordian energy. And you could sign up over Baltimore positive. We’ll do some more baseball, but let’s get back to our regularly scheduled cup of Super Bowl and the good stories going on here at Baltimore, including maybe a competitive baseball team this summer. That would be nice. So what a press credential you.

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Akin, Kittredge go to 15-day injured list as Orioles set Opening Day roster

Akin, Kittredge go to 15-day injured list as Orioles set Opening Day roster

Baltimore will be down an additional bullpen arm with lefty Keegan Akin going on the IL with a groin strain.
Swinging for the fences and a shot at October magic

Swinging for the fences and a shot at October magic

Luke Jones and Nestor discuss bad defense and many hopeful bats of Orioles as Opening Day awaits.

  • [ ] @Nestor Aparicio - Write and send letters to key Orioles front-office executives (including Craig Albernaz, Katie Griggs, Mike Elias, and others) expressing concerns and expectations about the team’s direction ahead of Opening Day.
  • [ ] @Nestor Aparicio - Write and send a letter to Mike Elias this week outlining concerns about the Orioles’ offseason moves and roster construction, ensuring the tone differs from Jason Lockman & Forest’s approach.

Defense and Pitching Leading to Offense

  • Nestor Aparicio discusses the importance of defense in setting up the pitching, mentioning the team's focus on pitching in previous discussions.
  • Nestor highlights the defensive capabilities of players like Kobe Mayo at third base and expresses concerns about Gunner Henderson's defense.
  • The conversation touches on the impact of injuries to key players like Holiday and Westburg on the team's defensive performance.
  • Nestor emphasizes the need for the team to hit well to compensate for any defensive shortcomings.

Kobe Mayo's Role and Defensive Challenges

  • Luke Jones discusses Kobe Mayo's defensive transition from third base to first base due to the signing of Pete Alonso.
  • Luke mentions Mayo's experience playing third base in the minors and his adjustment to first base.
  • The conversation covers the impact of Westburg's injury on Mayo's role and the potential for Mayo to play third base if Westburg doesn't return.
  • Luke highlights the importance of Mayo's work ethic and raw abilities, comparing him to Mount Castle in terms of athleticism.

Defensive Improvement and Coaching

  • Luke Jones emphasizes the need for the coaching staff, led by Craig Albernaz, to improve the team's defensive fundamentals.
  • The conversation touches on the importance of proper footwork and consistent play for defensive improvement.
  • Luke mentions the role of Miguel Cairo and Jason Bourgeois in working with the infielders and outfielders.
  • The discussion includes the need for the team to be at least average defensively to compete effectively.

Offensive Potential and Player Development

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the offensive potential of players like Kobe Mayo, Sam Besayo, and Gunnar Henderson.
  • The conversation highlights the importance of these young players hitting well to compensate for any defensive shortcomings.
  • Luke mentions the need for players like Colton Kauser and Cedric Mullins to step up defensively.
  • The discussion includes the potential for players like Taylor Ward and Tyler O'Neill to contribute offensively.

Health and Injury Concerns

  • Luke Jones emphasizes the importance of the team staying healthy, especially after the injuries that plagued them last year.
  • The conversation touches on the need for the team to address any issues with their strength and conditioning program.
  • Luke mentions the importance of players like Grayson Rodriguez and Adley Rutschman staying healthy.
  • The discussion includes the potential impact of injuries on the team's performance and the need for depth in the roster.

Leadership and Team Dynamics

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the importance of Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso as the heart and soul of the team.
  • The conversation highlights the need for these players to set the tone for the rest of the team.
  • Luke mentions the importance of Adley Rutschman's leadership and durability behind the plate.
  • The discussion includes the potential for other players like Sam Besayo and Kobe Mayo to step up and contribute.

Team Expectations and Potential

  • Nestor Aparicio expresses optimism about the team's potential to be a playoff contender.
  • The conversation touches on the importance of the team getting off to a good start to build momentum.
  • Luke Jones mentions the need for the team to address any question marks, such as the bullpen and the defense.
  • The discussion includes the potential for the team to surprise people with their performance.

Community Impact and Fan Engagement

  • Nestor Aparicio emphasizes the importance of the team's success in revitalizing the city and engaging fans.
  • The conversation touches on the need for the team to create a positive atmosphere at the ballpark.
  • Luke Jones mentions the importance of the team's performance in driving fan interest and attendance.
  • The discussion includes the potential for the team to have a significant impact on the local economy and community.

Final Thoughts and Future Outlook

  • Nestor Aparicio and Luke Jones discuss the importance of the team's performance in the early part of the season.
  • The conversation highlights the need for the team to build momentum and maintain consistency.
  • Luke mentions the importance of the team's performance in shaping public perception and expectations.
  • The discussion includes the potential for the team to surprise people with their performance and exceed expectations.

SUMMARY KEYWORDS

Orioles, defense, pitching, Kobe Mayo, Gunnar Henderson, Pete Alonso, bullpen, injuries, offense, spring training, coaching staff, health, lineup, potential, Opening Day.

SPEAKERS

Nestor Aparicio, Luke Jones

Nestor Aparicio  00:02

Welcome home. We are W, N, S, T. Am 1570 to Baltimore. We are Baltimore positive. We are getting ready for opening day with our friends, the comfort guys at Farnham and Dermer as well as the Maryland crab cake tour. Get back out on the road Koco's. I see you. I'm coming to see you. Marcella, it is spring. Is sprung. We'll be at the ballpark to Camden Yards. We've been talking about all things pitching here, and I think now we're going to let the pitching lead to defense, because Luke, I inked My dear Craig Albernaz or Albie, and I'll be writing letters to all of the wrasse including Pete Alonso. A little welcome to to well, you know, we've had nicknames around here. We've never had one quite as good as the polar bear. I don't think, but, but defensively and how that sets up the pitching. Because we went soup to nuts on pitching, we did an hour on it, you know, from Bradish and Rogers through what Boz is and where the bullpen is, and where Tyler Wells is it even Batista, maybe later in the year. The concern of the bullpen is one thing, concern of the defense and how it gets stressed, and this really leads into our offense and saying, when you strike out this much, the biggest thing you do when you strike out is you don't put the ball in play. You don't tax the defense. They can't make an error if you strike out right? So for me, with defense on this team, I guess it starts with Kobe Mayo at third base. I don't know that there's anyone with a glove in the field. I don't love gunner Henderson's defense. Be honest with you. You know, I'd like to see that improve. Holiday out westburg, out I like both of those guys a lot. That's a massive blow to them and how long they're out and whether they blossom holidays, one, one. I mean, you got to get them a lineup. It's less than ideal, I would say, to start the year, and that doesn't curb my optimism or my enthusiasm for what this can be. But we did talk about, well, you blow two run lead late in the game in a bullpen. Yeah, we're going to pick on some Nestor Herman or some guy we've never heard of in a button that won't be him, but somebody in the bullpen. Yeah, Tyler wells comes in, and the seventh inning, he looks fine. The eighth inning, and somebody kicks it around, and next thing you know, somebody throws the ball into the dugout, and the six four leads evaporated, and the fans are upset, and but kicking the ball around is something that it's hard to win, and it's hard to have a lot of confidence. When the defense isn't great, they'll hit their way out of this, and that's what we're going to get to in a minute. Kobe Mayo is probably citizen a for all of this, because big bat completely playing out of position. I mean, right? I mean, and at least we think it's temporary, and a lot of this really is the backdrop of Westberg and holiday when they're coming back.

Luke Jones  03:02

Yeah, yeah. I mean, a couple things holiday, holidays hitting already. He's going to, he probably is going to be in the lineup for triple A Norfolk for their first game. I think you're going to see him on a similar timeline to gunner Henderson last year. I think he's going to, you know, he's going to have to be in the on the IL for a certain number of days anyway, but it'll give him a chance to ramp up. I'd be kind of surprised if we don't see holiday by mid April. Now, what that will look like in terms of his power and all that that's that's a different discussion point is, I think we're going to see him very soon. Westburg, Mike Elias already confirmed that he's not going to be ready may 1. Right? It's going to be even in the best case scenario, we're probably looking closer towards best case scenario later in the month, right? I mean, who knows? I mean, we just don't know right now. So yeah, you look at Kobe Mayo right now. And one thing I'll correct you on, I mean, yes, he's in, he's out of position compared to what we were perceiving him to be last summer, in a world where we didn't know that the Orioles were going to go sign Pete Alonso, but they had said, Okay, he's going to be a first baseman. He played a lot of third base in the minors, right? I mean, this is not a position that he is, that he's foreign to, right? This is something that where he's worked quite a bit. The difference is you went from and when was it June of last year to basically saying, all right, Kobe, you know, put the third baseman. Glove away. First base is your spot. Moving forward, then you get Pete Alonso. You think, all right, well, Kobe Mayo is probably going to be traded. Kobe Mayo himself even admitted, like, I didn't know what my fate was going to be. Like, I certainly wasn't mad or like, didn't understand the organization going and signing Pete like he's a great player, but it's common like, it's common sense to you as a young, unproven player, to wonder, like, what that means for you, right? So they get to spring training. Obviously, everything happened with Westberg, and now Mayo is back at third base. Now, the good thing is, if there. One silver lining to the Westberg injury is that was right off the bat. He's had an entire spring training, and I had a chance to talk to him, you know, he talked to some of the reporters, but prior to Sunday's exhibition game, and he flat out like he had a good mindset about it, and he said, Look, I know that I'm going to make some errors, right? Albernaz has talked about this with me. I mean, Miguel Cairo is their infield coach. They've worked with him, as I said to you, going back to last summer. I mean, he was out on the field with John Mabry every day, working at first base. Sunday morning before the exhibition game, I saw him at third base taking ground balls and working. I mean, this kid works. I don't question his work ethic at all, and I don't question his ability at all, his raw abilities. And he's an athlete,

Nestor Aparicio  05:45

right? I mean, he's a good basketball player,

Luke Jones  05:46

looking dude, like, he runs well, like, you know, it kind of reminds me of Mount Castle a few years you know, when mount Castle first arrived, like, he kind of thought, Oh, well, he's just this big, plodding guy. And then you realize he's actually relatively fast, like, not stealing bases fast, but could go first to third. Can score from second, right? I mean, like that kind of fast. So he has ability. But, you know, now it's a case of, all right, you've been afforded this opportunity. You've been gifted this opportunity because of where we are roster wise, knowing that westburg best case scenario is maybe, you know, maybe Memorial Day, something like that, right? Maybe mid May at best case scenario, he might not come back at all. If he does come back, third base might not be an option. It might for Westberg, it might be he's a DH or he can only play second base. Or, who knows, right? I mean, we'll find out. But point is, you can't plan definitively that Westbrook is going to be in the lineup at third base for them. So Kobe Mayo has got quite a runway here to you know, and I'm not, let me be clear, that's not unconditional. If he's booting two balls a game, then yeah, to me, you're going to have to pivot. And you know, whether it's Blaze Alexander there, and Mayo's back on the bench or or whatever, but he's going to get an opportunity here, and I think where you look at him, he's going to make some errors. And even talking to Craig Albernaz, you know, I asked him about Mayo's defense, they know he's going to like they know he's not going to be Manny Machado there. They know he's not going to be Brooks Robinson there. But can he show the proper footwork, right? Can he fundamentally do what he needs to do which? If you do that, and you do that on a daily basis and a regular basis, and you do that rep by rep, chances are, over time, those mistakes will start to dissipate a little bit, and you will get more consistent. So he's got to hit, right? I mean, like, part of this equation is you can deal with some shoddy defense here and there. Like, not like, you know, it can't be all the time, but you can deal with some hiccups here and there, if you're going to hit the ball. And that's where you look at Mayo, and you say, he had a great September last year. Again, I get it. It's September, right? I mean, we're, we're skeptical of September anyway, but especially for a team that's that's playing out the string. But he had 300 last September. He had five home runs. He had a 941 ops. He was playing every day at that point, and he did a nice job. What has he done since then? Well, he's been working at third base every day and in spring training going into, you know, like the final exhibition with the Nationals in DC, sitting 389 he's got five extra base hits. He has a 1039 ops. It's spring training, right? I'm not, not trying to make more of it than what it is, but the point is, since September one of last year, Kobe Mayo has really looked like someone who can really be a legitimate part of your lineup. Now, doesn't mean he's gonna believe

Nestor Aparicio  08:49

that two years ago, right? He He's a serious, he's a serious prospect in an organization with all these one ones who haven't really blossomed yet, right? Right? I mean, he's got a bat.

Luke Jones  08:59

I mean, this is the kind of guy, I think, for for all the talk of the young guys that have been in the mate, you know, some of them aren't that young anymore, like Adley rutschmann, he's 28 now. He's not young. That's not young for baseball anymore. But in terms of their core, you know, their core position, guys that have been there now for two or three years, or in the case of rutsman and gunner, a little bit longer than that, even. But you look at Mayo and bisayo, and to me, those are the two guys that, if you want to talk about this lineup going from good, because I think this lineup, borrowing a ton of injuries, is going to be good at at the very least, but what can take them from good to great is guys like mayo and besayo at the bottom of the order, who suddenly are hitting the ball to the point where you say, Oh, are they going to stay at the bottom of the order? Do we need to move those guys a little bit higher in the order? They have that potential. Now, are they both going to realize that this year? I don't know, right? They're young ball players, but they have that kind of upside. With the bat. So for mayo, yes, he's going to have to hit, there's no doubt about that. And yes, he's going to have to defend at least well enough, because I'm going to use a reference that you'll certainly be familiar with, and many listeners will be you can't have him be Mark Reynolds. Which Mark Reynolds in 2011 and 2012 go look at his offensive numbers. I know he struck out a lot at a time when striking out wasn't as well, I don't want to say well received wasn't as accepted as it is today, compared to fifth, you know, 15 years ago. But for what he did with the bat, all of it got wiped out by how bad his defense was at third base. I mean, go, Look. I mean, he, he ended up being slightly above replacement level, or, you know, around there, because everything he did with the bat was just given away by his glove and his arm, right? I mean, so Mayo can't be that. So, I guess you know to, kind of, you know, to then pull back and kind of look at the rest of their defense. Here's what I'm looking for. These guys are athletes, right? These are, these guys are good athletes. It's not as though these guys are a bunch of stiffs that can't move right. This isn't, you know, you kind of think back to Money Rayford, yeah, or look at Billy Dean with, like, in the early 2000s with the A's, like, like, those guys could get on base, but they weren't good athletes, right? So they didn't steal bases, because they weren't really capable of it anyway. And analytically, they said, Well, we're not going to be good at that anyway. We can't be successful 80% of the time. We're not going to try to steal bases, and we don't care as much about our defense, because we want you to get on base. And that was kind of the money ball formula. That's why Scott hattenberg could move from catcher to first base, because they didn't need them to be a good defensive first baseman. They wanted them to get on base. This isn't that these guys are athletes to the point that, let me be clear, this isn't me saying they all are going need to be, or should be, Gold Glove caliber fielders, but I'd like to think these guys can, at least, like, they can be together an average defense, like, just be average, right? Because I think the profile works if it's more closer to average than, like last year, and you know, the second half of 2024 where, you know, they profiled more as bottom 10 in baseball kind of defense. So that is where, you know, not just talking about working with Kobe mayo, but working with all these guys. That's where I am looking at Miguel Cairo, who's their infield coach, Jason bourgeois, who's their first base coach, but also their outfield coach, like I want to see these Craig Albernaz, just overseeing all of it. Generally speaking, I want to see this coaching staff produce a defense that is crisper, doesn't look as sloppy, knows where to throw the ball, all of that, those things that you and I were talking about last year early on, where my biggest criticism of Brandon Hyde was not the failures of all the players, like individually, it was how sloppy that it came out of the gate. You know, you should be at your sharpest coming out of spring training when it comes to, you know, your bunt plays and who's covering where and where to throw the ball and all those different things, right? And they were just so sloppy doing that. It was like, Man, did you guys even go through spring training because you

Nestor Aparicio  13:08

haven't played like it sometimes the fundamentals

Luke Jones  13:11

aren't fun, right? But to me, that was an indictment, not just on the players, but big time on the coaching staff. So if there's something I'm going to judge, Craig Albernaz And this coaching staff on early on, beyond just wins and losses, but looking at the game within the game, it's, are they throwing to the right base? Are these guys running the bases properly, like all those fundamentally, you know, all those fundamental things I want to see, though, those things tightened up. And if they can do that, then I see no reason why this defense, maybe not Mayo at third base, but this defense collectively, why it can't be at least average, right? And you have that, then I think they'll be in position to win a lot of ball games, because, again, these guys aren't stiffs like Colton kauser is a great athlete. Colton kauser should be able to play a solid center field. I'll have some questions about his bat, right, especially going up against lefties. Although it was nice to see a left on left home run from Him on Sunday. That was good to see,

Nestor Aparicio  14:08

but it will get you gunner Henderson in the WBC, because we haven't talked

Luke Jones  14:12

about that either for him too. Yeah, I said to you, like for me, look, I wanted to see gunner play every day in the WBC, but I get it. He hasn't been good historically against lefties. And let's be clear, it was Alex Bregman playing in his place, not Jorge Mateo, you know. So I get it. Orioles fans were mad about that. I understand, hey, he was one of the few guys hitting for them, but I understood that. But to bring it back to the defense, I look position by position. Look Pete Alonso is not a Gold Glove first baseman, but scoop balls in the dirt, especially for Kobe mayo, that's going to be a big thing for them, right? You're going to have to help out your young third baseman, and he knows that, Gunner Henderson, I thought gunners defense was better as last year went on compared to the year before. You know, I thought his defense was trending up for me last year, I want to see that. Continue second base. You know, we haven't mentioned his name yet, Blaze Alexander, for the time being, whether he's playing second or when holidays back, they bump him over to third. If Mayo is having issues defensively, they need him to catch the ball right whatever he gives you with the bat. I think I want to say his bonus, because I think they like his bat. But he needs to get them solid defense. If you're the utility guy, you need to be a solid defender, right? So, and I think he can be that for them. So, you know, that's the infield and then the outfield. I mean, they need cows or whatever the bat looks like. They need him to defend. If he can defend and be solid and be dependable in center field, then I'll live with whatever else he's doing with the bat for the time being. But they need that, because if it's not him, I don't know who it is like, okay, they have leoty Tavares, who's going to be, presumably, the backup center fielder. He's been replacement level the last couple years with the bat. So if it's not him, then you're talking about, okay, Dylan beavers. You know, to me, I think they very much would like to keep Dylan beavers as a corner outfielder. I don't think they feel he can play center field, at least right now. And you know, beyond that, then you're talking about like Enrique Bradfield, who needs to have some success at triple A before we're ready to talk about him as a candidate. So they need kaliser to play center field, and they need them to play it well, because there's not a slap you in the face alternative right now that that makes sense, right? All the all the other alternatives have even more question marks, so they need him to be that they'll play Taylor Warden left I think he'll be fine out there, right field you know, Tyler O'Neill, like our perception of what he was last year. You have to this is a guy who was a Gold Glove outfielder earlier in his career, like he should be able to play solid, a solid right field for them when he's out there. Same with beavers, right well, him and

Nestor Aparicio  16:56

Ward are like these. I don't barely talk about them, but they know. But like, six weeks from now, they might be the two best players, and like, they have that kind of potential, but I just see them as just names, until I watch them five nights a week go out with an Oriole crest on and get two or three hits and win a ball game and hit a home run on opening Day or whatever, because they're these are really capable, big bat 30 home run kind of guys, and they need to be given the bats. They're going to strike out, they're going to pop out, they're going to hit the double play. They do all that. But along the body of the work, we can wake up on, I don't know, Preakness day one of might have 12 home runs by then, because they're, they're that kind of same thing with mayo. I mean, they all have that possibility about them, in addition to gunner Henderson and Pete Alonso,

Luke Jones  17:47

right, yeah. And I'm going to continue to say Sam basayo, okay, no. I mean, I'm

Nestor Aparicio  17:52

just saying he reminds me, and this makes me a really old guy, by the way, of when Manny Ramirez came to the Indians in 90,

Luke Jones  18:01

batting eighth or something

Nestor Aparicio  18:02

like that. I mean, that team by Eric and Lofton,

Luke Jones  18:07

Jim Tony and Manny Ramirez were hitting seventh and eighth for that team. I mean, it was,

Nestor Aparicio  18:10

it was ridiculous, well, and Ramirez was this big bat guy that was young and dumb and and, you know, had Hall of Fame potential and Triple Crown kind of potential, you know, I sort of the bicycle thing, the fact that they rushed him, they gave him the money they he's a catcher, but he's not really a catcher, but we're going to make him a catcher, and then we give $150 million to a first baseman, but he's so young, right? Yeah, and I think the same things Jackson holiday so young that giving these guys chances at that age, like they did with Gunner Henderson, two, three years ago, right? That this will be who them in the long run. And he certainly was the FLA of all the things we've talked about here. He was the flash in spring training, right? Yeah.

Luke Jones  18:58

I mean mayo and beside Oh late. I mean, they hit for, I mean, I watched Kobe Mayo hit a long two run homer off Max free to the Yankees. I mean, you're talking about like their opening day starter, you know, their ace, until Garrett Cole returns and reestablishes himself as the ace. I mean, you know, these guys were, these guys have really capable bats. I mean, it's and again, we're going through all these names. You and I both know. Every single name that we just rattled off is not going to have a

Nestor Aparicio  19:27

great Tyler O'Neal's Museum. He'll be heard around. He hit 201 and he had a whole maybe two years ago, cows or he's a strike out. You know,

Luke Jones  19:38

Bowser will strike out, but he might, he might hit 25 home runs also, right?

Nestor Aparicio  19:43

So then there's the fact whether Gunnar Henderson and Adley rushman are going to be MVP caliber performers in the way that we see their ceilings in their best light, in their best light, in Adley Richmond's best light. This year, he's going to hit 282 with 23 home runs, driving 90 runs. Catch it on your plane. 380 on base percentage.

Luke Jones  20:03

Give me a 380 on date. Look, they don't need Adley rutsman To be an MVP, right? I will take like, just get back to the guy you were two years ago, three years ago, right? Like, I don't need the you're gonna become Johnny Bench or anything. I think that ship has sailed right, at least in that right? Which is, when you compare these young catchers to Johnny Bench, it's always so unfair, right? But we do it, not we. I just in general

Nestor Aparicio  20:29

one, it's even different than weeders for me, no doubt.

Luke Jones  20:32

Oh, I agree. That's That's why I've been so hard on Adley rutsman In terms of how I've talked about him the last year and a half. But, but, yeah, it really is amazing. When you look at the state of this 26 man roster, the position side. I mean, you and I haven't even mentioned Ryan mountcastle. Now, part of that is I don't know if, especially if, these young guys emerge, you know, when we're talking about mayo and SiO. Like, I don't know where the at bats are going to be for Mount castle in that scenario, but point is, there are a lot of different lineup combinations here, and, yeah, they're gonna have to find it. But I'm not sure what's going to happen, right? I mean, I think gunner Henderson is going to be this team's best player, because that's just been the case for the last three years now. I mean, even last year is even a down year for gunner. He still was, you know, their their best position player, I guess, you know, with a nod to Ramon lauriano Before he was traded at the deadline. But I expect Pete Alonso to hit 35 to 40 home runs, because that's just who he's been, right? That's who he was with the Mets. Why the Orioles are giving them $30 million a year, $31 million million dollars a year. You know, Taylor Ward's coming off of a career year. I don't know if he's going to match that in terms of home runs, but he should be a guy that is going to give solid production. He's going to strike out, but he's going to hit for power and do that. But, man, there's also a scenario Nestor, where like Kobe mayo or Sam besayo, one of those guys, like, I'm not going to say both of them, but if there's a scenario where in August, one of those guys is hitting cleanup for this team at that point, because they're just that guy, right, which would be amazing for The overall ceiling and potential for this offense. I mean, there's a lot to like, but I will also say, and just like I talked about the defense, I will go back to the approach and the coaching. You know, Dustin Lynn, their new hitting coach, Brady north, their new assistant hitting coach. We talked a lot about the hitting coaches last year, remember, and that's not to say that the players didn't need to be accountable, because they did, but we kind of talked about it in terms of, this feels broken. So I'm hoping, with all the changes, you know, with the new coaching staff, even if at the end of the day, they're they're preaching something very similar to what the previous coaching staff was seeing was saying they're saying it in a different voice. They're saying it in a different way. They're connecting with players in a different way. And I'm hoping that's going to lead to some more success and some more consistency. Because, man, you kind of look at it and again, people are listening. People are more skeptical right now. They're like, Oh, well, Luke and Nestor are drinking the orange Kool Aid. Yeah, I kind of am right now in terms of just looking at what these guys are capable of being, I'm not saying it's going to work in every single way. I mean, there's a scenario where Colton cows are get sent down the triple A because he's completely lost at the plate. I don't know, right? I mean, there's, scenarios like that for three or four different guys, right? But there are also scenarios that, Hey, young players get better, right? We've seen plenty of young players good, and then scuffle and struggle, and then they're better, and then, boy, before you know it, then they're just an everyday player. And you know, you you don't really think about it anymore. They're not a prospect, they're a they're a definite like, Hey, you're a legitimate Major League hitter. So that's where I look at this team and say, That's why I say, if the bullpen can just be solid, right? It doesn't need to be the best bullpen in baseball. Just don't be a bottom five bullpen. And if the defense doesn't need to be gold gloves across the board, just be average. Don't be a detriment, right? Don't be a liability. Just be solid. If you can do that, then, yeah, that's why I go back to the offense, having the upside it has. And the starting rotation, maybe not the same level of upside there as the offense, but seeing a lot of upside there. You and I spent half a segment talking about that. So there are things to like about this club. Yeah, there are things to not like or things to question as well. But man, I just, I look at this lineup, one through nine, and man, if you can, you know, some of these young guys take the next step. And. Veteran players kind of maintain health is going to be a big part. You know, I've gone a long way in our discussion here. As we're going in opening day, health needs to be there, and that's why I'm a little they're right off the bat in spring training with holiday in westburg, there was very much a sense of, here we go again.

Nestor Aparicio  25:18

Grayson Rodriguez isn't hurt here. Yeah,

Luke Jones  25:20

right, I mean, but they need to stay healthy. That's a big part of this. I'm hoping that through all the changes they made with the manager and the coaching staff, and taking a look at everything that went wrong in 2025 I'm hoping there was some introspective work done on do we need to tweak our strength and conditioning? You know, because, man, we had a lot of hamstrings last year, a lot of obliques, lot a lot of stuff like that. Where you would say, okay, yeah, some of that is part of the game. But, you know, you shouldn't have 25 and 26 year old guys going down with those kind of injuries all the time that that to me, tells me there, there's something going on there. So I'm hoping that they will be a healthier team this year. You know, kind of tough saying that right off the bat, because they do have some injuries here out of the gate, but over 162 Yeah, they've got to stay healthier. There's no doubt, because we can talk about all that kind of potential, like Tyler O'Neill, you and I just said it. Guy has 30 home run potential. He's done it before. He's hit 30 home runs in the major leagues in a season, but he's got to play more than 54 games to do it, so, you know. And part of that is also, hey, he doesn't have to play every day, because hopefully Dylan beavers is going to be a, I don't know if that'll be a straight platoon by any means, but it could be something in that, you know, that looks like that, and that will give you some opportunities to keep Tyler O'Neill healthy. You know, I'm guessing the Orioles are going to try to convince Pete Alonso to DH a dozen times, you know, this year, to to get off his feet a little bit more and give him a little bit of a breather every now and then. So, but they've got to stay healthy. There's no doubt that's a big part of it. I will continue to say about the story of the 2025 team. Yes, there was a lot of underperformance and problems like that. There's no question, but injuries were a big part of what happened last year. That it's undeniable, right? I mean, it absolutely was part of their story last year. So if they're going to bounce back, they've got to stay healthier, which, again, the way it looks on March 26 or April 1 isn't exactly the way you wanted it to start. But over the long haul, you know, we'll see about westburg. But beyond that, this is a team that you hope can stay healthy and keep most of these guys on the field, because I think they've got the potential to be pretty darn good if it can all come together in that way. Luke Jones

Nestor Aparicio  27:41

is here. It's all brought to you by our friends at the comfort guys at Farnan and Dermer, as well as our friends at the Maryland lotto. Be getting the Maryland crab cake tour back out on the road after opening day we get home. I'll wrap up with this. I mean, we sit here, we talk about mayo and cowser and rushman and the question marks and injuries and holiday and Westberg and defense and all of that. What do we really know? It to me, Gunner Henderson and Pete Alonso, they really have to be the heart and soul of this thing. I'll give Ward and O'Neill some oxygen for where they are, and then all the rest of the names, the one ones and the young guys and the potential of this and the the that can all come. But to me, Alonzo and Henderson, as I wrote to Craig Albernaz, that's really where it starts, and Henderson being a lead off guy in this new age of lineups, and the way al bumry doesn't hit lead off anymore, although Weaver had something with singleton back in the 70s, which

Luke Jones  28:42

he was on to, something with that

Nestor Aparicio  28:45

on base percentage he was, he was very much on to that because he had his little note cards. But, but Henderson and Alonso, if I'm putting them both in at 36 and 38 home runs and 111 RBIs and 107 RBIs and I have them both playing 154 games. And like, if that part of it works out, pitching aside for what Rogers needs to be in Bradish and who steps up, and how good effing can be, and when Dean Kramer gets back and all of that stuff, it's one thing, bitching about Dean Kramer, who's a league average starter, and saying, well, will he make it? Will he not? Will he give him the ball? Beat the two guys, Henderson and Alonso, they, they are your engine for me, and they are the biggest part of the engine. Because I'm not counting on Richmond anymore. You can't count on mayo. We're not going to count on kauser. We don't know enough about Ward, but I'll take him over and injure Grayson Rodriguez, I mean, for all of the complaints about Elias, and I have not been hard on Elias, and he's gonna get a letter from me this week, and it won't be written Jason lock and forest style, don't worry. Henderson, I need to step up from where he was last year. And. To look again, like the leader of the team, even though they've imported leadership and give it a lot of money to Pete Alonso that needs to play like Batman and Robin and peanut butter and jelly. For me, it really does.

Luke Jones  30:14

Yeah, no, 1,000% agree. I mean, there's no, no doubt. I don't want to put too much pressure on them, but you know, Cal and Eddie, like, they need to be this, right? Yeah. I mean, that, like, it's, that's what it needs to be, you know, I think gunner, we've talked about it. I mean, he had the, had the rib cage issue right out of the gate last year, and then he had the shoulder impingement, which we never really, you know, didn't find out about that till after the season. That zapped him of his power. He still had a pretty good year, you know, in a vacuum, it just wasn't what it had been the year before.

Nestor Aparicio  30:46

Then I hear that all day long. Yeah, yeah, exactly.

Luke Jones  30:49

Right, right. So, but yeah, they need him to be a guy that I'm not saying he needs to win the MVP, but if Gunnar Henderson's right, like he's a top five to top eight MVP candidate in the American League. That's the kind of player he is. So they need that from him. And I think he'd be the first to tell you, like, he would agree with it us. He would say, Yeah, I got to be that guy for my team. And Pete Alonso same way, like, that's why you gave Pete Alonso $155 million they need to, they need to be the tone setters for this offense. I will say this. I agree with what you said about Adley rutsman from an offensive standpoint, where they do need Adley rutschman to bounce back unequivocally, like an undisputed point is he can't miss two months with oblique issues, like they need him at a minimum to be behind the plate five days a week, or whatever it's going to be all season long, because he's that important to managing the pitching staff right? Because as much as I love besides upside with the bat, if you're in a position where rushman is on this shelf, I don't have the confidence in beside, oh, to handle a pitching staff that regularly, like on an everyday basis. You know, he's the backup catcher for a reason. He's going to be backup catcher, slash DH, for a reason. So they need rutsman For that, that leadership element. They absolutely need whatever he does with the bat. Beyond that, we're going to see, right? I mean, I hope, I hope the guy that he was in 2023 is still in there somewhere, but he's got to show it like that guy's got to return. And until he does, I'm skeptical, regardless of the of what his spring numbers might look like. But yeah, they need gunner and they need Pete Alonso to be the guys, right? They need to be the guys. And it's not to say other guys in this lineup can't have great years. And like I said, if, if, beside hits 30 home runs, or Kobe Mayo hits 30 home runs, and suddenly we're talking about them, one of those guys being hitting fourth or fifth and great, right? But yeah, and I don't know exactly what the lineup is going to look like. I think Taylor Ward, I don't sleep on him as potentially being the lead off guy, and some, you know, especially in some certain matchups. But point is, whether they're hitting first and second, or second and third, or first and third, Gunner Henderson and Pete Alonso need to be those guys, those dudes, right? Baseball, they talk about dudes. Those guys are dudes. They're established dudes at this point in time. So they need to go out there and be on the field every day, which you expect. I mean, Pete Alonso one of the biggest, you know, his calling card, beyond the home runs, has been he's very durable and plays and posts up every day and go ask Buck Showalter, like getting them to take a day off in New York was, was not a fun experience for the managers there, because he just wants to play like he's that he's that old school Cal Ripken kind of guy in that way. But, yeah, if those guys set that, you know, they need those guys to set the tone, and if they do, then it's it's up to everyone else to follow, right? They have to follow the lead. Alonso is going to be the veteran guy, and gunner is the emerging young guy that needs to be more of a leader in that way. So, but it begins with how they play on the field, right? Ultimately, Pete Alonso, you love the leadership, no doubt. But he needs to hit 35 or 40 bombs like that. That's what they're that's why they paid him, right? So, and he knows that, he understands that. So, yeah, those guys have to lead the way. And if they do, if those, if those two guys are the All Star, you know, if not MVP candidate, kind of players that they have proven in the past capable of being then, and that's a heck of a start for your offense, then to just fill in the gaps after that and and see what you can do one through nine.

Nestor Aparicio  34:33

So I'm writing these letters to all the brass. Katie Griggs is going to get hers. My Craig Albernaz is up. Mike Elias, I'm coming for you too. For all of this, Eric Getty, especially, more so than Rubinstein, who is the face and Eric Getty's the person really doing he's the baseball nerd. I would just say this if Eric Getty hears this piece or it gets to me at this point. Or Rubenstein, and this is where the people who hate me, and they're plenty of them, because they still voted for Trump. I see it all over social media, if you're the guy that hates me for saying I've been the guy here for 35 effing opening days doing this job in front of everyone with a radio station that the FCC is gonna come take my license if I, if I criticize our dear leader and the nonsense that's going on. But I've done 35 opening days here now, and you've done a good 17 with me, or whatever it's been. How many years we've had this? There have been so few times where I want to wake up at five in the morning and Medellin, Colombia on the Monday before opening day, and sit and have a legitimate, honest conversation about their potential to be a playoff team, let alone a division winning team or World Series winning team or whatever just to be, I don't have to bullshit anybody to think that they Could even be fundamentally sound, or a 500 team, 25 if not 28 of the 35 years I've been on the radio, they've been a freaking joke. They've been a disgrace, and they're not anymore. And the off season was real, and they signed the $19 million pitcher on Valentine's Day. And they spot. They signed $155 million real dude, not a chump to be their next Frank Robinson or their next star. They gave bisayo money. They they took our money and built a scoreboard and threw you out of the press box and moved it to the left, which moving to the left is a good place to move. It's better than moving to the right. And I mean, even though the thing looks like an airport lounge or whatever, and God bless them. So I would just say this. I wouldn't be such a jerk and such an ass and so angry, and I certainly would have my press pass if, over the last 30 years, they put a credible, honest, big league full effort organization together to give people a reason to be excited. You're excited because you're a baseball nerd. I'm excited. Look at my last name, right? I mean, I love baseball, but what we've endured here over the last 35 years is disgraceful, and the fact that this is one of the few opening day weeks where I can honestly say, if I give them 75 bucks on Thursday and go down there, run around that it's not opening day, and it falls off the table, and we're wondering when lacrosse starts, or if the caps are playing hockey, or who the ravens are drafting, or who got arrested, or who Terrance West punched last week, or whatever, whatever happened, right that this is a credible layoff caliber. They've had an offseason where they've done things you hated their pitching last year. Alan hated their pitching last year. I mean, I've tried to be more balanced, because I have sat here for 35 years watching this disgrace, and this is not that anymore. And for that, I'll tip my cap to arroghetti, and I've talked a lot here with Marty Conway and Eric Fisher about the labor situation, and you and I have done an hour and a half here to start the season where it's Baseball, baseball, and it's Ken Kobe Mayo pick up the glove, and it's can they get Westberg real baseball, things that lead to playoff baseball and a chance to win a World Series, not how much money is Fredo making in being a jerk with the community. Now I want Katie Griggs to step up. Mark. Fine. You're disgraceful that I don't have a press pass at the ballpark on Thursday. Disgraceful. But that being said, I'm covering the team. You're covering the team. You'll ask questions. I'll be out here being the jerk that I am, because it's a response mechanism for me to say I've been through all this shit the last 35 years, and the losing and last year imploding immediately. I hope that doesn't happen again, because I love baseball. You love baseball. It's a long season. We put a lot of time, a lot of effort, a lot of my life, I've forgotten more about baseball than most people certainly over at the fan. So for me, it is, this is a go time for the city, for downtown, for the money we've spent on the ballpark, for new ownership, for all of that. So I'm watching whether they let me in or not. They're going to hear from me, and they're going to know from me, and they're going to know from you. Know from you, and I hope they're as vibrant and as important and as valuable as I've made them out to be most of my life. That's all I'm going to say.

Luke Jones  39:54

My final point, everything you just said, I fully acknowledge, but more specifically. The after the season they had last year on the heels of what had happened at the

Nestor Aparicio  40:04

end of a half a million people going away from the ballpark, right? Last year, it

Luke Jones  40:08

is so incredibly important for this team to get off to a good start this year. No, it doesn't need to be 35 and 10, right? But just get off to a solid

Nestor Aparicio  40:20

start, dude, seven and 14 and 1016,

Luke Jones  40:26

I'm fine with any of that, right, right, right, right. Look at the schedule. How it sets up. Minnesota and the rangers to start off at Pittsburgh, at the White Sox. Then you come home and you play the Giants and the Diamondbacks. Then you go to Cleveland, all right, Cleveland playoff team. Then you go to Kansas City, Rhett, then you come home at the end of the month and you host the Red Sox and the Astros. All right, that last home stand there. But you look at the first four weeks of the season, they're not playing a ton of teams that made the

Nestor Aparicio  40:54

playoffs last year. Yeah, they could play 700 ball the first month, right? Yeah. Get off to a

Luke Jones  40:58

good start. And then I said all the stuff about the Mojo and the chemistry and the guys being more upbeat in the clubhouse, and all a good spring, if you can, if you can springboard into a good start coming out of Sarasota, and start off well, and you're 13 and seven, then you set up really nicely for to have a really good playoff Season, you know, and then, you know, you get to October, then who knows what will happen? I mean, this team could look, at least be perceived a lot differently than how we're perceiving it right now, when you have so many young guys that you're kind of looking at and envisioning the possibilities. But man, just get off to a good start. This city needs it. On the heels of the Orioles last year and the Ravens last fall, dude,

Nestor Aparicio  41:44

drop the mic on that city. Needs it like last that's where I am on it. Get people downtown. People steal their money, get their ATM out. Let them buy truest club. Whatever it is, success has been something that we have not smelled here, and it's pissed me off so much that I walked out on them 20 years ago because they were creeps. They were liars and and I'm not going to defend that, and I'm not going to, I'm not going to advertise it for them, but this team should be a playoff team, and it has all the potential to be that. And I'm bullish on the team so, and I know you are as well. Yeah, yeah.

Luke Jones  42:21

I mean, they have question marks. Most teams have question marks. I think there's a lot to like about this club. And again, get off to a good start, which, Hey,

Nestor Aparicio  42:29

man, you and I don't like about it, like the bullpen. Elias is apparently okay with this, right? It's his job, right? If he, if he thought the bullpen needed more he would go get some more spice, or go ask daddy for more money. And Michael era Getty and, you know, and get it, and that's still all might happen, but it all might happen under the guise of Kobe Mayo has got 20 home runs in June, and they can't figure out where to put Westberg and holiday looks like a one, one, and Richmond bounce back, and Albernaz is manager of the year, and they have five, if not six, starting pitchers. So we'll have to talk about Jim Palmer joining the rotation at some point. He's leaving the boots. Same thing with McDonald all right. He's Luke Jones. We're done with baseball. We'll talk more baseball in October. Now. We'll be back on Friday morning here without question. It's opening day. It's baseball week. My last name still Aparicio. We still love baseball around here. He's Luke. I'm Nestor. Big thanks to all of our sponsors. I'm coming home from Medellin. I hope they let me in back for more. We are Baltimore positive and W NSD stay with us. You.

Can Albernaz manage the Orioles arms into October?

Can Albernaz manage the Orioles arms into October?

We love the starting rotation but about that untested bullpen? Luke Jones and Nestor get you ready for Opening Day and beyond with a full preview of the 2026 Baltimore Orioles and where the Birds will be flying in the American League East this summer – and hopefully, into the fall.
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